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  French President - PS Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > France > President
OfficePresident
TypeSocialist Primary Election
Filing Deadline July 13, 2011 - 12:00pm
Polls Open October 09, 2011 - 09:00am
Polls Close October 09, 2011 - 02:00pm
Term Start May 10, 2012 - 12:00pm
Term End May 10, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 1310.95% Registered
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedM@ October 15, 2011 08:10pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyUnion for a Popular Movement Won05/06/2007
NameNicolas Sarkozy Votes18,983,408 (53.06%)
Term05/16/2007 - 05/26/2012 Margin2,192,797 (+6.13%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartySocialist Won05/06/2012
NameFrançois Hollande Votes18,000,668 (51.64%)
Term05/15/2012 - 05/00/2017 Margin1,139,983 (+3.27%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFrench President - Runoff 05/06/2012
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.3332996368 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/16/2010 10/09/2011
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
François Hollande 4 3 1 --
Martine Aubry 1 ------
Leaning Call: François Hollande (92.86%)
Weighted Call: François Hollande (76.77%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
04/29/2008 09/30/2011

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name National Assembly François Hollande Party Leader Martine Aubry National Assembly Arnaud Montebourg Regional President Ségolène Royal National Assembly Manuel Valls Jean-Michel Baylet Blank - Void
PartySocialist Socialist Socialist Socialist Socialist Socialist Socialist
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Certified Votes1,038,188 (39.01%) 806,168 (30.29%) 455,601 (17.12%) 184,091 (6.92%) 149,103 (5.60%) 17,055 (0.64%) 11,025 (0.41%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -232,020 (-8.72%) -582,587 (-21.89%) -854,097 (-32.09%) -889,085 (-33.41%) -1,021,133 (-38.37%) -1,027,163 (-38.60%)
Predict Avg.39.00% 30.00% 11.00% 12.00% 6.00% 2.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (30 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg40.25%-- 27.66%-- 7.89%-- 13.43%-- 5.01%-- 0.96%-- 0.00%--
IFOP 
09/15/11-09/30/11
42.00% -- 27.00% 7.0 8.00% 4.0 11.00% 2.0 5.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% --
CSA 
09/19/11-09/20/11
34.00% 3.0 27.00% 4.0 6.00% 1.0 19.00% 3.0 4.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% --
BVA 
09/16/11-09/18/11
44.00% -- 28.00% -- 11.00% -- 9.00% -- 7.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
08/23/11-08/26/11
41.00% 4.0 31.00% 3.0 5.00% 1.0 13.00% -- 6.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% --
CSA 
08/22/11-08/23/11
37.00% 4.0 31.00% 8.0 5.00% 2.0 16.00% 4.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
08/19/11-08/20/11
42.00% -- 31.00% -- 5.00% -- 18.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
PS Jack Lang [L]
PS Jean-Jacques Urvoas [L]
PS Frédérique Espagnac [L]
MUP Robert Hue [L]
PS Pierre Mauroy [L]
PS Bruno Julliard [L]
PS Valérie Fourneyron [L]
PS Catherine Trautmann [L]
PS Philippe Tourtelier [L]
PS Géraud Guibert [L]
PS Michel Moine [L]
PS Christophe Caresche [L]
SNP Progressive Scot
PS Jean-Patrick Gille [L]
PS Martine Lignières-Cassou [L]
PS Danielle Bousquet [L]
PS Philippe Esnol [L]
PS Patrick Sève [L]
PS René Rouquet [L]
PS Michèle Sabban [L]
PS Eddie Ait [L]
PRG Patrick Molinoz [L]
PRG Elisabeth Boyer [L]
PRG Thierry Braillard [L]

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/26/2011 François Hollande Infomercial Biography eng Can Francois Hollande take on Nicolas Sarkozy?  00:02:04 Progressive Scot 
08/26/2011 Martine Aubry Infomercial Biography eng Can Martine Aubry take on Nicolas Sarkozy?  00:01:39 Progressive Scot 
08/25/2011 Ségolène Royal Infomercial Biography eng Can Segolene Royal take on Nicolas Sarkozy?  00:01:52 Progressive Scot 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 28, 2011 05:05pm Announcement Martine Aubry launches French presidential election bid  Article La Fayette 
Jun 27, 2011 10:35am News France's Socialist presidential hopefuls prepare for battle  Article La Fayette 
Jun 14, 2011 01:05pm News The Socialists’ two-horse race  Article La Fayette 
Nov 22, 2008 03:40am News French Socialists Elect Aubry as New Head; Royal Urges New Vote  Article Otis Gough 
May 23, 2008 07:00am Speculative Gay Mayor of Paris sets his sights on French presidency  Article Craverguy 
May 19, 2008 04:00pm News Royal seeks second chance in battle to depose Sarkozy  Article M@ 

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