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"A historical political resource."
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MO District 3 - D Primary
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| Parents |
> United States > Missouri > MO - District 03
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| Office | House of Representatives |
| Type | Democratic Primary Election |
| Filing Deadline | March 30, 2004 - 05:00pm |
| Polls Open | August 03, 2004 - 06:00am |
| Polls Close | August 03, 2004 - 07:00pm |
| Term Start | January 03, 2005 - 12:00pm |
| Term End | January 03, 2007 - 12:00pm |
| Turnout |
17.21% Total Population
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| Contributor | Ben |
| Last Modified | RBH June 24, 2009 02:45pm |
| Data Sources | [Link] |
| Description |
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184
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CANDIDATES |
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| Photo |  |
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| Name |
St. Rep. Russ Carnahan |
Jeff Smith |
St. Sen. Steve Stoll |
St. Rep. Joan Barry |
Circuit Court Clerk Mariano Favazza |
Mark Smith |
St. Rep. Jo Ann Karll |
| Party | Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
| Website |
[Website]
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[Website]
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[Website]
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[Website]
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| Uncertified Votes | 24,507 (22.90%) |
22,783 (21.29%) |
19,372 (18.11%) |
18,922 (17.68%) |
9,647 (9.02%) |
7,400 (6.92%) |
2,667 (2.49%) |
| Margin | 0 (0.00%) |
-1,724 (-1.61%) |
-5,135 (-4.80%) |
-5,585 (-5.22%) |
-14,860 (-13.89%) |
-17,107 (-15.99%) |
-21,840 (-20.41%) |
| Predict Avg. | 15.00% |
1.50% |
30.00% |
10.00% |
7.50% |
2.50% |
0.00% |
| Cash On Hand |
$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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| Adj Poll Avg | 35.90% -- |
0.00% -- |
12.90% -- |
5.90% -- |
1.90% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 04/12/04-04/13/04 |
38.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
15.00% -- |
8.00% -- |
4.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
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| Endorsements | |
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MORE CANDIDATES |
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| Photo |  |
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| Name |
Mike Evans |
Corey Mohn |
Michael Bram |
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| Party | Democratic |
Democratic |
Democratic |
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| Website |
[Website]
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[Website]
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| Uncertified Votes | 644 (0.60%) |
590 (0.55%) |
469 (0.44%) |
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| Margin | -23,863 (-22.30%) |
-23,917 (-22.35%) |
-24,038 (-22.47%) |
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| Predict Avg. | 0.00% |
1.00% |
0.00% |
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| Cash On Hand |
$--
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$--
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$--
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| Adj Poll Avg | 0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
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Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 04/12/04-04/13/04 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
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| Endorsements | |
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End Date |
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 | INFORMATION LINKS |
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| DISCUSSION |
| [View All 88 Previous Messages] |
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:605 | Anonymous ( 0.0000 points)
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Thu, January 15, 2004 07:41:34 PM UTC0:00
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Corey Mohn Endorses Dennis Kucinich for President - http://www.mohn2004.com/pr_011504.htm
Corey Mohn Endorses Dennis Kucinich for President - [Link]
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I:13 | User 13 ( 1518.3322 points)
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Tue, February 3, 2004 09:12:17 PM UTC0:00
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Any polls BenD?
Any polls BenD?
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D:245 | BenD ( -36.1771 points)
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Fri, February 6, 2004 08:21:01 AM UTC0:00
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politix: i would assume some have been done and are not public yet, if ever. Its really up to KSDK or KMOV/Post-Dispatch to do one. At this point though, I dont think they see much point in it.
politix: i would assume some have been done and are not public yet, if ever. Its really up to KSDK or KMOV/Post-Dispatch to do one. At this point though, I dont think they see much point in it.
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PRB:238 | Mr. Techno ( -125.1277 points)
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Thu, April 29, 2004 04:57:17 AM UTC0:00
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Russ Carnahan is pro-choice, and that will make it tough for him in the general.
Russ Carnahan is pro-choice, and that will make it tough for him in the general.
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D:45 | Blue Wizzrobe ( 1112.9661 points)
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Thu, April 29, 2004 05:32:01 AM UTC0:00
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The GOP has no strong candidates left running. I don't believe this poll, though. Steve Stoll had the advantage.
The GOP has no strong candidates left running. I don't believe this poll, though. Steve Stoll had the advantage.
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I:490 | User 490 ( 1224.6385 points)
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Thu, April 29, 2004 05:35:52 AM UTC0:00
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This poll was conducted for Carnahan, I should have mentioned that earlier.
This poll was conducted for Carnahan, I should have mentioned that earlier.
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PRB:238 | Mr. Techno ( -125.1277 points)
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Thu, April 29, 2004 05:36:17 AM UTC0:00
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Federer has performed reasonably well against an entrenched incumbent.
Federer has performed reasonably well against an entrenched incumbent.
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PRB:238 | Mr. Techno ( -125.1277 points)
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Thu, April 29, 2004 05:36:54 AM UTC0:00
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Oh, well, maybe Stoll is leading. Tell me earlier Val.
Oh, well, maybe Stoll is leading. Tell me earlier Val.
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Federer is a running joke in St. Louis these days.
Federer is a running joke in St. Louis these days.
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D:45 | Blue Wizzrobe ( 1112.9661 points)
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Thu, April 29, 2004 06:14:17 AM UTC0:00
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Gephardt is very different from Stoll. Gephardt was a national figure, and had moved to the left. Federer would not have gotten in the forties if he was facing the 1976 Gephardt.
Gephardt is very different from Stoll. Gephardt was a national figure, and had moved to the left. Federer would not have gotten in the forties if he was facing the 1976 Gephardt.
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D:271 | ArchPundit ( -13.5459 points)
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Fri, April 30, 2004 12:01:52 AM UTC0:00
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Federer is being abandoned by the main stream Republicans. He isn't well liked and beyond that is a kook. He has several ethical clouds over his head. The District is 60/40 and from what I hear is pretty close to 55-45 pro-choice. Any of the serious candidates won't have too much of a problem. That and Federer's numbers aren't that impressive from this round of fundraising letters.
The point of previous campaigns was to keep Gephardt around Missouri. With him gone, the Republicans won't see much use in this race.
Federer is being abandoned by the main stream Republicans. He isn't well liked and beyond that is a kook. He has several ethical clouds over his head. The District is 60/40 and from what I hear is pretty close to 55-45 pro-choice. Any of the serious candidates won't have too much of a problem. That and Federer's numbers aren't that impressive from this round of fundraising letters.
The point of previous campaigns was to keep Gephardt around Missouri. With him gone, the Republicans won't see much use in this race.
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I:1191 | davedrebes ( 0.0000 points)
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Fri, May 7, 2004 12:39:40 AM UTC0:00
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Here is what I wrote about this race in the St. Louis Business Journal.
http://www.bizjournals.com/stlouis/stories/2004/05/03/editorial3.html
Disclaimer: My opinions have been known to change without much warning.
Also, our continuing 3rd CD coverage at Arch City Chronicle:
http://www.archcitychronicle.com/archives/cat_3rd_cd_race.php
Here is what I wrote about this race in the St. Louis Business Journal.
[Link]
Disclaimer: My opinions have been known to change without much warning.
Also, our continuing 3rd CD coverage at Arch City Chronicle:
[Link]
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D:1 | RP ( 3311.3784 points)
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Fri, May 7, 2004 02:31:08 AM UTC0:00
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Good info, Dave. Is Carnahan really sinking that bad? Any info on internal polling
Good info, Dave. Is Carnahan really sinking that bad? Any info on internal polling
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I:1191 | davedrebes ( 0.0000 points)
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Fri, May 14, 2004 06:20:14 AM UTC0:00
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I wonder sometimes if Carnahan is "sinking that bad." It feels that way from where I'm sitting, but since most voters haven't even thought about thinking about this race yet, it's obviously way too early to say he's missed his chance. But he did miss his chance to shut this race down before it even got started. If he'd raced some real money early and secured some key endorsements, with his name, there would've been no race.
Now we got a race, and he's arguably no longer the favorite.
I wonder sometimes if Carnahan is "sinking that bad." It feels that way from where I'm sitting, but since most voters haven't even thought about thinking about this race yet, it's obviously way too early to say he's missed his chance. But he did miss his chance to shut this race down before it even got started. If he'd raced some real money early and secured some key endorsements, with his name, there would've been no race.
Now we got a race, and he's arguably no longer the favorite.
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I:1191 | davedrebes ( 0.0000 points)
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Fri, May 14, 2004 06:22:42 AM UTC0:00
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Oh, also, on the polling. I don't have any inside scoop on internal polls, but I hear what everyone else hears. Carnahan has a poll that says he's got a huge lead in name recognition. Nothing more than that.
Oh, also, on the polling. I don't have any inside scoop on internal polls, but I hear what everyone else hears. Carnahan has a poll that says he's got a huge lead in name recognition. Nothing more than that.
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D:11 | Nats In First! ( 11.8254 points)
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Fri, May 14, 2004 09:27:58 AM UTC0:00
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I'd always been under the impression that it was Stoll's to lose.
I'd always been under the impression that it was Stoll's to lose.
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D:45 | Blue Wizzrobe ( 1112.9661 points)
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Fri, May 14, 2004 10:01:18 PM UTC0:00
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Right. Carnahan is seen as the favorite by DC people. People in the district know better.
Right. Carnahan is seen as the favorite by DC people. People in the district know better.
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PRB:238 | Mr. Techno ( -125.1277 points)
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Sat, May 15, 2004 01:54:31 AM UTC0:00
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The people from here MO who have been posting messages about this race strike me as possibly being involved with the Stoll campaign. BTW, while Federer might not be the greatest candidate, what they said about him is untrue.
The people from here MO who have been posting messages about this race strike me as possibly being involved with the Stoll campaign. BTW, while Federer might not be the greatest candidate, what they said about him is untrue.
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DL:1025 | Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
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Wed, May 26, 2004 05:48:54 PM UTC0:00
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Is this primary election on a different date than the other MO primary elections for some reason?
Is this primary election on a different date than the other MO primary elections for some reason?
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D:389 | PaGuy ( 2537.5559 points)
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Sat, July 31, 2004 09:44:48 AM UTC0:00
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Whats goin on with this race?
Whats goin on with this race?
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I:490 | User 490 ( 1224.6385 points)
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Sat, July 31, 2004 09:59:36 AM UTC0:00
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Stoll is the frontrunner I think. Carnahan never seemed to take off. And Smith has the Dean/DailyKos type support, so we'll see if he can break their losing streak.
Stoll is the frontrunner I think. Carnahan never seemed to take off. And Smith has the Dean/DailyKos type support, so we'll see if he can break their losing streak.
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Reg:16 | None Entered ( 1178.9144 points)
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Sat, July 31, 2004 11:22:12 AM UTC0:00
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Mark or Jeff?
Mark or Jeff?
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D:1 | RP ( 3311.3784 points)
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Sat, July 31, 2004 02:38:18 PM UTC0:00
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Check the endorsements. :)
Check the endorsements. :)
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Reg:16 | None Entered ( 1178.9144 points)
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Sat, July 31, 2004 11:32:24 PM UTC0:00
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Aha, thanks.
Aha, thanks.
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Joan Barry is the only major female candidate, but she is pro-life on abortion, which may not help her with a more liberal primary electorate.
Joan Barry is the only major female candidate, but she is pro-life on abortion, which may not help her with a more liberal primary electorate.
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