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  French President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > France > President
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election - Requires Run-Off
Filing Deadline March 16, 2012 - 06:30pm Central
Polls Open April 22, 2012 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close April 22, 2012 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start May 15, 2012 - 12:00pm
Term End May 14, 2017 - 12:00pm
# Winners2
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia March 02, 2019 03:47pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyUnion for a Popular Movement Won05/06/2007
NameNicolas Sarkozy Votes18,983,408 (53.06%)
Term05/16/2007 - 05/26/2012 Margin2,192,797 (+6.13%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartySocialist Won05/06/2012
NameFrançois Hollande Votes18,000,668 (51.64%)
Term05/15/2012 - 05/14/2017 Margin1,139,983 (+3.27%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFrench President - Runoff 05/06/2012
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/31/2008 04/22/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Nicolas Sarkozy 8 ------
François Hollande 15 5 ----
Leaning Call: François Hollande (75.76%)
Weighted Call: François Hollande (64.22%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/14/2011 04/20/2012

CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo
Name Deputy François Hollande (I) Interior Minister Nicolas Sarkozy Party Leader Marine Le Pen Jean-Luc Mélenchon Party Leader François Bayrou Eva Joly Deputy Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
PartySocialist Union for a Popular Movement National Front Left Democratic Movement Greens Debout la République
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 10,273,582 (28.63%) 9,753,844 (27.18%) 6,421,773 (17.90%) 3,985,298 (11.11%) 3,275,349 (9.13%) 828,451 (2.31%) 644,086 (1.80%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -519,738 (-1.45%) -3,851,809 (-10.73%) -6,288,284 (-17.52%) -6,998,233 (-19.50%) -9,445,131 (-26.32%) -9,629,496 (-26.83%)
Predict Avg.17.00% 17.50% 7.00% 2.50% 6.00% 0.50% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2011
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (160 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg28.03%-- 26.74%-- 15.12%-- 11.58%-- 8.63%-- 2.71%-- 1.98%--
IFOP 
04/17/12-04/20/12		 27.00% 1.0 27.00% 1.0 16.00% -- 13.50% -- 10.50% 0.5 3.00% 0.5 1.50% --
Ipsos 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 29.00% 2.0 25.50% 1.5 16.00% 0.5 14.00% 0.5 10.00% -- 2.00% 0.5 1.50% 0.5
TNS Sofres 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 27.00% 1.0 27.00% 1.0 17.00% 1.0 13.00% 3.0 10.00% 1.0 3.00% 0.5 2.00% 1.0
BVA 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 30.00% 0.5 26.50% 1.0 14.00% -- 14.00% 1.0 10.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 2.00% 1.0
CSA 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 28.00% 1.0 25.00% 1.0 16.00% 1.0 14.50% 0.5 10.50% 0.5 2.00% -- 1.50% --
Harris Interactive 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 27.50% 0.5 26.50% 1.5 16.00% -- 12.00% 1.0 11.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
SNP Progressive Scot
RS Brigitte Girardin 🔗
DIV Martin Hirsch 🔗
RS Azouz Begag 🔗
CAP21 Corinne Lepage 🔗
RR Jean-Pierre Chevènement 🔗
UMP Jean-Jacques Aillagon 🔗
MRC Georges Sarre 🔗
D Some say...
I Takahe
SNP Progressive Scot
LAB New Jerusalem
IND Monsieur
D La Fayette
LBR Old LW
R Rama Yade 🔗
R Maryland Republican
UDI Jean-Louis Borloo 🔗
NC New Centre Party
N Beate Klarsfeld 🔗
CPNT Frédéric Nihous 🔗
PS Claude Allègre 🔗
UDI Hervé Morin 🔗
PCD Christine Boutin 🔗
CDU Angela Merkel 🔗
LGM Jean-Marie Bockel 🔗
UDI Francis Vercamer 🔗
NC Christian Blanc 🔗
UDI François Rochebloine 🔗
NC André Santini 🔗
UDI Jean-Christophe Lagarde 🔗
NC Maurice Leroy 🔗
UDI François Sauvadet 🔗
NC Hervé de Charette 🔗
UDI Yves Jégo 🔗
R Kyle
AENM Angry Russian
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
G BR_Green
I E Pluribus Unum
IS Sesel
PCF French Communist Party
NPA Hélène Adam 🔗
NPA Pierre-François Grond 🔗
NPA Myriam Martin 🔗
D Ashley
Laf-W Craverguy
D EastTexasDem
D La Fayette
H Joël Guerriau 🔗
UMP Christian Namy 🔗
DVD Henri Tandonnet 🔗
UDI François Zocchetto 🔗
NC Nathalie Goulet 🔗
NC Jean Boyer 🔗
UMP Pierre Bernard-Reymond 🔗
NC Laurent Lafon 🔗
UDI Pierre Jarlier 🔗
DVD Philippe Adnot 🔗
LREM Jean Arthuis 🔗
Verts Thierry Billet 🔗
UMP Philippe Douste-Blazy 🔗
UMP Dominique Versini 🔗
NC Yves Pozzo di Borgo 🔗
DVD Pierre Albertini 🔗
NC Anne-Marie Idrac 🔗
UMP Alain Lambert 🔗
NC Bernard Bosson 🔗
AC Philippe Folliot 🔗
DVD Daniel Garrigue 🔗
Rødt Jompa89
D Bob
DVD Jean-Louis Masson 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Philippe Poutou Nathalie Arthaud Jacques Cheminade  
PartyNew Anticapitalist Lutte Ouvrière Solidarity and Progress  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 411,178 (1.15%) 202,562 (0.56%) 89,572 (0.25%)  
Margin-9,862,404 (-27.48%) -10,071,020 (-28.06%) -10,184,010 (-28.38%)  
Predict Avg.0.75% 0.50% 0.25%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2010 00/00/2011 00/00/2012  
MATCHUP POLLS (160 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.93%-- 0.37%-- 0.24%--  
IFOP 
04/17/12-04/20/12		 1.00% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 1.50% 0.5 0.00% 1.0 0.50% --
TNS Sofres 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 1.00% 0.5 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
BVA 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 1.50% 0.5 0.00% -- 0.00% --
CSA 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 1.50% 0.5 1.00% 0.5 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
04/18/12-04/19/12		 1.50% 1.0 0.50% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
POUM Zeus the Moose
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
04/10/2012 François Hollande Web Only Ad Mixed eng 48 H AVEC FH par #2H12CREW   00:03:12 Homegrown Democrat 
04/09/2012 Eva Joly Web Only Ad Issue eng Eva Joly - Europe Ecologie Les Verts (Spot de campagne 2012)  00:03:35 Homegrown Democrat 

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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Apr 18, 2012 12:10am News France election: Hollande threatens to veto fiscal pact  Article La Fayette 
Apr 17, 2012 12:55pm News France ex-President Chirac 'to vote for Hollande'  Article New Jerusalem 
Apr 15, 2012 06:30pm News France elections 2012: Nicolas Sarkozy declared most unpopular president in history  Article La Fayette 
Apr 15, 2012 05:40pm Opinion Jean-Luc Mélenchon's policies are no far-left fantasy  Article La Fayette 
Mar 31, 2012 08:35am Analysis An inconvenient truth  Article La Fayette 
Mar 27, 2012 07:00am Editorial French Presidential Marry, Boff, Kill  Article TX DEM 
Mar 19, 2012 04:10pm News French election campaign on hold after school shooting  Article Craverguy 
Mar 18, 2012 12:45pm Event Tens of thousands march for leftist French candidate  Article Craverguy 
Mar 15, 2012 10:50pm News Dominique de Villepin admits he needs a 'miracle'  Article La Fayette 
Mar 13, 2012 05:45pm News Nicolas Sarkozy immigration speech sparks French presidential poll surge  Article La Fayette 
Mar 13, 2012 09:00am Opinion Nicolas Le Pen  Article La Fayette 
Jan 24, 2012 04:25pm News Sarkozy admits election defeat is a possibility  Article La Fayette 
Jan 23, 2012 11:35am News French Presidential Frontrunner Hollande Pledges to Limit Power of Banks  Article La Fayette 
Jan 20, 2012 11:25am News Marine Le Pen: A Fatal Attraction?  Article La Fayette 
Jan 17, 2012 02:00am News French centrist Bayrou leads in popularity, new poll shows  Article La Fayette 
Sep 13, 2011 08:20pm News French Socialist party election overshadowed by love triangle  Article La Fayette 
Sep 13, 2011 12:05am News African dirty cash scandal rocks France  Article La Fayette 
May 11, 2011 11:40am News France sets 2012 presidential election dates  Article La Fayette 
May 04, 2011 08:05am Analysis France: En route to a fight  Article La Fayette 
Apr 22, 2011 09:00am News Voters set to spurn Sarkozy in next year's presidential poll   Article La Fayette 
Mar 21, 2011 11:00pm Poll Poll sees Strauss Khan-Le Pen in France 2012 vote  Article IndyGeorgia 
Apr 16, 2010 03:00pm Poll French Socialists Like Strauss-Kahn in 2012  Article Ralphie 
Nov 13, 2009 08:00pm Poll Strauss-Kahn Could Threaten Sarkozy in France  Article Ralphie 

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