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  OR US Senate - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Oregon > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline 00, 2008 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open May 20, 2008 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close May 20, 2008 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorInspectorMorse
Last ModifiedDon't Tase Me, Bro! June 15, 2008 09:47pm
Data SourcesThe Oregonian [Link]

[Link]
Description Oregon SOS [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2002
NameGordon Smith Votes712,287 (56.21%)
Term01/03/2003 - 01/03/2009 Margin210,389 (+16.60%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameJeff Merkley Votes864,392 (48.90%)
Term01/03/2009 - 01/03/2015 Margin59,233 (+3.35%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceOR US Senate 11/04/2008
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/02/2007 05/20/2008
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Steve Novick 16 4 1 --
Jeff Merkley 5 3 ----
Pavel Goberman ----1 --
Leaning Call: Steve Novick (65.85%)
Weighted Call: Steve Novick (97.32%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/28/2008 05/18/2008

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Speaker of the House Jeff Merkley Steve Novick Candice "Candy" Neville Roger Obrist Pavel Goberman David Loera (W) Others
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 246,449 (44.87%) 230,860 (42.04%) 38,351 (6.98%) 12,646 (2.30%) 12,054 (2.20%) 6,126 (1.12%) 2,724 (0.50%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -15,589 (-2.84%) -208,098 (-37.89%) -233,803 (-42.57%) -234,395 (-42.68%) -240,323 (-43.76%) -243,725 (-44.38%)
Predict Avg.44.11% 36.05% 9.69% 2.72% 11.83% 2.25% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 08/01/2007 04/18/2007 00/00/2007 00/00/2007 05/00/2007 00/00/2007 --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg30.33%-- 34.93%-- 5.44%-- 1.50%-- 1.50%-- 1.50%-- 0.00%--
Public Policy Polling 
05/17/08-05/18/08		 33.00% -- 38.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/16/08-05/18/08		 34.00% 3.0 37.00% 10.0 7.00% 4.0 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/09/08-05/11/08		 31.00% 3.0 27.00% 3.0 11.00% 3.0 2.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
DHM Research 
05/08/08-05/10/08		 23.00% -- 29.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/28/08-04/30/08		 28.00% 17.0 30.00% 7.0 8.00% 4.0 4.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 2.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/04/08-04/06/08		 11.00% -- 23.00% -- 12.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBR Old LW
IND Monsieur
D Sam Adams 🔗
  21st Century Democrats
  Bend Bulletin
D Tom Potter 🔗
D Kathy Figley 🔗
D Brad Witt 🔗
D Carolyn Tomei 🔗
D Michael Schaufler 🔗
D Chuck Riley 🔗
D Mary Nolan 🔗
D Nancy Nathanson 🔗
D Greg Macpherson 🔗
D Tina Kotek 🔗
D Paul Holvey 🔗
D Mitch Greenlick 🔗
D Sara Gelser Blouin 🔗
D Larry Galizio 🔗
D David Edwards 🔗
D Chris Edwards 🔗
D Jackie Dingfelder 🔗
D Jean Cowan 🔗
D Brian Clem 🔗
D Ben Cannon 🔗
D Deborah Boone 🔗
D Suzanne Bonamici 🔗
D Elizabeth Terry Beyer 🔗
D Jeff Barker 🔗
D Tobias Read 🔗
D Betty Komp 🔗
D Phil Barnhart 🔗
D Chip Shields 🔗
D Arnie Roblan 🔗
D Peter Buckley 🔗
D Diane Rosenbaum 🔗
D Dave Hunt 🔗
D Joanne Verger 🔗
D Kurt Schrader 🔗
D Floyd Prozanski 🔗
D William "Bill" Morrisette 🔗
D Rod Monroe 🔗
D Laurie Monnes Anderson 🔗
D Rick Metsger 🔗
D Mark Hass 🔗
D Alan C. Bates 🔗
D Richard Devlin 🔗
D Margaret Carter 🔗
D Peter Courtney 🔗
D Dan Gardner 🔗
D Brad Avakian 🔗
D Randall Edwards 🔗
D Susan Castillo 🔗
D Hardy Myers 🔗
D Ashley
  Salem Statesman Journal
  Eugene [OR] Register-Guard
D Gary Hart 🔗
  Council For a Livable World
  Planned Parenthood Federation of America
D mtrz
D John
I M@
  eQualityGiving
  Oregon Small Business for Responsible Leadership
  Sierra Club
  Service Employees International Union (SEIU)
I M@
  AFL-CIO
D Jon Tester 🔗
D Jason
D Barbara Roberts
D Ted Kulongoski
D Ty Pettit
D WesternDem
D Peter Sorenson 🔗
G BR_Green
D Sarnstrom
  McMinnville [OR] News-Register
  The Source Weekly
  Hillsboro Argus
  Eugene Weekly
  Forest Grove News-Times
D Thom Hartmann 🔗
  Portland Tribune
  East Oregonian
  Ashland Daily Tidings
  Medford [OR] Mail Tribune
  Portland Mercury
  Willamette Week
  Oregonian, The (Portland)
  Teamsters, International Brotherhood of
  eQualityGiving
  Oregon Education Association
D John A. Kitzhaber 🔗
I McCord 2014
D Les AuCoin 🔗
D Ginny Burdick
Laf-W Craverguy
R CincinnatiReds1990


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
01/00/2008 Steve Novick TVAd Issue eng A Beer With Steve  00:00:30 RBH 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 20, 2008 01:40am Commentary An Eloquent, Graceful Exit  Article Craverguy 
Apr 26, 2008 04:20pm Endorsement For Democratic Senate nominee: Steve Novick  Article Craverguy 
Apr 17, 2008 10:05pm News Novick's 2nd choice: Frohnmayer  Article Craverguy 
Jul 25, 2007 01:00pm News Merkley to form fund-raising committee for Ore. Senate race  Article WesternDem 
May 18, 2007 01:00pm News [OR Rep] Wu won’t run against [Sen] Smith, either  Article ArmyDem 
May 17, 2007 02:15pm Blog Entry Smith '08: [OR State] Senator Alan Bates "seriously considering"  Article WesternDem 

DISCUSSION