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  PA US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline February 14, 2012 - 05:00pm
Polls Open April 24, 2012 - 06:00am
Polls Close April 24, 2012 - 07:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 25.07% Registered 6.18% Total Population
ContributorMcCord 2014
Last ModifiedM@ August 27, 2012 08:31am
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2006
NameBob Casey Jr. Votes2,392,984 (58.64%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin708,206 (+17.35%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameBob Casey Jr. Votes3,021,364 (53.69%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin512,232 (+9.10%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RacePA US Senate 11/06/2012
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/24/2011 04/24/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Steve Welch 2 ------
Samuel E. Rohrer 4 1 --2
Tom Smith 4 ------
Leaning Call: Samuel E. Rohrer (70.00%)
Weighted Call: 0 (0.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/03/2011 04/17/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Tom Smith St. Rep. Samuel E. Rohrer Steve Welch David A. Christian Marc A. Scaringi  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican  
Certified Votes299,726 (39.52%) 169,118 (22.30%) 158,181 (20.85%) 79,581 (10.49%) 51,908 (6.84%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -130,608 (-17.22%) -141,545 (-18.66%) -220,145 (-29.02%) -247,818 (-32.67%)  
Predict Avg.22.00% 26.00% 14.00% 20.00% 18.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (10 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg18.54%-- 11.91%-- 2.08%-- 2.45%-- 0.84%--  
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
04/15/12-04/17/12
35.00% 6.0 16.00% 2.0 10.00% 1.0 5.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
04/09/12-04/11/12
29.00% 7.0 14.00% 1.0 9.00% 1.0 7.00% -- 2.00% 2.0
Wenzel Strategies (R) 
03/26/12-03/27/12
25.70% -- 17.90% -- 2.20% -- 4.30% -- 1.70% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
03/20/12-03/25/12
9.00% -- 7.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
03/08/12-03/11/12
12.00% 9.0 16.00% 9.0 5.00% 4.0 10.00% -- 8.00% 8.0
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
02/02/12-02/06/12
8.00% -- 10.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R William E. "Bill" Ames Jr. [L]
R Joseph E. "Joe" Kantz [L]
R Mike Folmer [L]
R Donald C. "Don" White [L]
R Republitarian
R Herman Cain [L]
R Michele Bachmann [L]
  Gun Owners of America
  Pennsylvania Republican Party
R Tom Corbett [L]
R Tom Hogan [L]
R Daniel George Truitt, Sr. [L]
LBT Smart
LBT Jed
  Republican Liberty Caucus
 

EVENTS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 16, 2011 07:00am General GOP wooing U.S. Rep. Pat Meehan to seek nod to run against Sen. Casey  Article Jason 
Aug 12, 2011 12:00pm News Former PA-12 Candidate Tim Burns Mulling Run Against Casey  Article RBH 
Mar 21, 2011 10:20am Speculative Roarty: Dicks Sporting Goods CEO Ed Stack Mulling Challenge to Casey  Article 00 
Dec 09, 2010 06:00pm General State Senator Kim Ward Emerges as Potential Challenger to Bob Casey  Article COSDem 
Nov 23, 2010 02:00pm Announcement Ex-Santorum aide to challenge Casey  Article Monsieur 

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