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  WI US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2012 - 12:00pm
Polls Open August 14, 2012 - 07:00am
Polls Close August 14, 2012 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 10.24% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedAndy September 03, 2012 09:34pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2006
NameHerb Kohl Votes1,439,214 (67.31%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin808,915 (+37.83%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameTammy Baldwin Votes1,547,104 (51.41%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin166,978 (+5.55%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceWI US Senate 11/06/2012
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 8.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/15/2009 08/14/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Tommy Thompson 10 5 2 1
Mark Neumann 3 --1 --
Eric Hovde 10 2 ----
Leaning Call: Tommy Thompson (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Eric Hovde (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

12/10/2010 08/09/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy Thompson Eric Hovde Rep. Mark Neumann St. Rep. Jeff Fitzgerald (W) Scattering  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican  
Certified Votes197,928 (33.99%) 179,557 (30.83%) 132,786 (22.80%) 71,871 (12.34%) 244 (0.04%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -18,371 (-3.15%) -65,142 (-11.19%) -126,057 (-21.64%) -197,684 (-33.94%)  
Predict Avg.38.00% 33.35% 23.83% 8.80% 0.00%  
Utah Liberal44.00% (-3.13 pts) -- 56.00% (-19.42 pts) -- --
Conservative for America.44.00% (-3.13 pts) 31.00% (+3.20 pts) 16.00% (-1.82 pts) 9.00% (-0.30 pts) --
Rob Ritchie38.50% (+0.54 pts) 36.00% (-0.13 pts) 14.00% (-3.16 pts) 11.00% (+1.03 pts) --
DylanSH9933.53% (+3.24 pts) 25.25% (-0.41 pts) 23.00% (+2.58 pts) 12.31% (+1.90 pts) --
Miro34.00% (+3.54 pts) 38.50% (-1.80 pts) 16.00% (-1.82 pts) 8.50% (-0.64 pts) --
Smart34.00% (+3.54 pts) 36.00% (-0.13 pts) 18.00% (-0.49 pts) 12.00% (+1.70 pts) --
Cash On Hand 7/25 $352,915.00 7/25 $586,305.00 7/25 $190,745.00 7/25 $671,631.81 $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (19 from 8 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg28.61%-- 24.89%-- 20.31%-- 13.85%-- 0.00%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/08/12-08/09/12
25.00% -- 27.00% 1.0 24.00% 1.0 15.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
08/02/12-08/05/12
33.00% 2.0 24.00% 1.0 21.00% 11.0 15.00% 9.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/30/12-07/31/12
25.00% 4.0 28.00% 3.0 25.00% 10.0 13.00% 4.0 0.00% --
We Ask America 
07/30/12-07/30/12
22.79% -- 23.20% -- 16.66% -- 12.11% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/05/12-07/08/12
29.00% 9.0 31.00% -- 15.00% 10.0 9.00% 9.0 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
07/05/12-07/08/12
35.00% 1.0 23.00% 9.0 10.00% 6.0 6.00% 4.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Herman Cain [L]
R Donald Henry Rumsfeld [L]
R Samuel "Joe" Wurzelbacher [L]
R Jerry J. Petrowski [L]
  Wisconsin Family Action PAC
  Wisconsin Right to Life
  FreedomWorks PAC
R Glenn Grothman [L]
  Tea Party Express
  Family Research Council
R Kurt W. Schuller [L]
  Wisconsin Right to Life
R Jim Ott [L]
R Mike Kuglitsch [L]
R Dale Kooyenga [L]
R Paul Farrow [L]
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/09/2012 Eric Hovde vs Mark Neumann TVAd Attack eng Negative Neumann Can't Rewrite History   00:00:30 RP 
08/08/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Issue eng Something Different  00:00:30 RP 
08/07/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Mixed eng False  00:00:30 RP 
08/06/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Biography eng Shake Up  00:00:30 RP 
08/06/2012 Eric Hovde vs Tommy Thompson TVAd Attack eng TommyCare   00:00:32 RP 
08/02/2012 vs Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Hovde Stimulus  00:00:30 RP 
08/02/2012 vs Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Says and Does   00:00:30 RP 
08/01/2012 Mark Neumann vs Tommy Thompson TVAd Attack eng Change  00:00:30 RP 
07/31/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Biography eng Conservative Before it Was Cool  00:00:31 RP 
07/26/2012 Eric Hovde vs Tommy Thompson Radio Ad Attack eng Hiding  00:01:04 RP 
07/24/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Hovde in His Own Words  00:00:30 RP 
07/20/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Contrast eng Missed Me  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/18/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Issue eng Cocaine and Quail Don't Mix  00:00:00 Homegrown Democrat 
07/18/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Mud  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/17/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Endorsement eng Life  00:00:35 RP 
07/13/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Eric Hovde response to negative attack from Mark Neumann  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/13/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Attack eng Only Worse  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
07/13/2012 Tommy Thompson TVAd Issue eng Road to Repeal  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/11/2012 Eric Hovde Web Only Ad Attack eng W.A.S.T.E. Attacks Hovde   00:01:27 RP 
07/10/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Issue eng ObamaCare  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/04/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Mixed eng They're Not Going to Like Him  00:00:38 Homegrown Democrat 
06/26/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Issue eng Taxes  00:00:00 Homegrown Democrat 
06/07/2012 Tommy Thompson TVAd Issue eng Stop  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
06/06/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Mixed eng Don't Care  00:00:30 RP 
06/06/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Mixed eng No Choice   00:00:30 RP 
05/21/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Mixed eng Stand with Walker   00:01:04 RP 
05/07/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Issue eng Separation of Powers   00:01:04 RP 
04/30/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Issue eng Wall Street to Washington  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
04/24/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Issue eng Consequences  00:01:04 RP 
04/17/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Biography eng American Dream  00:01:01 Homegrown Democrat 
04/05/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Issue eng Debt Crisis  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
03/29/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Issue eng Pain at the Pump   00:01:04 RP 
03/12/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Issue eng Big is Bad   00:01:04 RP 
03/12/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Biography eng Debt  00:01:03 RP 
02/28/2012 Tommy Thompson TVAd Mixed eng Restore America  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
02/19/2012 Jeff Fitzgerald Web Only Ad Mixed eng Strong  00:01:31 Homegrown Democrat 
11/30/2011 Tommy Thompson Web Only Ad Mixed eng I'm Running for US Senate  00:02:26 Homegrown Democrat 
09/19/2011 Tommy Thompson Web Only Ad Mixed eng The Original Reformer   00:01:58 Homegrown Democrat 
08/22/2011 TVAd Attack eng Record  00:00:33 Homegrown Democrat 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jul 19, 2012 05:00pm News Hovde says he will drop tobacco subsidy payments to his real-estate firm  Article The Sunset Provision 
Jul 18, 2012 07:15am Poll Hovde Top Choice of GOP Insiders, But Thompson Fares Better Against Baldwin  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Jul 04, 2012 07:50pm Blog Entry Tommy Thompson and the GOP base: how's the relationship?  Article Jason 
May 12, 2012 02:30pm News Senate hopefuls fail to win [WI] GOP endorsement; Fitzgerald, Neumann tally the most votes at party convention  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Mar 20, 2012 01:55pm Amusing Pig freaks out after GOP candidate brings it to news conference  Article Craverguy 
Dec 02, 2011 12:10am Announcement Former Wisconsin governor Thompson launches Senate run  Article Homegrown Democrat 

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