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  OR US Senate - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Oregon > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline 00, 2008 - 12:00am
Polls Open May 20, 2008 - 06:00am
Polls Close May 20, 2008 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
Turnout 69.12% Registered 16.05% Total Population
ContributorInspectorMorse
Last ModifiedDon't Tase Me, Bro! June 15, 2008 09:47pm
Data SourcesThe Oregonian [Link]

[Link]
Description Oregon SOS [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2002
NameGordon Smith Votes712,287 (56.21%)
Term01/03/2003 - 01/03/2009 Margin210,389 (+16.60%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameJeff Merkley Votes864,392 (48.90%)
Term01/03/2009 - 01/03/2015 Margin59,233 (+3.35%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceOR US Senate 11/04/2008
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 6.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/02/2007 05/20/2008
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Steve Novick 16 4 1 --
Jeff Merkley 5 3 ----
Pavel Goberman ----1 --
Leaning Call: Steve Novick (65.85%)
Weighted Call: Steve Novick (79.49%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/28/2008 05/18/2008

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Speaker of the House Jeff Merkley Steve Novick Candy Neville Roger Obrist Pavel Goberman David Loera (W) Others
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Uncertified Votes246,449 (44.87%) 230,860 (42.04%) 38,351 (6.98%) 12,646 (2.30%) 12,054 (2.20%) 6,126 (1.12%) 2,724 (0.50%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -15,589 (-2.84%) -208,098 (-37.89%) -233,803 (-42.57%) -234,395 (-42.68%) -240,323 (-43.76%) -243,725 (-44.38%)
Predict Avg.44.11% 36.05% 9.69% 2.72% 11.83% 2.25% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg31.53%-- 36.14%-- 6.65%-- 2.37%-- 2.37%-- 2.37%-- 0.00%--
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/17/08-05/18/08
33.00% -- 38.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/16/08-05/18/08
34.00% 3.0 37.00% 10.0 7.00% 4.0 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/09/08-05/11/08
31.00% 3.0 27.00% 3.0 11.00% 3.0 2.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Davis, Hibbitts & McCaig 
05/08/08-05/10/08
23.00% -- 29.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/28/08-04/30/08
28.00% 17.0 30.00% 7.0 8.00% 4.0 4.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 2.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/04/08-04/06/08
11.00% -- 23.00% -- 12.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
IND Monsieur
N Sam Adams [L]
  21st Century Democrats
  Bend Bulletin
D Peter Sorenson [L]
I TX_Progressive
D Sarnstrom
  McMinnville [OR] News-Register
FL Silver Dime

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
01/00/2008 Steve Novick TVAd Issue eng A Beer With Steve  00:00:30 RBH 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 20, 2008 01:40am Commentary An Eloquent, Graceful Exit  Article Craverguy 
Apr 26, 2008 04:20pm Endorsement For Democratic Senate nominee: Steve Novick  Article Craverguy 
Apr 17, 2008 10:05pm News Novick's 2nd choice: Frohnmayer  Article Craverguy 
Jul 25, 2007 01:00pm News Merkley to form fund-raising committee for Ore. Senate race  Article WesternDem 
May 18, 2007 01:00pm News [OR Rep] Wu won’t run against [Sen] Smith, either  Article ArmyDem 
May 17, 2007 02:15pm Blog Entry Smith '08: [OR State] Senator Alan Bates "seriously considering"  Article WesternDem 

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