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  French President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > France > President
OfficePresident
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 16, 2012 - 06:30pm
Polls Open April 22, 2012 - 09:00am
Polls Close April 22, 2012 - 12:00pm
Term Start May 15, 2012 - 12:00pm
Term End 00, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 6239.50% Registered
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia November 30, 2012 07:50pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyUnion for a Popular Movement Won05/06/2007
NameNicolas Sarkozy Votes18,983,408 (53.06%)
Term05/16/2007 - 05/26/2012 Margin2,192,797 (+6.13%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartySocialist Won05/06/2012
NameFrançois Hollande Votes18,000,668 (51.64%)
Term05/15/2012 - 05/00/2017 Margin1,139,983 (+3.27%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFrench President 05/06/2012
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 10.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/31/2008 04/22/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Nicolas Sarkozy 8 ------
François Hollande 15 5 ----
Leaning Call: François Hollande (75.76%)
Weighted Call: François Hollande (75.37%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/14/2011 04/20/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name National Assembly François Hollande (I) Interior Minister Nicolas Sarkozy Party Leader Marine Le Pen Jean-Luc Mélenchon Party Leader François Bayrou Eva Joly National Assembly Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
PartySocialist Union for a Popular Movement National Front Left Democratic Movement Green Arise the Republic
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes10,273,582 (28.63%) 9,753,844 (27.18%) 6,421,773 (17.90%) 3,985,298 (11.11%) 3,275,349 (9.13%) 828,451 (2.31%) 644,086 (1.80%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -519,738 (-1.45%) -3,851,809 (-10.73%) -6,288,284 (-17.52%) -6,998,233 (-19.50%) -9,445,131 (-26.32%) -9,629,496 (-26.83%)
Predict Avg.17.00% 17.50% 7.00% 2.50% 6.00% 0.50% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Bar
       
MATCHUP POLLS (160 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg28.48%-- 27.55%-- 16.23%-- 11.61%-- 8.95%-- 2.70%-- 1.74%--
IFOP 
04/17/12-04/20/12
27.00% 1.0 27.00% 1.0 16.00% -- 13.50% -- 10.50% 0.5 3.00% 0.5 1.50% --
Ipsos 
04/18/12-04/19/12
29.00% 2.0 25.50% 1.5 16.00% 0.5 14.00% 0.5 10.00% -- 2.00% 0.5 1.50% 0.5
TNS Sofres 
04/18/12-04/19/12
27.00% 1.0 27.00% 1.0 17.00% 1.0 13.00% 3.0 10.00% 1.0 3.00% 0.5 2.00% 1.0
BVA 
04/18/12-04/19/12
30.00% 0.5 26.50% 1.0 14.00% -- 14.00% 1.0 10.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 2.00% 1.0
CSA 
04/18/12-04/19/12
28.00% 1.0 25.00% 1.0 16.00% 1.0 14.50% 0.5 10.50% 0.5 2.00% -- 1.50% --
Harris Interactive 
04/18/12-04/19/12
27.50% 0.5 26.50% 1.5 16.00% -- 12.00% 1.0 11.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% 1.0
IFOP 
04/16/12-04/19/12
26.00% -- 28.00% 0.5 16.00% -- 13.50% -- 11.00% -- 2.50% 0.5 1.50% --
LH2 
04/17/12-04/18/12
27.00% 2.5 26.50% 0.5 15.50% 1.5 15.00% 2.0 10.00% 0.5 2.50% -- 1.50% --
IFOP 
04/14/12-04/18/12
26.00% 1.5 27.50% 0.5 16.00% -- 13.50% 0.5 11.00% 1.0 3.00% 0.5 1.50% 0.5
CSA 
04/16/12-04/17/12
29.00% 2.0 24.00% 2.0 17.00% 2.0 15.00% 2.0 10.00% 1.0 2.00% 0.5 1.50% 0.5
BVA 
04/16/12-04/17/12
29.50% 1.5 27.50% 0.5 14.00% 1.0 13.00% 1.0 12.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 1.00% --
OpinionWay 
04/16/12-04/17/12
27.50% 0.5 27.50% 0.5 16.00% -- 13.00% -- 10.00% -- 2.00% 0.5 1.50% 0.5
IFOP 
04/14/12-04/17/12
26.50% 1.0 27.50% 0.5 16.00% -- 13.50% 0.5 10.50% 0.5 3.00% 0.5 1.50% 0.5
Harris Interactive 
04/12/12-04/16/12
27.00% 1.0 28.00% 1.0 17.00% 1.0 12.00% 2.0 11.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 1.50% 0.5
IFOP 
04/12/12-04/15/12
27.50% 0.5 27.00% 1.0 16.00% -- 14.00% 1.0 10.00% 0.5 2.50% 0.5 1.00% --
Ipsos 
04/13/12-04/14/12
27.00% 1.5 27.00% 2.0 15.50% 0.5 14.50% -- 10.00% 0.5 2.50% 1.0 1.00% --
IFOP 
04/10/12-04/13/12
27.00% -- 28.00% 0.5 16.00% -- 13.00% 0.5 10.50% 0.5 3.00% -- 1.00% 0.5
TNS Sofres 
04/11/12-04/12/12
28.00% 2.0 26.00% -- 16.00% -- 16.00% 6.0 9.00% 2.5 2.50% 0.5 1.00% --
IFOP 
04/09/12-04/12/12
27.00% -- 28.50% 0.5 16.00% -- 13.50% 0.5 10.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.50% --
BVA 
04/11/12-04/12/12
30.00% 0.5 27.00% 1.0 15.00% 2.0 13.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.50% 1.0
CSA 
04/10/12-04/11/12
27.00% 2.0 26.00% 4.0 15.00% 2.0 17.00% 2.0 11.00% 1.0 1.50% -- 1.00% 0.5
OpinionWay 
04/10/12-04/11/12
27.00% -- 28.00% 4.0 16.00% -- 13.00% 5.5 10.00% 4.0 2.50% 1.5 2.00% 1.0
LH2 
04/10/12-04/11/12
29.50% 1.0 27.00% 0.5 14.00% 0.5 13.00% 2.0 10.50% 1.5 2.50% 0.5 1.50% 1.0
IFOP 
04/06/12-04/10/12
27.00% -- 28.00% -- 16.00% 1.0 14.00% 0.5 10.00% -- 3.00% 0.5 1.50% 0.5
IFOP 
04/06/12-04/10/12
27.50% 0.5 28.00% -- 16.50% 0.5 14.00% 0.5 9.50% 0.5 2.50% -- 1.50% 0.5
Ipsos 
04/06/12-04/07/12
28.50% 1.0 29.00% 0.5 15.00% 1.0 14.50% -- 9.50% 0.5 1.50% 0.5 1.00% --
IFOP 
04/05/12-04/07/12
27.00% 0.5 28.00% 0.5 17.00% 1.0 13.50% 0.5 10.00% -- 2.50% 0.5 1.00% 0.5
IFOP 
04/02/12-04/05/12
26.50% 1.0 28.50% -- 16.00% 0.5 13.00% 0.5 10.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 1.50% 0.5
OpinionWay 
04/03/12-04/04/12
26.00% 1.0 28.50% 0.5 16.00% 1.0 14.00% 3.0 11.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 1.00% --
IFOP 
03/31/12-04/04/12
27.00% 0.5 28.50% 0.5 16.00% 0.5 12.50% -- 10.50% 0.5 3.00% 0.5 1.00% --
CSA 
04/02/12-04/03/12
29.00% 1.0 30.00% -- 13.00% 0.5 15.00% 2.0 10.00% 3.0 1.50% 0.5 0.50% --
IFOP 
03/31/12-04/03/12
27.50% -- 28.50% 0.5 15.50% -- 12.50% -- 11.00% -- 3.00% 0.5 1.00% --
IFOP 
03/29/12-04/02/12
27.50% 0.5 29.00% 0.5 15.50% 0.5 12.50% 1.0 11.00% 0.5 2.50% -- 1.00% --
Harris Interactive 
03/29/12-04/02/12
26.00% 2.0 29.00% 4.0 16.00% 3.0 14.00% 8.0 10.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 1.00% --
Ipsos 
03/30/12-03/31/12
27.50% 0.5 29.50% 2.0 14.00% 2.0 14.50% 1.5 10.00% 1.5 2.00% -- 1.00% --
BVA 
03/29/12-03/31/12
28.00% 5.0 27.00% 2.0 15.00% 1.0 14.00% 6.0 11.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 1.00% --
LH2 
03/30/12-03/31/12
28.50% 2.0 27.50% -- 13.50% 1.0 15.00% 4.0 12.00% 0.5 2.00% 0.5 0.50% --
IFOP 
03/27/12-03/30/12
27.00% 0.5 28.50% 0.5 16.00% 0.5 13.50% 0.5 10.50% 0.5 2.50% -- 1.00% --
IFOP 
03/26/12-03/29/12
26.50% -- 28.00% 0.5 16.50% 0.5 14.00% -- 11.00% -- 2.50% -- 1.00% --
IFOP 
03/24/12-03/28/12
26.50% -- 27.50% 1.0 16.00% 0.5 14.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 2.50% -- 1.00% 0.5
TNS Sofres 
03/26/12-03/27/12
28.00% 3.0 29.00% 7.0 15.00% 4.0 13.50% -- 10.00% 4.5 2.00% -- 1.00% --
CSA 
03/26/12-03/27/12
26.00% 6.0 30.00% 4.0 15.00% 1.0 12.50% 6.5 12.50% 1.5 2.50% 0.5 0.50% --
OpinionWay 
03/26/12-03/27/12
27.00% 0.5 28.00% 0.5 17.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 12.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 1.00% --
IFOP 
03/24/12-03/27/12
26.50% -- 28.00% 0.5 16.00% 0.5 13.50% 0.5 11.50% 0.5 2.50% -- 0.50% --
Harris Interactive 
03/21/12-03/26/12
27.00% 1.0 28.00% 1.0 16.00% -- 13.00% 2.0 11.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 1.00% --
IFOP 
03/22/12-03/25/12
26.50% 0.5 28.50% -- 15.50% 0.5 13.00% 1.0 12.00% -- 2.50% 0.5 0.50% --
Ipsos 
03/23/12-03/24/12
28.00% 0.5 27.50% -- 16.00% 1.0 13.00% 1.5 11.50% 1.5 2.00% -- 1.00% 0.5
IFOP 
03/20/12-03/23/12
27.00% 1.0 28.50% 0.5 16.00% 1.0 12.00% 1.5 12.00% -- 3.00% 0.5 0.50% 0.5
BVA 
03/21/12-03/22/12
29.50% 2.5 28.00% 7.0 13.00% 4.0 14.00% -- 12.00% 8.0 2.00% -- 1.50% 1.5
IFOP 
03/17/12-03/21/12
28.00% 0.5 28.00% 0.5 17.00% -- 10.50% -- 12.00% 0.5 2.50% 0.5 1.00% 0.5
CSA 
03/19/12-03/20/12
28.00% -- 30.00% 2.0 13.50% 2.5 13.00% 2.0 13.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.50% 0.5
IFOP 
03/17/12-03/20/12
28.00% 0.5 27.50% -- 17.50% 0.5 10.50% -- 12.00% 0.5 2.50% 0.5 1.00% 0.5
Harris Interactive 
03/15/12-03/19/12
28.00% 1.0 27.00% 2.0 16.00% 2.0 11.00% 2.0 12.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 1.00% --
IFOP 
03/15/12-03/19/12
27.50% 1.0 27.50% -- 17.00% -- 10.50% -- 12.50% 0.5 3.00% -- 0.50% --
LH2 
03/16/12-03/17/12
30.50% -- 27.50% 4.5 14.50% 0.5 11.00% 2.5 12.50% 2.5 2.50% 2.0 0.50% --
Ipsos 
03/16/12-03/17/12
28.50% 1.0 27.50% 2.5 15.00% 2.5 11.50% 2.0 13.00% 0.5 2.00% -- 1.50% 0.5
IFOP 
03/13/12-03/16/12
26.50% -- 27.50% 0.5 17.00% -- 10.50% 0.5 13.00% 0.5 3.00% 0.5 0.50% --
OpinionWay 
03/14/12-03/15/12
27.50% 1.5 27.50% 1.5 16.00% 1.0 10.00% 2.0 13.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 1.00% --
IFOP 
03/12/12-03/15/12
26.50% 0.5 28.00% 0.5 17.00% 1.0 10.00% -- 13.50% 0.5 2.50% -- 0.50% 0.5
IFOP 
03/11/12-03/14/12
27.00% 2.0 28.00% 1.5 16.50% 1.0 10.50% 1.0 13.00% 1.0 2.00% 0.5 0.50% --
CSA 
03/12/12-03/13/12
28.00% 2.0 28.00% -- 16.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 13.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0
IFOP 
03/11/12-03/13/12
27.50% 1.5 28.50% 2.0 16.50% 1.0 10.00% 0.5 12.50% 0.5 2.00% 0.5 0.50% --
TNS Sofres 
03/12/12-03/12/12
30.00% -- 26.00% 2.0 16.00% 1.0 10.00% 0.5 11.50% 1.0 3.00% 0.5 1.00% 1.0
IFOP 
03/11/12-03/10/12
27.00% 0.5 28.50% -- 16.00% 0.5 10.00% -- 13.00% 0.5 2.50% 0.5 1.00% 0.5
IFOP 
03/05/12-03/08/12
29.00% 0.5 26.50% 0.5 17.50% 1.0 9.50% 1.5 12.00% 0.5 2.50% 0.5 0.50% --
OpinionWay 
03/05/12-03/07/12
29.00% -- 26.00% 1.0 17.00% 1.0 8.00% -- 13.00% -- 3.00% 1.0 1.00% 0.5
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
SNP Progressive Scot
RS Brigitte Girardin [L]
D Martin Hirsch [L]
RS Azouz Begag [L]
R Rama Yade [L]
R Maryland Republican
R Jean-Louis Borloo [L]
NC New Centre Party New Centre Party
AM Conservative for America.
AENM Angry Russian
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
IS Sesel
PCF French Communist Party
NPA Hélène Adam [L]
NPA Pierre-François Grond [L]
D La Fayette
NC Joël Guerriau [L]
UMP Christian Namy [L]
DD Henri Tandonnet [L]
Rødt Jompa89
D Bob
DD Jean-Louis Masson [L]
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Philippe Poutou Nathalie Arthaud Jacques Cheminade  
PartyNew Anticapitalist Workers' Struggle Solidarity and Progress  
Website [Website]  
Uncertified Votes411,178 (1.15%) 202,562 (0.56%) 89,572 (0.25%)  
Margin-9,862,404 (-27.48%) -10,071,020 (-28.06%) -10,184,010 (-28.38%)  
Predict Avg.0.75% 0.50% 0.25%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Bar
   
MATCHUP POLLS (160 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.96%-- 0.12%-- 0.25%--  
IFOP 
04/17/12-04/20/12
1.00% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
04/18/12-04/19/12
1.50% 0.5 0.00% 1.0 0.50% --
TNS Sofres 
04/18/12-04/19/12
1.00% 0.5 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
BVA 
04/18/12-04/19/12
1.50% 0.5 0.00% -- 0.00% --
CSA 
04/18/12-04/19/12
1.50% 0.5 1.00% 0.5 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
04/18/12-04/19/12
1.50% 1.0 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
04/16/12-04/19/12
1.00% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
LH2 
04/17/12-04/18/12
1.00% 0.5 1.00% 0.5 0.00% --
IFOP 
04/14/12-04/18/12
1.00% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
CSA 
04/16/12-04/17/12
1.00% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% 0.5
BVA 
04/16/12-04/17/12
1.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
OpinionWay 
04/16/12-04/17/12
2.00% 1.0 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
IFOP 
04/14/12-04/17/12
1.00% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
04/12/12-04/16/12
1.00% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
04/12/12-04/15/12
1.00% 0.5 1.00% 0.5 0.00% 0.5
Ipsos 
04/13/12-04/14/12
1.00% 0.5 1.00% 0.5 0.50% 0.5
IFOP 
04/10/12-04/13/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.50% 0.5
TNS Sofres 
04/11/12-04/12/12
0.50% -- 1.00% 0.5 0.00% --
IFOP 
04/09/12-04/12/12
0.00% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
BVA 
04/11/12-04/12/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% 0.5 0.50% 0.5
CSA 
04/10/12-04/11/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.50% 0.5
OpinionWay 
04/10/12-04/11/12
1.00% -- 1.00% 0.5 0.00% --
LH2 
04/10/12-04/11/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
04/06/12-04/10/12
0.00% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
04/06/12-04/10/12
0.00% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
04/06/12-04/07/12
0.50% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
IFOP 
04/05/12-04/07/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
04/02/12-04/05/12
1.00% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
OpinionWay 
04/03/12-04/04/12
1.00% 0.5 0.50% 0.5 0.00% 0.5
IFOP 
03/31/12-04/04/12
1.00% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
CSA 
04/02/12-04/03/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/31/12-04/03/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/29/12-04/02/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
03/29/12-04/02/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
03/30/12-03/31/12
0.50% -- 1.00% 0.5 0.00% --
BVA 
03/29/12-03/31/12
1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
LH2 
03/30/12-03/31/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/27/12-03/30/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/26/12-03/29/12
0.00% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% 0.5
IFOP 
03/24/12-03/28/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.50% --
TNS Sofres 
03/26/12-03/27/12
0.50% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.50% --
CSA 
03/26/12-03/27/12
0.50% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
OpinionWay 
03/26/12-03/27/12
0.50% 0.5 1.00% 0.5 0.50% --
IFOP 
03/24/12-03/27/12
0.50% -- 0.00% 0.5 0.50% --
Harris Interactive 
03/21/12-03/26/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/22/12-03/25/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.50% 0.5
Ipsos 
03/23/12-03/24/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/20/12-03/23/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
BVA 
03/21/12-03/22/12
0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/17/12-03/21/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
CSA 
03/19/12-03/20/12
0.00% -- 0.00% 0.5 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/17/12-03/20/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
03/15/12-03/19/12
1.00% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/15/12-03/19/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
LH2 
03/16/12-03/17/12
1.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Ipsos 
03/16/12-03/17/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/13/12-03/16/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
OpinionWay 
03/14/12-03/15/12
1.00% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/12/12-03/15/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/11/12-03/14/12
0.50% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
CSA 
03/12/12-03/13/12
0.00% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/11/12-03/13/12
0.50% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% --
TNS Sofres 
03/12/12-03/12/12
0.50% 0.5 0.50% 0.5 0.00% 0.5
IFOP 
03/11/12-03/10/12
0.00% 0.5 0.50% -- 0.00% --
IFOP 
03/05/12-03/08/12
0.50% 0.5 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OpinionWay 
03/05/12-03/07/12
0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
RC Zeus the Moose
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
04/10/2012 François Hollande Web Only Ad Mixed eng 48 H AVEC FH par #2H12CREW   00:03:12 Homegrown Democrat 
04/09/2012 Eva Joly Web Only Ad Issue eng Eva Joly - Europe Ecologie Les Verts (Spot de campagne 2012)  00:03:35 Homegrown Democrat 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Apr 18, 2012 12:10am News France election: Hollande threatens to veto fiscal pact  Article La Fayette 
Apr 17, 2012 12:55pm News France ex-President Chirac 'to vote for Hollande'  Article New Jerusalem 
Apr 15, 2012 06:30pm News France elections 2012: Nicolas Sarkozy declared most unpopular president in history  Article La Fayette 
Apr 15, 2012 05:40pm Opinion Jean-Luc Mélenchon's policies are no far-left fantasy  Article La Fayette 
Mar 31, 2012 08:35am Analysis An inconvenient truth  Article La Fayette 
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