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  US President - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2012 - 12:00pm
Polls Open January 03, 2012 - 06:00am
Polls Close January 03, 2012 - 11:00pm
Term Start January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 6.23% Total Population
ContributorRalphie
Last ModifiedRBH November 10, 2013 03:20pm
Data Sources
Description
Contenders

Gov. Tim Pawlenty withdrew 8/14/11
Rep. Thad McCotter withdrew 9/22/11
Herman Cain suspended his campaign 12/03/11
Gov. Gary Johnson withdrew 12/28/11
Rep. Michele Bachmann suspended her campaign 1/04/12
Amb. Jon Huntsman suspended his campaign 1/16/12
Gov. Rick Perry suspended his campaign 1/19/12
Gov. Buddy Roemer withdrew 2/22/12
Sen. Rick Santorum suspended his campaign 4/10/12
Speaker Newt Gingrich withdrew 5/2/12

Pre-Primary Race

The Republican Party made remarkable gains in the midterm elections of 2010. The party gained enough seats to take control of the U.S. House and narrow the Democratic majority in the U.S. Senate.

Iowa CaucusRick Santorum was the surprise winner of the Iowa caucus on 1/3/2012.

LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameBarack Obama Votes69,456,897 (52.91%)
Term01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013 Margin9,522,083 (+7.25%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameBarack Obama Votes65,915,796 (51.06%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin4,984,039 (+3.86%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/06/2012
MAP
KEY RACE? 9.3999996185 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/09/2008 01/03/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Sarah Palin 1 1 ----
Mitt Romney 28 4 5 10
Tim Pawlenty ------2
Mike Huckabee 2 ------
Mitch Daniels 1 ------
Rick Perry --1 --1
Newt Gingrich 1 ------
Leaning Call: Mitt Romney (81.25%)
Weighted Call: Mitt Romney (99.05%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
11/05/2008 04/11/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Gov. Mitt Romney Sen. Rick Santorum Rep. Newt Gingrich Rep. Ron Paul Uncommitted Ambassador Jon Huntsman, Jr. No Preference
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes10,003,905 (52.03%) 3,932,969 (20.46%) 2,741,713 (14.26%) 2,106,708 (10.96%) 121,090 (0.63%) 83,950 (0.44%) 58,324 (0.30%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -6,070,936 (-31.58%) -7,262,192 (-37.77%) -7,897,197 (-41.07%) -9,882,815 (-51.40%) -9,919,955 (-51.59%) -9,945,581 (-51.73%)
Predict Avg.25.60% 1.38% 13.60% 12.80% 0.00% 1.38% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (153 from 29 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.77%-- 14.31%-- 12.13%-- 15.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
FOX News 
04/09/12-04/11/12
46.00% 24.0 15.00% 13.0 13.00% 10.0 16.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Pew Research 
02/08/12-02/12/12
28.00% 3.0 30.00% 16.0 17.00% 1.0 12.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
02/09/12-02/10/12
23.00% 1.0 38.00% 34.0 17.00% 18.0 13.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 3.0 0.00% --
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff) 
01/22/12-01/24/12
28.00% 5.0 18.00% 15.0 37.00% 3.0 12.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 5.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/23/12-01/23/12
28.00% 2.0 16.00% 1.0 35.00% 8.0 10.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gallup 
01/19/12-01/23/12
27.00% -- 12.00% -- 31.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Marco Rubio [L]
R Barbara Bush [L]
R George H.W. Bush [L]
R Jeb Bush [L]
R Rick Snyder [L]
R Donald Trump [L]
R Jim Talent [L]
R Michael Chertoff [L]
PNP Luis Fortuño [L]
R Rob Portman [L]
R Steve Womack [L]
R Pete Olson [L]
R Mike Conaway [L]
R Kay Granger [L]
R Dan Benishek [L]
R Bob McDonnell [L]
R Billy Long [L]
R John L. Mica [L]
R Mike Turner [L]
R Sandra "Sandy" Adams [L]
R John R. Bolton [L]
R Angela "Bay" Buchanan [L]
R Bill Huizenga [L]
R Richard Burr [L]
R John McCain [L]
R Elizabeth Dole [L]
R Michael J. "Mike" Rogers [L]
R Mike Johanns [L]
R Bob Dole [L]
R Phil Roe [L]
R Diane Black [L]
R John "Jimmy" Duncan, Jr. [L]
R Dan Quayle [L]
R John Thune [L]
R Cynthia Lummis [L]
R J. Dennis Hastert [L]
R Thad Cochran [L]
R Chris Christie [L]
AM Conservative for America.
R Thaddeus McCotter [L]
R Norm Coleman [L]
R Tim Pawlenty [L]
R Wayne Allard
R Dave Heineman [L]
R Jason Chaffetz [L]
R Robert "Bob" Dutton
R Mary Bono
R Howard P. "Buck" McKeon
R Joe Heck [L]
R 00
R TurnerforCongress
R Meghan McCain [L]
  Freedom's Defense Fund
R Jo Ann H. Emerson [L]
R Philip Rivers [L]
  Susan B. Anthony List
R Phyllis Schlafly [L]
R Tom Tancredo [L]
R Bob Schaffer [L]
R Michelle Malkin [L]
  Latin Builders Association
? Keith Rupert Murdoch [L]
R Gary L. Bauer [L]
R James Dobson [L]
R Lou Barletta [L]
R Thomas A. Marino [L]
R Richard Viguerie [L]
R Tony Perkins [L]
  National Federation of Republican Assemblies
I Curtis Sliwa
D BDem
R Herman Cain [L]
R Danny L. "Dan" Burton [L]
R Fred Thompson [L]
R Chuck Norris [L]
R Michael Reagan [L]
R Jim Robinson [L]
R Rick Perry
R Tim LaHaye [L]
R Trent Franks [L]
R Robert C. "Bob" Smith [L]
R Robert S. Walker [L]
R J. C. Watts, Jr. [L]
R Gary Busey [L]
R Judson Phillips [L]
R Joe L. Barton [L]
R Jack Kingston [L]
D Zell Miller [L]
R Nathan Deal [L]
LBT Andrew Napolitano
LBT Smart
R Alex Jones
LBT Russell Means [L]
R Tim Johnson [L]
R Michael Scheuer [L]
R Rand Paul [L]
R John Garver [L]
AENM Angry Russian
R Chuck Baldwin [L]
AnFed pghopper
R Justin Amash [L]
R Walter B. Jones, Jr. [L]
R Nicholas D. Kettle [L]
R Chuck Norris [L]
R Paul Mirski [L]
R Joshua William Evans
IR Miro
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
SVP Magical Horse
ANAR Maditude
R Moving to Miami
R Richard Hanna [L]
  Boston Globe
R Tom Ridge [L]
R Rob Wasinger [L]
R Henry McMaster [L]
I IndyGeorgia
I particleman
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Gov. Rick Perry Rep. Michele Bachmann Gov. Charles E. "Buddy" Roemer III Herman Cain Fred Karger (W) Write-In Gov. Gary Johnson
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes54,891 (0.29%) 41,168 (0.21%) 33,604 (0.18%) 13,603 (0.07%) 12,776 (0.07%) 6,870 (0.04%) 4,293 (0.02%)
Margin-9,949,014 (-51.74%) -9,962,737 (-51.82%) -9,970,301 (-51.86%) -9,990,302 (-51.96%) -9,991,129 (-51.96%) -9,997,035 (-51.99%) -9,999,612 (-52.01%)
Predict Avg.9.33% 6.75% 0.00% 7.25% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (153 from 29 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
FOX News 
04/09/12-04/11/12
0.00% 7.0 0.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 15.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pew Research 
02/08/12-02/12/12
0.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
02/09/12-02/10/12
0.00% 6.0 0.00% 7.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff) 
01/22/12-01/24/12
0.00% 6.0 0.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/23/12-01/23/12
0.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gallup 
01/19/12-01/23/12
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D DylanSH99
R Joe Arpaio [L]
R Steve Forbes [L]
R Sam Brownback [L]
R Bobby Jindal [L]
R James M. Inhofe [L]
R Phil Gramm [L]
R David Malpass [L]
R Trent Franks [L]
R Phyllis Schlafly [L]
R Wayne Newton [L]
R Kelsey Grammer
MOD William M. Pierce, III [L]
R Dennis Miller [L]
R Samuel "Joe" Wurzelbacher [L]
D La Fayette
LBT Silver Dime
ANAR Maditude
R Moving to Miami
Laf-W Craverguy
VIEW 44 MORE CANDIDATES

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
May 05, 2011 07:00pm May 05, 2011 07:00pm Debate First GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Jun 13, 2011 06:00pm Jun 13, 2011 06:00pm Debate Second GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Aug 11, 2011 07:40pm Aug 11, 2011 07:40pm Debate Third GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Sep 07, 2011 07:00pm Sep 07, 2011 07:00pm Debate Fourth GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Sep 12, 2011 07:00pm Sep 12, 2011 07:00pm Debate Fifth GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Sep 22, 2011 07:00pm Sep 22, 2011 07:00pm Debate Sixth GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Oct 11, 2011 07:00pm Oct 11, 2011 07:00pm Debate Seventh GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Oct 18, 2011 07:00pm Oct 18, 2011 09:00pm Debate Eighth GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Nov 09, 2011 07:00pm Nov 09, 2011 09:00pm Debate Ninth GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Nov 12, 2011 07:00pm Nov 12, 2011 09:00pm Debate Tenth GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Nov 22, 2011 07:00pm Nov 22, 2011 09:00pm Debate Eleventh GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Dec 10, 2011 08:00pm Dec 10, 2011 09:00pm Debate Twelfth 2012 GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Dec 15, 2011 07:00pm Dec 15, 2011 09:00pm Debate Thirteenth 2012 GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Jan 07, 2012 07:00pm Jan 07, 2012 09:00pm Debate 14th GOP Presidential Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 08, 2012 08:00pm Jan 08, 2012 10:00pm Debate 15th GOP Presidential Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 16, 2012 08:00pm Oct 16, 2012 10:00pm Debate 16th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 19, 2012 08:00pm Jan 19, 2012 10:00pm Debate 17th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 23, 2012 08:00pm Jan 23, 2012 10:00pm Debate 18th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 26, 2012 08:00pm Jan 26, 2012 10:00pm Debate 19th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Feb 22, 2012 08:00pm Feb 22, 2012 10:00pm Debate 20th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
06/22/2012 Fred Karger Web Only Ad Issue eng STOP THE HATE!!!  00:00:59 Homegrown Democrat 
05/04/2012 Ron Paul Web Only Ad Mixed eng Ron Paul Pokemon Theme Parody Re-MIx by JASON PAIGE [Original Pokemon Theme Singer]  00:03:24 Homegrown Democrat 
04/19/2012 Web Only Ad Issue eng Porn Stars Against Santorum  00:01:51 Homegrown Democrat 
04/11/2012 Newt Gingrich Web Only Ad Endorsement eng Last Conservative Standing  00:01:11 Homegrown Democrat 
03/29/2012 Rick Santorum TVAd Attack eng This Man  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
03/23/2012 Rick Santorum Web Only Ad Attack eng Obamaville  00:01:05 Craverguy 
02/27/2012 Rick Santorum Web Only Ad Issue eng DEMOCRATS FOR SANTORUM  00:01:38 Homegrown Democrat 
02/23/2012 Rick Santorum TVAd Attack eng Say What  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
02/18/2012 Newt Gingrich TVAd Issue eng $2.50 per Gallon Gasoline, Energy Independence and Jobs -- An Address by Newt Gingrich  00:28:59 Homegrown Democrat 
02/14/2012 Mitt Romney TVAd Attack eng Votes  00:00:33 RP 
01/27/2012 Newt Gingrich Infomercial Attack eng Blood Money  00:07:42 RP 
01/25/2012 Mitt Romney TVAd Attack eng History Lesson  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
01/25/2012 Mitt Romney TVAd Attack eng Promise  00:00:31 RP 
01/09/2012 Jon Huntsman, Jr. Web Only Ad Attack eng Mitt Romney Class of 72  00:03:35 Homegrown Democrat 
01/04/2012 Ron Paul Web Only Ad Attack eng Jon Huntsman's Values   00:01:12 Homegrown Democrat 
12/11/2011 Ron Paul Web Only Ad Attack eng Newt Gingrich: Selling Access  00:01:51 Homegrown Democrat 
12/09/2011 Rick Perry Web Only Ad Endorsement eng A President of Honor   00:06:46 Homegrown Democrat 
12/08/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Issue eng Repeal  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
12/06/2011 Mitt Romney TVAd Biography eng Leader  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
12/06/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Issue eng Strong  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
12/01/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Issue eng Faith  00:00:31 Monsieur 
12/01/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Issue eng Leno  00:00:30 RBH 
12/01/2011 Herman Cain TVAd Issue eng Vindicating Herman Cain   00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
11/30/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Issue eng Big Dog  00:00:30 Miro 
11/30/2011 Jon Huntsman, Jr. Web Only Ad Mixed eng Huntsman's Back  00:01:28 Homegrown Democrat 
11/30/2011 Ron Paul Web Only Ad Attack eng Newt Gingrich: Serial Hypocrisy   00:02:28 RP 
11/27/2011 TVAd Attack eng MittvMitt.com: The story of two men trapped in one body  00:04:01 RP 
11/16/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Attack eng Lazy  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
11/03/2011 Herman Cain Web Only Ad Attack eng High Tech Lynching  00:01:18 Homegrown Democrat 
10/28/2011 Jon Huntsman, Jr. Web Only Ad Endorsement eng Jon2012girls Smokin'  00:01:03 Homegrown Democrat 
10/19/2011 Rick Perry Web Only Ad Attack eng Mitt Romney - Misleading  00:00:59 Homegrown Democrat 
10/19/2011 Herman Cain Web Only Ad Biography eng Now is the time for action!  00:00:56 Miro 
10/18/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Mixed eng Consistent  00:01:05 Miro 
10/18/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Issue eng Plan  00:00:30 Miro 
10/12/2011 Gary Johnson Web Only Ad Mixed eng Gary Johnson 2012: The People's President  00:01:46 Silver Dime 
10/12/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Issue eng Life  00:01:04 Homegrown Democrat 
09/29/2011 Mitt Romney Web Only Ad Attack eng Thank You Governor Perry  00:01:22 Homegrown Democrat 
09/22/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Biography eng A Veteran’s Best Friend  00:01:05 Miro 
09/20/2011 Rick Perry Web Only Ad Contrast eng Proven Leadership   00:01:45 Homegrown Democrat 
09/06/2011 Rick Santorum Web Only Ad Mixed eng The Only One   00:02:40 Homegrown Democrat 
09/05/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Contrast eng Trust  00:01:04 Homegrown Democrat 
08/25/2011 Herman Cain Web Only Ad Contrast eng He Carried Yellow Flowers   00:00:00 Incurious Mongrul 
08/13/2011 Rick Perry Web Only Ad Biography eng Rick Perry: Time to Get America Working Again  00:02:15 Homegrown Democrat 
08/02/2011 Mitt Romney Web Only Ad Issue eng Obama Isn't Working: Chicago   00:00:50 Homegrown Democrat 
06/15/2011 Jon Huntsman, Jr. Web Only Ad Mixed eng 6 days  00:00:26 Homegrown Democrat 
06/10/2011 Mitt Romney Web Only Ad Issue eng Mitt on the Road: Detroit, MI   00:01:09 Homegrown Democrat 
05/22/2011 Web Only Ad Biography eng Tim Pawlenty - A Time for Truth (Preview of Monday's Announcement)   00:02:15 Homegrown Democrat 
05/14/2011 Gary Johnson Web Only Ad Issue eng Imagine President Gary Johnson  00:00:30 Craverguy 
05/11/2011 Newt Gingrich Web Only Ad Mixed eng It's Official: Newt Gingrich is Running for President!   00:02:09 Homegrown Democrat 
05/05/2011 Fred Karger Web Only Ad Issue eng Demon Frisbee  00:00:00 Conservative for America. 
03/21/2011 Web Only Ad Issue eng Tim Pawlenty for President Exploratory Committee Annoucement  00:00:00 COSDem 
11/22/2010 Fred Karger TVAd Biography eng Independence Day  00:00:00 Craverguy 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Mar 22, 2013 12:40pm News The Secret Gingrich-Santorum 'Unity Ticket' That Nearly Toppled Romney  Article WesternDem 
May 30, 2012 11:00am News Obama calls Romney to offer congratulations  Article Brandon 
May 18, 2012 09:00pm Endorsement Bob Barr endorses Mitt Romney  Article Miro 
May 14, 2012 02:45pm Announcement Ron Paul Will Stop Campaigning, But Will Continue Delegate Hunt  Article Homegrown Democrat 
May 01, 2012 10:40am Video Gingrich Releases Campaign Suspension Video  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 25, 2012 10:10am Announcement BREAKING: Gingrich to end White House bid  Article TX DEM 

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