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  WI US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2012 - 12:00pm
Polls Open August 14, 2012 - 07:00am
Polls Close August 14, 2012 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 10.24% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedAndy September 03, 2012 09:34pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2006
NameHerb Kohl Votes1,439,214 (67.31%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin808,915 (+37.83%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameTammy Baldwin Votes1,547,104 (51.41%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin166,978 (+5.55%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceWI US Senate 11/06/2012
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 8.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/15/2009 08/14/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Tommy G. Thompson 10 5 2 1
Mark Neumann 3 --1 --
Eric Hovde 10 2 ----
Leaning Call: Tommy G. Thompson (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Tommy G. Thompson (61.48%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
12/10/2010 08/09/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy G. Thompson Eric Hovde Rep. Mark Neumann St. Rep. Jeff Fitzgerald (W) Scattering  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes197,928 (33.99%) 179,557 (30.83%) 132,786 (22.80%) 71,871 (12.34%) 244 (0.04%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -18,371 (-3.15%) -65,142 (-11.19%) -126,057 (-21.64%) -197,684 (-33.94%)  
Predict Avg.38.00% 33.35% 23.83% 8.80% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 7/25 $352,915.00 7/25 $586,305.00 7/25 $190,745.00 7/25 $671,631.81 $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (19 from 8 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg26.41%-- 24.28%-- 19.22%-- 12.62%-- 0.00%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/08/12-08/09/12
25.00% -- 27.00% 1.0 24.00% 1.0 15.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
08/02/12-08/05/12
33.00% 2.0 24.00% 1.0 21.00% 11.0 15.00% 9.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/30/12-07/31/12
25.00% 4.0 28.00% 3.0 25.00% 10.0 13.00% 4.0 0.00% --
We Ask America 
07/30/12-07/30/12
22.79% -- 23.20% -- 16.66% -- 12.11% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/05/12-07/08/12
29.00% 9.0 31.00% -- 15.00% 10.0 9.00% 9.0 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
07/05/12-07/08/12
35.00% 1.0 23.00% 9.0 10.00% 6.0 6.00% 4.0 0.00% --
OnMessage Inc. (R) 
06/26/12-06/27/12
34.00% -- 29.00% -- 16.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% --
Feldman Group (D) 
06/19/12-06/21/12
26.00% -- 27.00% -- 13.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
06/13/12-06/16/12
34.00% -- 14.00% -- 16.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% --
North Star Opinion Research 
05/06/12-05/08/12
30.00% -- 27.00% -- 23.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
03/31/12-04/01/12
38.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 25.00% 3.0 18.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
02/23/12-02/26/12
39.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 22.00% 7.0 22.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/20/11-10/23/11
35.00% 12.0 0.00% -- 29.00% 10.0 21.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/12/11-08/14/11
47.00% 11.0 0.00% -- 39.00% 17.0 0.00% 8.0 0.00% --
Basswood Research (R) 
08/11/11-08/12/11
40.00% -- 0.00% -- 34.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
07/12/11-07/13/11
44.00% -- 0.00% -- 36.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
07/12/11-07/13/11
41.00% -- 0.00% -- 26.00% -- 15.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/19/11-05/22/11
36.00% 22.0 0.00% -- 22.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
12/10/10-12/12/10
14.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Herman Cain [L]
R Donald Rumsfeld [L]
R Samuel "Joe" Wurzelbacher [L]
R Jerry J. Petrowski [L]
  Wisconsin Family Action PAC
  Wisconsin Right to Life
  FreedomWorks PAC
R Glenn Grothman [L]
  Tea Party Express
  Family Research Council
R Kurt W. Schuller [L]
  Wisconsin Right to Life
R Jim Ott [L]
R Mike Kuglitsch [L]
R Dale Kooyenga [L]
R Paul Farrow [L]
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/09/2012 Eric Hovde vs Mark Neumann TVAd Attack eng Negative Neumann Can't Rewrite History   00:00:30 RP 
08/08/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Issue eng Something Different  00:00:30 RP 
08/07/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Mixed eng False  00:00:30 RP 
08/06/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Biography eng Shake Up  00:00:30 RP 
08/06/2012 Eric Hovde vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng TommyCare   00:00:32 RP 
08/02/2012 vs Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Hovde Stimulus  00:00:30 RP 
08/02/2012 vs Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Says and Does   00:00:30 RP 
08/01/2012 Mark Neumann vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Change  00:00:30 RP 
07/31/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Biography eng Conservative Before it Was Cool  00:00:31 RP 
07/26/2012 Eric Hovde vs Tommy G. Thompson Radio Ad Attack eng Hiding  00:01:04 RP 
07/24/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Hovde in His Own Words  00:00:30 RP 
07/20/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Contrast eng Missed Me  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/18/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Issue eng Cocaine and Quail Don't Mix  00:00:00 Homegrown Democrat 
07/18/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Mud  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/17/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Endorsement eng Life  00:00:35 RP 
07/13/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Attack eng Eric Hovde response to negative attack from Mark Neumann  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/13/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Attack eng Only Worse  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
07/13/2012 Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Issue eng Road to Repeal  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/11/2012 Eric Hovde Web Only Ad Attack eng W.A.S.T.E. Attacks Hovde   00:01:27 RP 
07/10/2012 Mark Neumann TVAd Issue eng ObamaCare  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
07/04/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Mixed eng They're Not Going to Like Him  00:00:38 Homegrown Democrat 
06/26/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Issue eng Taxes  00:00:00 Homegrown Democrat 
06/07/2012 Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Issue eng Stop  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
06/06/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Mixed eng Don't Care  00:00:30 RP 
06/06/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Mixed eng No Choice   00:00:30 RP 
05/21/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Mixed eng Stand with Walker   00:01:04 RP 
05/07/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Issue eng Separation of Powers   00:01:04 RP 
04/30/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Issue eng Wall Street to Washington  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
04/24/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Issue eng Consequences  00:01:04 RP 
04/17/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Biography eng American Dream  00:01:01 Homegrown Democrat 
04/05/2012 Eric Hovde TVAd Issue eng Debt Crisis  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
03/29/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Issue eng Pain at the Pump   00:01:04 RP 
03/12/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Issue eng Big is Bad   00:01:04 RP 
03/12/2012 Eric Hovde Radio Ad Biography eng Debt  00:01:03 RP 
02/28/2012 Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Mixed eng Restore America  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
02/19/2012 Jeff Fitzgerald Web Only Ad Mixed eng Strong  00:01:31 Homegrown Democrat 
11/30/2011 Tommy G. Thompson Web Only Ad Mixed eng I'm Running for US Senate  00:02:26 Homegrown Democrat 
09/19/2011 Tommy G. Thompson Web Only Ad Mixed eng The Original Reformer   00:01:58 Homegrown Democrat 
08/22/2011 TVAd Attack eng Record  00:00:33 Homegrown Democrat 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jul 19, 2012 05:00pm News Hovde says he will drop tobacco subsidy payments to his real-estate firm  Article The Sunset Provision 
Jul 18, 2012 07:15am Poll Hovde Top Choice of GOP Insiders, But Thompson Fares Better Against Baldwin  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Jul 04, 2012 07:50pm Blog Entry Tommy Thompson and the GOP base: how's the relationship?  Article Jason 
May 12, 2012 02:30pm News Senate hopefuls fail to win [WI] GOP endorsement; Fitzgerald, Neumann tally the most votes at party convention  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Mar 20, 2012 01:55pm Amusing Pig freaks out after GOP candidate brings it to news conference  Article Craverguy 
Dec 02, 2011 12:10am Announcement Former Wisconsin governor Thompson launches Senate run  Article Homegrown Democrat 

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