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US President - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
U.S. Executive
>
Popular Vote
Office
President
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
00, 0000 - 12:00pm
Polls Open
November 06, 2012 - 06:00am
Polls Close
November 06, 2012 - 11:00pm
Term Start
January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout
41.81% Total Population
Contributor
Ralphie
Last Modified
Kane for Senate
April 22, 2013 06:19pm
Data Sources
FEC:
[Link]
CBS news
[Link]
[Link]
Note: Updated numbers from adding the certified returns as reported by the individual states. These ARE the correct numbers for all candidates.
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/04/2008
Name
Barack Obama
Votes
69,456,897 (52.91%)
Term
01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013
Margin
9,522,083 (+7.25%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jan 03, 2012
US President - D Primary
Barack Obama
Jan 03, 2012
US President - R Primary
Mitt Romney
Jun 01, 2012
US President - CST Primary
Ed Noonan
Jun 01, 2012
US President - LBT Primary
Gary Johnson
Jun 05, 2012
US President - GRN Primary
Jill Stein
MAP
KEY RACE?
9.3077001572 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
11/05/2008
11/06/2012
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Barack Obama
32
25
3
--
Mitt Romney
13
3
--
--
Leaning Call: Barack Obama (82.73%)
Weighted Call: Barack Obama (97.61%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
08/14/2009
11/04/2012
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Abt SRBI
American Research Group
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News
Angus Reid
AP-Gfk Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications
BuzzFeed
ccAdvertising (R)
Clarus Research Group
Democracy Corps
Douglas Schoen (D)
Fairleigh Dickinson University
FOX News
FTI Communications
Gallup
George Washington University
GfK
Gravis Marketing
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)
Ipsos
Ipsos-Reid
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics
Marist Institute
Mason-Dixon
McClatchy-Marist
Monmouth University
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff)
New York Times - CBS News
NPR - Public Opinion Strategies & Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
Opinion Dynamics (FOX)
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)
Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates (D)
Pew Research
Pharos Research Group
Princeton Survey Research Associates
Public Policy Polling (D)
Pulse Opinion Research
Purple Strategies (Purple Poll)
Quinnipiac University
RAND American Life Panel
Rasmussen Reports
Reuters/Ipsos
Selzer & Co.
Suffolk University
Survey USA
Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D)
TIME Poll - SRBI Public Affairs
Time-CNN
TIPP
University of Connecticut
UPI/CVoter
USA Today/Gallup
Washington Post/ABC News
Wenzel Strategies (R)
YouGov
Zogby Interactive
Zogby International
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
(I)
President
Barack Obama
Gov.
Mitt Romney
Gov.
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Rep.
Virgil H. Goode, Jr.
(W)
Write-In
Roseanne Barr
Party
Democratic
Republican
Libertarian
Green
Constitution
Nonpartisan
Peace & Freedom
Website
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
Certified Votes
65,907,213 (51.06%)
60,931,757 (47.21%)
1,275,917 (0.99%)
469,547 (0.36%)
122,507 (0.10%)
108,331 (0.08%)
67,394 (0.05%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-4,975,456 (-3.85%)
-64,631,296 (-50.07%)
-65,437,666 (-50.70%)
-65,784,706 (-50.97%)
-65,798,882 (-50.98%)
-65,839,819 (-51.01%)
Predict Avg.
49.87%
47.65%
1.14%
0.40%
0.15%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
MATCHUP POLLS (337 from 56 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
48.03%
--
46.43%
--
1.27%
--
0.81%
--
0.18%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Gallup
11/01/12-11/04/12
48.00%
2.0
49.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling (D)
11/02/12-11/04/12
50.00%
--
48.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
YouGov
10/31/12-11/03/12
48.50%
--
46.50%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pew Research
10/31/12-11/03/12
50.00%
3.0
47.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling (D)
11/01/12-11/03/12
50.00%
1.0
47.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff)
11/01/12-11/03/12
48.00%
1.0
47.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D
Brandonius Maximus
Defenders of Wildlife Action Fund
I
Ryan34
D
Qbanito
Log Cabin Republicans
I
Lee Iacocca
[L]
I
Ross Perot
[L]
Tea Pot Party
LBT
Smart
MNI
Jesse Ventura
[L]
FL
Silver Dime
New Progressive Alliance
NP
Noam Chomsky
[L]
I
Matt Gonzalez
[L]
I
Ralph Nader
[L]
R
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
AENM
Angry Russian
Solidarity (US)
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Mayor
Rocky Anderson
Tom Hoefling
(W)
Rep.
Ron Paul
Randall Terry
Richard A. Duncan
Peta Lindsay
None of the Above
Party
Justice
America's
Independent Republican
Independent
Independent
Socialism and Liberation
Independent
Website
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
Certified Votes
43,027 (0.03%)
40,641 (0.03%)
26,204 (0.02%)
13,105 (0.01%)
12,558 (0.01%)
7,786 (0.01%)
5,770 (0.00%)
Margin
-65,864,186 (-51.03%)
-65,866,572 (-51.03%)
-65,881,009 (-51.04%)
-65,894,108 (-51.05%)
-65,894,655 (-51.05%)
-65,899,427 (-51.06%)
-65,901,443 (-51.06%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
MATCHUP POLLS (337 from 56 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.66%
--
0.66%
--
0.01%
--
0.66%
--
Gallup
11/01/12-11/04/12
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling (D)
11/02/12-11/04/12
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
YouGov
10/31/12-11/03/12
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pew Research
10/31/12-11/03/12
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling (D)
11/01/12-11/03/12
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff)
11/01/12-11/03/12
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
New Progressive Alliance
IS
Sesel
J
Doctor Huh
I
Ralph Nader
[L]
VIEW 65 MORE CANDIDATES
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
Oct 03, 2012 07:00pm
Oct 03, 2012 09:00pm
Debate
First 2012 Presidential Debate
TX DEM
Oct 16, 2012 07:00pm
Oct 16, 2012 09:00pm
Debate
Second 2012 Presidential Debate
TX DEM
Oct 22, 2012 07:10pm
Oct 22, 2012 09:10pm
Debate
Third 2012 Presidential Debate
TX DEM
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
11/06/2012
Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Feel Good
eng
Key & Peele: Obama's Anger Translator - Victory
00:00:30
Dr. King Schultz
11/02/2012
Mitt Romney
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Mr. Burns Endorses Romney
00:00:30
Christie-Toomey '16
11/01/2012
Jill Stein
TVAd
Issue
eng
Climate Storm
00:00:31
Craverguy
11/01/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Solid
00:00:31
Homegrown Democrat
10/28/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
Whedon On Romney
00:02:13
Homegrown Democrat
10/28/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Who Will Do More?
00:00:32
RP
10/27/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Remember
00:00:32
RP
10/24/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
He's Got it Right
00:00:34
RP
10/23/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
At Stake
00:00:32
RP
10/23/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Issue
eng
Determination
00:01:00
RP
10/23/2012
Gary Johnson
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
GARY JOHNSON Cast a vote for Peace
00:00:31
Silver Dime
10/22/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
"You Don't Own Me" PSA
00:02:49
Homegrown Democrat
10/18/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Issue
eng
Seen
00:00:31
RP
10/15/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
Obama Pride: LGBT Americans for Obama
00:05:09
Homegrown Democrat
10/13/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Issue
eng
Challenges
00:00:32
Homegrown Democrat
10/09/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Issue
eng
Big Bird
00:00:30
Homegrown Democrat
10/08/2012
Rocky Anderson vs Gary Johnson
Web Only Ad
Contrast
eng
Rocky Anderson vs Gary Johnson on government protection
00:02:36
Homegrown Democrat
10/08/2012
vs Mitt Romney
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
Thank You, Log Cabin Republicans!
00:01:23
Homegrown Democrat
10/05/2012
Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
Why Obama Now
00:03:44
Homegrown Democrat
10/04/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Trust
00:00:33
RP
10/02/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Already Has
00:00:30
RP
10/02/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Mandatory
00:00:32
RP
09/28/2012
vs Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
Perilous Times
00:09:17
Homegrown Democrat
09/27/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
My Job
00:00:33
RP
09/27/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
Web Only Ad
Mixed
eng
Wake the F**K Up (NSFW)
00:03:41
RP
09/26/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Issue
eng
Table
00:02:03
RP
09/26/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Mixed
eng
Too Many Americans
00:01:01
RP
09/23/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
No Taxes
00:00:30
RP
09/19/2012
vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Doors
00:00:32
RP
09/19/2012
vs Mitt Romney
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
Mitt Romney: Outside the Circle
00:02:09
RP
09/19/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Issue
eng
War on Coal
00:00:30
RP
09/19/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Issue
eng
Way of Life
00:00:30
RP
09/18/2012
Barack Obama
Radio Ad
Feel Good
eng
Gotta
00:01:01
RP
09/17/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Dear Daughter
00:00:30
RP
09/15/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Defend
eng
The Question
00:01:02
RP
09/06/2012
vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
The Breakup
00:00:31
RP
09/03/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Heavy Load
00:00:31
RP
08/30/2012
Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
Paul Ryan: Wrong for the Middle Class
00:02:09
RP
08/30/2012
vs Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
The Poster
00:01:01
RP
08/27/2012
vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Bow to Nobody: Special Operations for America
00:00:34
Homegrown Democrat
08/26/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan: The Do-Over - ConventionReinvention.com
00:01:44
Homegrown Democrat
08/23/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Clear Choice
00:00:33
RP
08/20/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Richmond Times-Dispatch On Welfare Reform
00:00:30
RP
08/17/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Facts
00:00:33
RP
08/14/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Issue
eng
Get Real
00:00:33
RP
08/14/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Issue
eng
Paid In
00:00:30
Homegrown Democrat
08/11/2012
Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan: Back to the Failed Top-Down Policies
00:01:35
Homegrown Democrat
08/10/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
America Deserves Better
00:00:34
RP
08/10/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Defend
eng
Blatant
00:00:31
RP
08/10/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Issue
eng
Romney Would Knock the Wind Out of Iowa's Economy
00:00:30
RP
08/09/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Be Not Afraid
00:00:31
RP
08/09/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Son of Boss
00:00:30
RP
08/08/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Defend
eng
Dubious
00:00:35
RP
08/07/2012
Gary Johnson
Web Only Ad
Mixed
eng
GARY JOHNSON You ARE Libertarian
00:01:22
Silver Dime
08/07/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Right Choice
00:00:30
RP
08/07/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Understands
00:01:03
RP
08/05/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Issue
eng
Cherished Relationship
00:00:30
RP
08/05/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
It's Just Not Getting Better
00:00:30
RP
08/04/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Issue
eng
Important
00:00:31
RP
08/02/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Balanced
00:00:33
RP
08/02/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Focus
00:00:30
RP
08/02/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Stretch
00:00:31
RP
08/01/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Dream
00:00:30
RP
08/01/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Biography
eng
Time For A Change
00:00:54
RP
07/31/2012
Mitt Romney
TVAd
Biography
eng
Believe In Our Future
00:01:02
RP
07/31/2012
Barack Obama vs Mitt Romney
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Worried
00:00:32
RP
07/30/2012
vs Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
FightBigotry.com: Obama's disturbing pattern of tacitly defending black racism
00:02:01
Homegrown Democrat
07/30/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Mixed
eng
The Right Kind of Leadership
00:00:32
RP
07/30/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
These Hands: Ohio
00:01:56
RP
07/27/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Mixed
eng
I Believe
00:00:33
RP
07/26/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
It Worked
00:00:56
RP
07/17/2012
Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
Even Republicans Agree: Mitt Romney's Hiding Something
00:01:17
RP
07/17/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Makes You Wonder
00:00:32
Homegrown Democrat
07/16/2012
Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
An Indecent Proposal from Sarah Silverman [NSFW]
00:01:37
Homegrown Democrat
07/16/2012
Mitt Romney
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
Political Payoffs And Middle Class Layoffs
00:00:35
Homegrown Democrat
07/15/2012
Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Hope and Change?
00:00:29
Monsieur
07/14/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Firms
00:00:33
karin1492
07/13/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
What Happened?
00:00:30
RP
07/13/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Your Turn
00:00:32
RP
07/12/2012
Mitt Romney vs Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
No Evidence
00:00:32
RP
07/10/2012
Gary Johnson
Issue Video
Issue
eng
GARY JOHNSON will END the IRS
00:01:32
Silver Dime
07/02/2012
Gary Johnson
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
GARY JOHNSON Ask Any Country That's Tried Govt. Healthcare
00:01:10
Silver Dime
06/29/2012
Mitt Romney
TVAd
Attack
eng
Shame On You
00:00:30
Homegrown Democrat
06/06/2012
Gary Johnson
Web Only Ad
Contrast
eng
GARY JOHNSON Be Libertarian With Me
00:02:14
Silver Dime
05/23/2012
Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
President Obama and the Fight for LGBT Rights
00:05:03
Homegrown Democrat
05/21/2012
Gary Johnson
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
Gary Johnson Peace is cheaper
00:02:02
Silver Dime
05/15/2012
Mitt Romney
TVAd
Issue
eng
A Few of the 23 Million
00:03:59
RP
05/15/2012
Gary Johnson
Web Only Ad
Mixed
eng
Gary Johnson: This Is Your Freedom
00:00:00
Jason
05/15/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Attack
eng
Heads or Tails
00:00:32
RP
05/10/2012
Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
Mitt Romney: Backwards on Equality
00:01:40
Homegrown Democrat
05/07/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Biography
eng
Go
00:01:02
RP
05/01/2012
Barack Obama
TVAd
Mixed
eng
Swiss Bank Account
00:00:30
Homegrown Democrat
04/27/2012
Barack Obama
Web Only Ad
Contrast
eng
One Chance
00:01:30
Servo
04/26/2012
TVAd
Attack
eng
Cool
00:00:45
Homegrown Democrat
03/21/2012
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
Mitt Romney: Some Things You Can't Shake Off
00:00:48
Homegrown Democrat
03/21/2012
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
Romney: The Etch A Sketch Candidate
00:01:01
Homegrown Democrat
03/13/2012
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
War On Women: Extended Cut
00:01:38
Homegrown Democrat
02/16/2012
Web Only Ad
Attack
eng
The REAL Mitt On The Road
00:00:36
Homegrown Democrat
01/27/2012
Rocky Anderson
Web Only Ad
Issue
eng
End Corruption
00:00:00
Craverguy
01/03/2012
TVAd
Attack
eng
Mitt Romney: Job Creator?
00:00:31
RP
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Dec 24, 2012 01:00pm
News
Romney campaign caught off guard by fact that Obama staffers worked
Article
TX DEM
Nov 26, 2012 01:55am
Blog Entry
Mitt Romney '47 percent watch': 47.47!
Article
Homegrown Democrat
Nov 15, 2012 07:00pm
Analysis
Gay Vote Proved a Boon for Obama
Article
Homegrown Democrat
Nov 10, 2012 07:00pm
Analysis
US election: Victor of a deeply divided nation with crisis looming
Article
La Fayette
Nov 09, 2012 12:45pm
Picture
Election Infographic Shows Most Educated States Voted for Obama
Article
McCord 2014
Nov 08, 2012 09:00pm
News
The last days of Romneyland
Article
McCord 2014
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