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"A historical political resource."
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AR US Senate
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| Parents |
> United States > Arkansas > Senate Class III
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| Office | Senate |
| Type | General Election |
| Filing Deadline | March 01, 2010 - 12:00am |
| Polls Open | November 02, 2010 - 06:00am |
| Polls Close | November 02, 2010 - 06:00pm |
| Term Start | January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm |
| Term End | January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm |
| Turnout |
26.75% Total Population
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| Contributor | J.R. |
| Last Modified | Imperator December 04, 2010 06:41pm |
| Data Sources | [Link] |
| Description |
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CANDIDATES |
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| Photo |  |
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| Name |
Rep. John Boozman |
(I) Sen. Blanche Lambert Lincoln |
Trevor Drown |
John Gray |
Write-In |
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| Party | Republican |
Democratic |
Independent |
Green |
Nonpartisan |
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| Website |
[Website]
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[Website]
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[Website]
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[Website]
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| Certified Votes | 451,618 (57.90%) |
288,156 (36.95%) |
25,234 (3.24%) |
14,430 (1.85%) |
519 (0.07%) |
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| Margin | 0 (0.00%) |
-163,462 (-20.96%) |
-426,384 (-54.67%) |
-437,188 (-56.05%) |
-451,099 (-57.84%) |
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| Predict Avg. | 55.51% |
42.84% |
0.47% |
0.66% |
0.00% |
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| Cash On Hand |
3/31 $562,645.50
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3/31 $4,342,859.73
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$--
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$--
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$--
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| Adj Poll Avg | 50.65% -- |
39.08% -- |
2.25% -- |
2.20% -- |
0.00% -- |
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Rasmussen Reports 10/28/10-10/28/10 |
55.00% -- |
36.00% 1.0 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 10/15/10-10/19/10 |
55.00% -- |
41.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Talk Business 10/14/10-10/14/10 |
49.00% 7.0 |
36.00% 7.0 |
4.00% 1.0 |
4.00% 2.0 |
0.00% -- |
ccAdvertising (R) 10/11/10-10/11/10 |
51.71% -- |
37.18% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Rasmussen Reports 09/30/10-09/30/10 |
55.00% 10.0 |
37.00% 10.0 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Ipsos-Public Affairs 09/17/10-09/19/10 |
53.00% -- |
39.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
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| Endorsements | |
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 | VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS |
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Candidate |
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Ad Tone |
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Title |
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 | INFORMATION LINKS |
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| DISCUSSION |
| [View All 202 Previous Messages] |
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R:7269 | CalvinCoolidge ( 0.0000 points)
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Tue, May 4, 2010 06:57:17 AM UTC0:00
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yeah, cuz there's a huge difference between losing by 28 and losing by 25
yeah, cuz there's a huge difference between losing by 28 and losing by 25
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D:1414 | Forwardista ( 171.5051 points)
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Tue, May 4, 2010 07:08:31 AM UTC0:00
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It was kind of a joke, you know how people always point to the moderate candidate and say, "That person is more electable, you should discard your beliefs and vote for them because they are electable?" But in this race, the person who is considered more to the left is polling better.
Of course, barring a minor miracle, I'm thinking Arkansas is a lost cause regardless of the nominee...
It was kind of a joke, you know how people always point to the moderate candidate and say, "That person is more electable, you should discard your beliefs and vote for them because they are electable?" But in this race, the person who is considered more to the left is polling better.
Of course, barring a minor miracle, I'm thinking Arkansas is a lost cause regardless of the nominee...
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R:1153 | J.R. ( 744.6801 points)
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Tue, May 4, 2010 07:10:48 AM UTC0:00
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Well Halter is polling much better than Lincoln, at the moment at least, so I expected people concerned about electability to rally behind Halter...right?
If decency were not an issue in the Democratic Party, they'd give this primary to Halter and then have Halter and Beebe switch races.
Forwardista: Well Halter is polling much better than Lincoln, at the moment at least, so I expected people concerned about electability to rally behind Halter...right?
If decency were not an issue in the Democratic Party, they'd give this primary to Halter and then have Halter and Beebe switch races.
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R:728 | SC-Conservative ( 110.4913 points)
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Sun, May 23, 2010 07:22:23 AM UTC0:00
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I know the Dem numbers will improve after the runoff but this lead is insurmountable.
I know the Dem numbers will improve after the runoff but this lead is insurmountable.
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D:6086 | Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
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Sun, May 23, 2010 09:10:45 AM UTC0:00
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This is basically a question as to whom the Democrats want to lose with. In that respect, they may as well oust the corporate incumbent in favor of a candidate who appeals to voter anger.
This is basically a question as to whom the Democrats want to lose with. In that respect, they may as well oust the corporate incumbent in favor of a candidate who appeals to voter anger.
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D:704 | John ( 3346.7625 points)
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Sun, May 23, 2010 03:06:30 PM UTC0:00
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I think they'll end up going with Halter, but I think that Lincoln's the better choice here-she's scandal-free, she's much more likable, and she likely has developed a more natural trust with the voters of the state that will increase her numbers.
That said, this race is most definitely a lost cause. I don't see the Democrat going below 30%, but at this point, is 40% an impossible goal?
I think they'll end up going with Halter, but I think that Lincoln's the better choice here-she's scandal-free, she's much more likable, and she likely has developed a more natural trust with the voters of the state that will increase her numbers.
That said, this race is most definitely a lost cause. I don't see the Democrat going below 30%, but at this point, is 40% an impossible goal?
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I'm endorsing Boozman here.
I'm endorsing Boozman here.
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Kinda weird Lincoln defeated a Boozeman for this seat only to lose it to another one.
Kinda weird Lincoln defeated a Boozeman for this seat only to lose it to another one.
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D:38 | DFWDem ( 534.9620 points)
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Wed, June 9, 2010 07:04:56 AM UTC0:00
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The much less politically astute one at that.
The much less politically astute one at that.
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D:1 | RP ( 3311.3784 points)
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Tue, July 20, 2010 11:48:12 PM UTC0:00
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Sad when the incumbent has to release an internal poll showing her down "only" 9 points.
Sad when the incumbent has to release an internal poll showing her down "only" 9 points.
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IND:1196 | Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
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Tue, July 20, 2010 11:55:20 PM UTC0:00
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Even Rick Santorum was able to hit 40%. I have my doubts about Blanche even achieving that.
Even Rick Santorum was able to hit 40%. I have my doubts about Blanche even achieving that.
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D:6086 | Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
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Wed, July 21, 2010 12:05:31 AM UTC0:00
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Lincoln deserves to get blown out on election day.
Lincoln deserves to get blown out on election day.
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D:1989 | RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
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Wed, July 21, 2010 12:56:21 AM UTC0:00
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only Sharon Priest can save Blanche now
only Sharon Priest can save Blanche now
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D:45 | Blue Wizzrobe ( 1112.9661 points)
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Wed, July 21, 2010 01:09:14 AM UTC0:00
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What kind of partisan firm (for your party) would put out a poll showing you that far behind?
Jumonville 84,
Lambert Lincoln 16
What kind of partisan firm (for your party) would put out a poll showing you that far behind?
Jumonville 84,
Lambert Lincoln 16
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I:681 | excelsior ( 1819.1344 points)
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Thu, August 19, 2010 10:58:33 PM UTC0:00
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When you are a Demcratic incumbent and a Democratic pollster has you down 25, you might as well pack it in.
When you are a Demcratic incumbent and a Democratic pollster has you down 25, you might as well pack it in.
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D:704 | John ( 3346.7625 points)
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Thu, August 19, 2010 11:26:55 PM UTC0:00
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Yes, because up until that poll, Lincoln had a shot.
Yes, because up until that poll, Lincoln had a shot.
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R:4 | BILLYW ( 0.9924 points)
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Thu, August 19, 2010 11:32:44 PM UTC0:00
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So, you're saying there is a chance
So, you're saying there is a chance
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R:6872 | Penn Con ( 249.0750 points)
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Thu, August 19, 2010 11:46:04 PM UTC0:00
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The same poll has Beebe under 50%. Perhaps the GOP needs to aim some fire that way. You never know if there could be a 2002 Roy Barnes-type surprise.
The same poll has Beebe under 50%. Perhaps the GOP needs to aim some fire that way. You never know if there could be a 2002 Roy Barnes-type surprise.
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R:4 | BILLYW ( 0.9924 points)
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Fri, August 20, 2010 12:01:35 AM UTC0:00
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In Haley I trust
In Haley I trust
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These numbers are absolutely pitiful.
These numbers are absolutely pitiful.
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IND:1196 | Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
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Tue, August 24, 2010 10:44:32 PM UTC0:00
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I do wish the Dems could have had the sense to nominate Halter instead of Lincoln. I know he would have lost too, but not by this much. What's the record for the biggest general election loss by an incumbent in a Senate re-election bid? I bet she has a chance of breaking it. She could bring down the rest of the party with her.
I do wish the Dems could have had the sense to nominate Halter instead of Lincoln. I know he would have lost too, but not by this much. What's the record for the biggest general election loss by an incumbent in a Senate re-election bid? I bet she has a chance of breaking it. She could bring down the rest of the party with her.
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D:6086 | Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
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Tue, August 24, 2010 11:46:18 PM UTC0:00
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Lincoln deserves everything that's coming her way.
Lincoln deserves everything that's coming her way.
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Lincoln deserves everything that's coming her way.
As do many Dems, who for all intents and purposes have told the public to f*ck off.
Jason: Lincoln deserves everything that's coming her way.
As do many Dems, who for all intents and purposes have told the public to f*ck off.
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D:2109 | Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
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Thu, August 26, 2010 09:06:53 PM UTC0:00
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What's the record for the biggest general election loss by an incumbent in a Senate re-election bid? I bet she has a chance of breaking it.
William Hathaway lost by 22.7% to Bill Cohen as an incumbent in Maine in 1978, also a Democrat losing their seat to a Republican challenger. I swear I saw a Senate race a while back where the incumbent lost by something like a 2-1 margin, but that's the most lopsided incumbent loss I could find in recent history.
Monsieur: What's the record for the biggest general election loss by an incumbent in a Senate re-election bid? I bet she has a chance of breaking it.
William Hathaway lost by 22.7% to Bill Cohen as an incumbent in Maine in 1978, also a Democrat losing their seat to a Republican challenger. I swear I saw a Senate race a while back where the incumbent lost by something like a 2-1 margin, but that's the most lopsided incumbent loss I could find in recent history.
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D:6454 | Mr. Matt ( 1608.7891 points)
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Thu, August 26, 2010 09:16:22 PM UTC0:00
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Maryland, 1964? http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=25351
Maryland, 1964? [Link]
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