The only reason Hathaway won in 72 was because Margaret Chase Smith was attacked for a multitude of reasons (her age, not having an office in Maine, support for Vietnam, etc). He never was that popular.

These are some really Santorumesque numbers. Santorum's numbers looked positively Hoevenian compared to Lincoln's.

Honestly, I've been wondering how long it would that Arkansas to catch up with the rest of the South. I wonder what, if anything, these numbers bode for the races in AR-1 and AR-2.

I could see Democrats losing AR-02, but not AR-01 or AR-04 as of right now.

I wonder what, if anything, these numbers bode for the races in AR-1 and AR-2.

I could see Democrats losing AR-02, but not AR-01 or AR-04 as of right now. I think you're absolutely right.

I'd discount Anderson (hadn't been an elected Senator, and the way he entered the Senate played a role), Javits (third party line), Dodd (independent), and probably Goodall (massive "knifing", especially in the NYC metropolitan area).

Well Halter is polling much better than Lincoln, at the moment at least, so I expected people concerned about electability to rally behind Halter...right?

yeah, cuz there's a huge difference between losing by 28 and losing by 25

It was kind of a joke, you know how people always point to the moderate candidate and say, "That person is more electable, you should discard your beliefs and vote for them because they are electable?" But in this race, the person who is considered more to the left is polling better. Of course, barring a minor miracle, I'm thinking Arkansas is a lost cause regardless of the nominee...

Well Halter is polling much better than Lincoln, at the moment at least, so I expected people concerned about electability to rally behind Halter...right? If decency were not an issue in the Democratic Party, they'd give this primary to Halter and then have Halter and Beebe switch races.

I know the Dem numbers will improve after the runoff but this lead is insurmountable.

This is basically a question as to whom the Democrats want to lose with. In that respect, they may as well oust the corporate incumbent in favor of a candidate who appeals to voter anger.

I think they'll end up going with Halter, but I think that Lincoln's the better choice here-she's scandal-free, she's much more likable, and she likely has developed a more natural trust with the voters of the state that will increase her numbers. That said, this race is most definitely a lost cause. I don't see the Democrat going below 30%, but at this point, is 40% an impossible goal?

I'm endorsing Boozman here.

Kinda weird Lincoln defeated a Boozeman for this seat only to lose it to another one.

The much less politically astute one at that.

Sad when the incumbent has to release an internal poll showing her down "only" 9 points.

Even Rick Santorum was able to hit 40%. I have my doubts about Blanche even achieving that.

Lincoln deserves to get blown out on election day.

only Sharon Priest can save Blanche now

What kind of partisan firm (for your party) would put out a poll showing you that far behind? Jumonville 84, Lambert Lincoln 16

When you are a Demcratic incumbent and a Democratic pollster has you down 25, you might as well pack it in.