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  US President - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2012 - 12:00pm
Polls Open January 03, 2012 - 06:00am
Polls Close January 03, 2012 - 11:00pm
Term Start January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 6.23% Total Population
ContributorRalphie
Last Modifiedev July 17, 2012 07:56pm
Data Sources
Description Withdrawn Candidates:
Gov. Tim Pawlenty on 8-14-11
Rep. Thad McCotter on 9-22-11
Herman Cain on 12-03-11 ("suspended campaign")
Gov. Gary Johnson on 12-28-11 (later ran for the Libertarian nomination and won it)
Rep. Michele Bachmann on 1-04-12 ("suspended campaign")
Amb. Jon Huntsman on 1-16-12 ("suspended campaign")
Gov. Rick Perry on 1-19-12 ("suspended campaign")
Gov. Buddy Roemer on 2-22-12 (later ran unsuccessfully for the failed Americans Elect nomination and the Reform Party nomination but later withdrew)
Sen. Rick Santorum on 4-10-12 ("suspended campaign")
Speaker Newt Gingrich on 5-2-12

Cain and Johnson will still appear on Republican primary ballots and receive votes.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameBarack Obama Votes69,456,897 (52.91%)
Term01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013 Margin9,522,083 (+7.25%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameBarack Obama Votes65,899,660 (51.06%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin4,967,508 (+3.85%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/06/2012
MAP
KEY RACE? 9.3999996185 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/09/2008 01/03/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Sarah Palin 1 1 ----
Mitt Romney 28 4 5 10
Tim Pawlenty ------2
Mike Huckabee 2 ------
Mitch Daniels 1 ------
Rick Perry --1 --1
Newt Gingrich 1 ------
Leaning Call: Mitt Romney (81.25%)
Weighted Call: Mitt Romney (98.70%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/05/2008 04/11/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Gov. Mitt Romney Sen. Rick Santorum Rep. Newt Gingrich Rep. Ron Paul Uncommitted Ambassador Jon Huntsman No Preference
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes10,003,905 (52.03%) 3,932,969 (20.46%) 2,741,713 (14.26%) 2,106,708 (10.96%) 121,090 (0.63%) 83,950 (0.44%) 58,324 (0.30%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -6,070,936 (-31.58%) -7,262,192 (-37.77%) -7,897,197 (-41.07%) -9,882,815 (-51.40%) -9,919,955 (-51.59%) -9,945,581 (-51.73%)
Predict Avg.25.60% 1.38% 13.60% 12.80% 0.00% 1.38% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Bar
       
MATCHUP POLLS (153 from 29 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.77%-- 14.31%-- 12.13%-- 15.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
FOX News 
04/09/12-04/11/12
46.00% 24.0 15.00% 13.0 13.00% 10.0 16.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Pew Research 
02/08/12-02/12/12
28.00% 3.0 30.00% 16.0 17.00% 1.0 12.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
02/09/12-02/10/12
23.00% 1.0 38.00% 34.0 17.00% 18.0 13.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 3.0 0.00% --
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff) 
01/22/12-01/24/12
28.00% 5.0 18.00% 15.0 37.00% 3.0 12.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 5.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/23/12-01/23/12
28.00% 2.0 16.00% 1.0 35.00% 8.0 10.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gallup 
01/19/12-01/23/12
27.00% -- 12.00% -- 31.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Marco Rubio [L]
R Barbara Bush [L]
R George Herbert Walker Bush [L]
R Jeb Bush [L]
R Rick Snyder [L]
I Donald Trump [L]
R Jim Talent [L]
R Michael Chertoff [L]
PNP Luis Fortuño [L]
R Rob Portman [L]
R Steve Womack [L]
R Pete Olson [L]
R Mike Conaway [L]
R Kay Granger [L]
R Dan Benishek [L]
R Bob McDonnell [L]
R Billy Long [L]
R John L. Mica [L]
R Mike Turner [L]
R Sandra "Sandy" Adams [L]
R John Robert Bolton [L]
R Angela "Bay" Buchanan [L]
R Bill Huizenga [L]
R Richard Burr [L]
R John McCain [L]
R Elizabeth H. Dole [L]
R Michael J. "Mike" Rogers [L]
R Mike Johanns [L]
R Robert J. "Bob" Dole [L]
R Phil Roe [L]
R Diane Black [L]
R John "Jimmy" Duncan, Jr. [L]
R Dan Quayle [L]
R John Thune [L]
R Cynthia Lummis [L]
R J. Dennis Hastert [L]
R Thad Cochran [L]
R Chris Christie [L]
AM Conservative for America.
R Thaddeus McCotter [L]
R Norm Coleman [L]
R Tim Pawlenty [L]
R Wayne Allard
R Dave Heineman [L]
R Jason Chaffetz [L]
R Robert "Bob" Dutton
R Mary Bono Mack
R Howard P. "Buck" McKeon
R Joe Heck [L]
R 00
R TurnerforCongress
R Meghan McCain [L]
  Freedom's Defense Fund
R Jo Ann H. Emerson [L]
R Philip Rivers [L]
  Susan B. Anthony List
R Phyllis Schlafly [L]
R Tom Tancredo [L]
R Bob Schaffer [L]
R Michelle Malkin [L]
  Latin Builders Association
? Keith Rupert Murdoch [L]
R Gary L. Bauer [L]
R James Dobson [L]
R Lou Barletta [L]
R Thomas A. Marino [L]
R Richard Viguerie [L]
R Tony Perkins [L]
  National Federation of Republican Assemblies
I Curtis Sliwa
D BDem
R Herman Cain [L]
R Danny L. "Dan" Burton [L]
R Fred Thompson [L]
R Chuck Norris [L]
R Michael Reagan [L]
R Jim Robinson [L]
R Rick Perry
R Tim LaHaye [L]
R Trent Franks [L]
R Robert C. "Bob" Smith [L]
R Robert S. Walker [L]
R J. C. Watts, Jr. [L]
R Gary Busey [L]
R Judson Phillips [L]
R Joe L. Barton [L]
R John H. "Jack" Kingston [L]
D Zell B. Miller [L]
R Nathan Deal [L]
LBT Andrew Napolitano
LBT Smart
R Alex Jones
LBT Russell Means [L]
R Tim Johnson [L]
R Michael Scheuer [L]
R Rand Paul [L]
R John Garver [L]
AENM Angry Russian
R Chuck Baldwin [L]
AnFed Grasshopper
R Justin Amash [L]
R Walter B. Jones, Jr. [L]
R Nicholas D. Kettle [L]
R Chuck Norris [L]
R Paul Mirski [L]
R Joshua William Evans
R Miro
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
SVP Magical Horse
BTP Maditude
R Moving to Miami
R Richard Hanna [L]
  Boston Globe
R Tom Ridge [L]
R Rob Wasinger [L]
R Henry McMaster [L]
I IndyGeorgia
I particleman
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Gov. Rick Perry Rep. Michele Bachmann Gov. Charles E. "Buddy" Roemer III Herman Cain Fred Karger (W) Write-In Gov. Gary Johnson
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes54,891 (0.29%) 41,168 (0.21%) 33,604 (0.18%) 13,603 (0.07%) 12,776 (0.07%) 6,870 (0.04%) 4,293 (0.02%)
Margin-9,949,014 (-51.75%) -9,962,737 (-51.82%) -9,970,301 (-51.86%) -9,990,302 (-51.96%) -9,991,129 (-51.96%) -9,997,035 (-51.99%) -9,999,612 (-52.01%)
Predict Avg.9.33% 6.75% 0.00% 7.25% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Bar
       
MATCHUP POLLS (153 from 29 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
FOX News 
04/09/12-04/11/12
0.00% 7.0 0.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 15.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pew Research 
02/08/12-02/12/12
0.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
02/09/12-02/10/12
0.00% 6.0 0.00% 7.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff) 
01/22/12-01/24/12
0.00% 6.0 0.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/23/12-01/23/12
0.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gallup 
01/19/12-01/23/12
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D DylanSH99
R Joseph M. "Joe" Arpaio [L]
R M.S. "Steve" Forbes [L]
R Sam Brownback [L]
R Piyush "Bobby" Jindal [L]
R James M. Inhofe [L]
R Phil Gramm [L]
R David Malpass [L]
R Trent Franks [L]
R Phyllis Schlafly [L]
R Wayne Newton [L]
R Kelsey Grammer
MOD William M. Pierce, III [L]
R Dennis Miller [L]
R Samuel "Joe" Wurzelbacher [L]
D La Fayette
FL Silver Dime
BTP Maditude
R Moving to Miami
Laf-W Craverguy
VIEW 41 MORE CANDIDATES

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
May 05, 2011 07:00pm May 05, 2011 07:00pm Debate First GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Jun 13, 2011 06:00pm Jun 13, 2011 06:00pm Debate Second GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Aug 11, 2011 07:40pm Aug 11, 2011 07:40pm Debate Third GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Sep 07, 2011 07:00pm Sep 07, 2011 07:00pm Debate Fourth GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Sep 12, 2011 07:00pm Sep 12, 2011 07:00pm Debate Fifth GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Sep 22, 2011 07:00pm Sep 22, 2011 07:00pm Debate Sixth GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Oct 11, 2011 07:00pm Oct 11, 2011 07:00pm Debate Seventh GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Oct 18, 2011 07:00pm Oct 18, 2011 09:00pm Debate Eighth GOP Pres Primary Debate  TX DEM 
Nov 09, 2011 07:00pm Nov 09, 2011 09:00pm Debate Ninth GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Nov 12, 2011 07:00pm Nov 12, 2011 09:00pm Debate Tenth GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Nov 22, 2011 07:00pm Nov 22, 2011 09:00pm Debate Eleventh GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Dec 10, 2011 08:00pm Dec 10, 2011 09:00pm Debate Twelfth 2012 GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Dec 15, 2011 07:00pm Dec 15, 2011 09:00pm Debate Thirteenth 2012 GOP Pres Primary Debate   TX DEM 
Jan 07, 2012 07:00pm Jan 07, 2012 09:00pm Debate 14th GOP Presidential Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 08, 2012 08:00pm Jan 08, 2012 10:00pm Debate 15th GOP Presidential Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 16, 2012 08:00pm Oct 16, 2012 10:00pm Debate 16th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 19, 2012 08:00pm Jan 19, 2012 10:00pm Debate 17th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 23, 2012 08:00pm Jan 23, 2012 10:00pm Debate 18th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Jan 26, 2012 08:00pm Jan 26, 2012 10:00pm Debate 19th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 
Feb 22, 2012 08:00pm Feb 22, 2012 10:00pm Debate 20th GOP Pres Primary Debate  Chronicler 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
06/22/2012 Fred Karger Web Only Ad Issue eng STOP THE HATE!!!  00:00:59 Homegrown Democrat 
05/04/2012 Ron Paul Web Only Ad Mixed eng Ron Paul Pokemon Theme Parody Re-MIx by JASON PAIGE [Original Pokemon Theme Singer]  00:03:24 Homegrown Democrat 
04/19/2012 Web Only Ad Issue eng Porn Stars Against Santorum  00:01:51 Homegrown Democrat 
04/11/2012 Newt Gingrich Web Only Ad Endorsement eng Last Conservative Standing  00:01:11 Homegrown Democrat 
03/29/2012 Rick Santorum TVAd Attack eng This Man  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
03/23/2012 Rick Santorum Web Only Ad Attack eng Obamaville  00:01:05 Craverguy 
02/27/2012 Rick Santorum Web Only Ad Issue eng DEMOCRATS FOR SANTORUM  00:01:38 Homegrown Democrat 
02/23/2012 Rick Santorum TVAd Attack eng Say What  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
02/18/2012 Newt Gingrich TVAd Issue eng $2.50 per Gallon Gasoline, Energy Independence and Jobs -- An Address by Newt Gingrich  00:28:59 Homegrown Democrat 
02/14/2012 Mitt Romney TVAd Attack eng Votes  00:00:33 RP 
01/27/2012 Newt Gingrich Infomercial Attack eng Blood Money  00:07:42 RP 
01/25/2012 Mitt Romney TVAd Attack eng History Lesson  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
01/25/2012 Mitt Romney TVAd Attack eng Promise  00:00:31 RP 
01/09/2012 Jon Huntsman Web Only Ad Attack eng Mitt Romney Class of 72  00:03:35 Homegrown Democrat 
01/04/2012 Ron Paul Web Only Ad Attack eng Jon Huntsman's Values   00:01:12 Homegrown Democrat 
12/11/2011 Ron Paul Web Only Ad Attack eng Newt Gingrich: Selling Access  00:01:51 Homegrown Democrat 
12/09/2011 Rick Perry Web Only Ad Endorsement eng A President of Honor   00:06:46 Homegrown Democrat 
12/08/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Issue eng Repeal  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
12/06/2011 Mitt Romney TVAd Biography eng Leader  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
12/06/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Issue eng Strong  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
12/01/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Issue eng Faith  00:00:31 Monsieur 
12/01/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Issue eng Leno  00:00:30 RBH 
12/01/2011 Herman Cain TVAd Issue eng Vindicating Herman Cain   00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
11/30/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Issue eng Big Dog  00:00:30 Miro 
11/30/2011 Jon Huntsman Web Only Ad Mixed eng Huntsman's Back  00:01:28 Homegrown Democrat 
11/30/2011 Ron Paul Web Only Ad Attack eng Newt Gingrich: Serial Hypocrisy   00:02:28 RP 
11/27/2011 TVAd Attack eng MittvMitt.com: The story of two men trapped in one body  00:04:01 RP 
11/16/2011 Rick Perry TVAd Attack eng Lazy  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
11/03/2011 Herman Cain Web Only Ad Attack eng High Tech Lynching  00:01:18 Homegrown Democrat 
10/28/2011 Jon Huntsman Web Only Ad Endorsement eng Jon2012girls Smokin'  00:01:03 Homegrown Democrat 
10/19/2011 Rick Perry Web Only Ad Attack eng Mitt Romney - Misleading  00:00:59 Homegrown Democrat 
10/19/2011 Herman Cain Web Only Ad Biography eng Now is the time for action!  00:00:56 Miro 
10/18/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Mixed eng Consistent  00:01:05 Miro 
10/18/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Issue eng Plan  00:00:30 Miro 
10/12/2011 Gary Johnson Web Only Ad Mixed eng Gary Johnson 2012: The People's President  00:01:46 Silver Dime 
10/12/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Issue eng Life  00:01:04 Homegrown Democrat 
09/29/2011 Mitt Romney Web Only Ad Attack eng Thank You Governor Perry  00:01:22 Homegrown Democrat 
09/22/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Biography eng A Veteran’s Best Friend  00:01:05 Miro 
09/20/2011 Rick Perry Web Only Ad Contrast eng Proven Leadership   00:01:45 Homegrown Democrat 
09/06/2011 Rick Santorum Web Only Ad Mixed eng The Only One   00:02:40 Homegrown Democrat 
09/05/2011 Ron Paul TVAd Contrast eng Trust  00:01:04 Homegrown Democrat 
08/25/2011 Herman Cain Web Only Ad Contrast eng He Carried Yellow Flowers   00:00:00 Green Pigs 
08/13/2011 Rick Perry Web Only Ad Biography eng Rick Perry: Time to Get America Working Again  00:02:15 Homegrown Democrat 
08/02/2011 Mitt Romney Web Only Ad Issue eng Obama Isn't Working: Chicago   00:00:50 Homegrown Democrat 
06/15/2011 Jon Huntsman Web Only Ad Mixed eng 6 days  00:00:26 Homegrown Democrat 
06/10/2011 Mitt Romney Web Only Ad Issue eng Mitt on the Road: Detroit, MI   00:01:09 Homegrown Democrat 
05/22/2011 Web Only Ad Biography eng Tim Pawlenty - A Time for Truth (Preview of Monday's Announcement)   00:02:15 Homegrown Democrat 
05/14/2011 Gary Johnson Web Only Ad Issue eng Imagine President Gary Johnson  00:00:30 Craverguy 
05/11/2011 Newt Gingrich Web Only Ad Mixed eng It's Official: Newt Gingrich is Running for President!   00:02:09 Homegrown Democrat 
05/05/2011 Fred Karger Web Only Ad Issue eng Demon Frisbee  00:00:00 Conservative for America. 
03/21/2011 Web Only Ad Issue eng Tim Pawlenty for President Exploratory Committee Annoucement  00:00:00 COSDem 
11/22/2010 Fred Karger TVAd Biography eng Independence Day  00:00:00 Craverguy 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Mar 22, 2013 12:40pm News The Secret Gingrich-Santorum 'Unity Ticket' That Nearly Toppled Romney  Article WesternDem 
May 30, 2012 11:00am News Obama calls Romney to offer congratulations  Article Brandonius Maximus 
May 18, 2012 09:00pm Endorsement Bob Barr endorses Mitt Romney  Article Miro 
May 14, 2012 02:45pm Announcement Ron Paul Will Stop Campaigning, But Will Continue Delegate Hunt  Article Homegrown Democrat 
May 01, 2012 10:40am Video Gingrich Releases Campaign Suspension Video  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 25, 2012 10:10am Announcement BREAKING: Gingrich to end White House bid  Article TX DEM 

DISCUSSION