Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

"A historical political resource." 
Email: Password:

  OR US Senate - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Oregon > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline 00, 2008 - 12:00am
Polls Open May 20, 2008 - 06:00am
Polls Close May 20, 2008 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
Turnout 69.12% Registered 16.05% Total Population
ContributorInspectorMorse
Last ModifiedDon't Tase Me, Bro! June 15, 2008 09:47pm
Data SourcesThe Oregonian [Link]

[Link]
Description Oregon SOS [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2002
NameGordon Smith Votes712,287 (56.21%)
Term01/03/2003 - 01/03/2009 Margin210,389 (+16.60%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameJeff Merkley Votes864,392 (48.90%)
Term01/03/2009 - 01/03/2015 Margin59,233 (+3.35%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceOR US Senate 11/04/2008
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 6.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/02/2007 05/20/2008
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Steve Novick 16 4 1 --
Jeff Merkley 5 3 ----
Pavel Goberman ----1 --
Leaning Call: Steve Novick (65.85%)
Weighted Call: Steve Novick (91.70%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/28/2008 05/18/2008

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Speaker of the House Jeff Merkley Steve Novick Candy Neville Roger Obrist Pavel Goberman David Loera (W) Others
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes246,449 (44.87%) 230,860 (42.04%) 38,351 (6.98%) 12,646 (2.30%) 12,054 (2.20%) 6,126 (1.12%) 2,724 (0.50%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -15,589 (-2.84%) -208,098 (-37.89%) -233,803 (-42.57%) -234,395 (-42.68%) -240,323 (-43.76%) -243,725 (-44.38%)
Predict Avg.44.11% 36.05% 9.69% 2.72% 11.83% 2.25% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Bar
       
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg30.91%-- 35.52%-- 6.03%-- 1.47%-- 1.47%-- 1.47%-- 0.00%--
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/17/08-05/18/08
33.00% -- 38.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/16/08-05/18/08
34.00% 3.0 37.00% 10.0 7.00% 4.0 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/09/08-05/11/08
31.00% 3.0 27.00% 3.0 11.00% 3.0 2.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Davis, Hibbitts & McCaig 
05/08/08-05/10/08
23.00% -- 29.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/28/08-04/30/08
28.00% 17.0 30.00% 7.0 8.00% 4.0 4.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 2.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/04/08-04/06/08
11.00% -- 23.00% -- 12.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
IND Monsieur
N Sam Adams [L]
  21st Century Democrats
  Bend Bulletin
D Peter Sorenson [L]
I TX_Progressive
D Sarnstrom
  McMinnville [OR] News-Register
FL Silver Dime

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
01/00/2008 Steve Novick TVAd Issue eng A Beer With Steve  00:00:30 RBH 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 20, 2008 01:40am Commentary An Eloquent, Graceful Exit  Article Craverguy 
Apr 26, 2008 04:20pm Endorsement For Democratic Senate nominee: Steve Novick  Article Craverguy 
Apr 17, 2008 10:05pm News Novick's 2nd choice: Frohnmayer  Article Craverguy 
Jul 25, 2007 01:00pm News Merkley to form fund-raising committee for Ore. Senate race  Article WesternDem 
May 18, 2007 01:00pm News [OR Rep] Wu won’t run against [Sen] Smith, either  Article ArmyDem 
May 17, 2007 02:15pm Blog Entry Smith '08: [OR State] Senator Alan Bates "seriously considering"  Article WesternDem 

DISCUSSION