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  MO Governor
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Missouri > Governor
OfficeGovernor
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2004 - 12:00pm
Polls Open November 02, 2004 - 06:00am
Polls Close November 02, 2004 - 11:00pm
Term Start January 10, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End January 12, 2009 - 12:00pm
Turnout 48.61% Total Population
ContributorWishful Thinking
Last ModifiedRBH October 23, 2007 12:22am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2000
NameBob Holden Votes1,152,752 (49.12%)
Term01/08/2001 - 01/10/2005 Margin21,445 (+0.91%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameJay Nixon Votes1,680,611 (58.40%)
Term01/12/2009 - 01/14/2013 Margin544,247 (+18.91%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 03, 2004 MO Governor - D Primary Claire McCaskill
Aug 03, 2004 MO Governor - R Primary Matt Blunt
Aug 03, 2004 MO Governor - LBT Primary John M. Swenson
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.5713996887 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/11/2003 11/02/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Matt Blunt 26 16 3 --
Claire McCaskill 19 1 1 1
Leaning Call: Matt Blunt (70.53%)
Weighted Call: Matt Blunt (77.11%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
07/13/2004 10/26/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Secretary of State Matt Blunt Auditor Claire McCaskill John M. Swenson Bob Wells (W) Kenneth J. Johnson  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Constitution Independent  
Website [Website]  
Uncertified Votes1,382,419 (50.83%) 1,301,442 (47.85%) 24,378 (0.90%) 11,299 (0.42%) 61 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -80,977 (-2.98%) -1,358,041 (-49.94%) -1,371,120 (-50.42%) -1,382,358 (-50.83%)  
Predict Avg.53.00% 46.85% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (9 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.27%-- 45.55%-- 0.48%-- 0.13%-- 1.47%--  
Market Research Institute 
10/22/04-10/26/04
46.50% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
10/22/04-10/24/04
48.00% 2.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/16/04-10/18/04
50.00% 3.0 44.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/02/04-10/04/04
47.00% 1.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
09/13/04-09/16/04
46.00% 4.0 45.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
09/07/04-09/09/04
48.00% 1.0 47.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Earl R. Blackwell
D Vernon Thompson
LBT Mike Ferguson [L]
  National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)
D RBH
D PA-FL Dem
  Kansas City Star
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 03, 2004 12:00am News Blunt wins Missouri governorship  Article None Entered 
Sep 03, 2003 12:00am News Gov. Holden Calls Special Session  Article the missouri kid 
Aug 26, 2003 12:00am News Republicans seek repeat of banner election year of '20  Article User 13 
Aug 10, 2003 12:00am Poll Democratic Poll Has Grey News for Holden  Article Stephen Yellin 

DISCUSSION
[View All
45
Previous Messages]
 
D:1283mattmo ( 0.0000 points)
Sat, August 7, 2004 09:24:18 PM UTC0:00
Out of the 17 times a challenger has beat an incumbent in a primary since 1960, 12 of those challengers have gone on to win the general election.

 
R:194ScottĀ³ ( 8016.0796 points)
Wed, August 25, 2004 11:13:21 AM UTC0:00
This latest SUSA (8/15 - 8/17) finding is about where I expect this race to end up. About a 4-5% margin of victory for Blunt.

 
SAP:262Gaear Grimsrud ( 6920.2134 points)
Sat, September 11, 2004 04:08:25 PM UTC0:00
Another barn-burner...

 
D:704John ( 3346.7625 points)
Sat, September 11, 2004 08:13:53 PM UTC0:00
Wow-with Montana and Indiana both likely to trade hands, this could be the truest tossup of the cycle.

 
D:318New York Democrat ( 247.7782 points)
Sat, September 11, 2004 08:16:10 PM UTC0:00
Will women in Missouri be galvanized? The Democratic nominees for governor, lieutenant governor, secretary of state, and US Senate are all women.

 
SAP:262Gaear Grimsrud ( 6920.2134 points)
Sat, September 11, 2004 08:21:58 PM UTC0:00
They weren't in Illinois in 1994...

 
D:45Blue Wizzrobe ( 1112.9661 points)
Sat, September 11, 2004 09:01:47 PM UTC0:00
They were in AZ in 1998 . . .

 
R:4BILLYW ( 0.9924 points)
Sat, September 11, 2004 10:16:18 PM UTC0:00
<<<Will women in Missouri be galvanized?>>>>

I love galvanized women

 
D:977E-QUISTADOR ( -9.6791 points)
Mon, September 20, 2004 08:56:08 AM UTC0:00
It's gonna be a close one.

 
R:373... ( 421.7247 points)
Fri, October 29, 2004 07:44:23 PM UTC0:00
Matt Blunt will win the governorship by about 2-4 points.

 
IND:1196Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
Fri, October 29, 2004 08:07:16 PM UTC0:00
Agreed.

 
D:1532Ben ( 407.0144 points)
Fri, October 29, 2004 08:52:20 PM UTC0:00
Has Holden endorsed McCaskill?

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Tue, April 15, 2008 05:43:14 AM UTC0:00
Thompson's endorsement got a newsblurb or two since he had been sent to federal prison for a stretch.

Blackwell also made it onto Democrats for Blunt, despite switching to the Republican Party in 1992. When he switched, he criticized Democrats on affirmative action, and that unintentionally brewed a problem with a black defendant whose trial he presided over, and who was sentenced to death.

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Tue, April 15, 2008 05:53:10 AM UTC0:00
Blunt's campaign released a list Thursday of 13 people it described as co-chairs of Democrats for Blunt, headed by state Highways and Transportation Commission member Jim Anderson, a Democrat from Blunt's hometown of Springfield.

Also on the list were three rural sheriffs and four former state lawmakers.

Dear Media, thanks for getting the names of those people.

Oh wait.