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  PA US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline February 17, 2004 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open April 27, 2004 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close April 27, 2004 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
ContributorNone Entered
Last ModifiedRBH October 08, 2020 01:30pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/1998
NameArlen Specter Votes1,814,180 (61.34%)
Term01/03/1999 - 01/03/2005 Margin785,341 (+26.55%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameArlen Specter Votes2,925,080 (52.62%)
Term01/03/2005 - 04/28/2009 Margin590,954 (+10.63%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RacePA US Senate 11/02/2004
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/09/2003 04/27/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Arlen Specter 11 13 15 1
Pat Toomey 26 7 ----
Leaning Call: Arlen Specter (68.25%)
Weighted Call: Arlen Specter (70.81%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/22/2003 04/25/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Arlen Specter Rep. Pat Toomey  
PartyRepublican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 530,839 (50.82%) 513,693 (49.18%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -17,146 (-1.64%)  
Predict Avg.50.85% 49.10%  
*crickets chirp*47.80% (+2.80 pts) 52.20% (+2.67 pts)
mauime1365.00% (-4.64 pts) 35.00% (-4.76 pts)
Stephen Yellin48.00% (+2.93 pts) 52.00% (+2.81 pts)
Qbanito51.00% (+4.69 pts) 49.00% (+4.57 pts)
ArmyDem49.90% (+4.20 pts) 50.10% (+4.07 pts)
InspectorMorse49.00% (+3.60 pts) 51.00% (+3.47 pts)
emg11755.00% (+2.03 pts) 45.00% (+1.90 pts)
SC-Conservative51.00% (+4.69 pts) 49.00% (+4.57 pts)
AMT201055.00% (+2.03 pts) 45.00% (+1.90 pts)
New York Democrat54.00% (+2.69 pts) 46.00% (+2.57 pts)
None Entered49.80% (+4.13 pts) 50.20% (+4.01 pts)
Barack O-blame-a48.63% (+3.35 pts) 51.37% (+3.23 pts)
skwashja49.00% (+3.60 pts) 51.00% (+3.47 pts)
Blue Wizzrobe47.00% (+2.26 pts) 53.00% (+2.14 pts)
Default User49.00% (+3.60 pts) 51.00% (+3.47 pts)
SC Moose49.00% (+3.60 pts) 50.00% (+4.14 pts)
Servo48.00% (+2.93 pts) 52.00% (+2.81 pts)
CBlock94153.00% (+3.36 pts) 47.00% (+3.24 pts)
Not in Public Domain47.00% (+2.26 pts) 53.00% (+2.14 pts)
Cash On Hand 12/31 $9,235,112.00 12/31 $2,091,083.00  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2004 00/00/2004  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (15 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.28%-- 42.33%--  
Survey USA 
04/23/04-04/25/04
48.00% -- 48.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
04/20/04-04/24/04
48.00% 1.0 42.00% 2.0
the polling company™ (R) 
04/22/04-04/23/04
47.00% -- 39.00% --
Survey USA 
04/20/04-04/20/04
50.00% 4.0 44.00% 4.0
Keystone Poll 
04/13/04-04/20/04
46.00% -- 40.00% 7.0
Quinnipiac University 
04/12/04-04/18/04
49.00% 3.0 44.00% 7.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

BOOKS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Apr 17, 2005 07:00pm News Campaign against Specter helped GOP, Toomey claims  Article Tony82 
May 06, 2004 12:00am Commentary Polar Politics  Article None Entered 
May 06, 2004 12:00am News Toomey back on job after primary loss  Article None Entered 
Apr 27, 2004 12:00am News Specter Takes Early Lead in Pa. Primary  Article None Entered 
Apr 27, 2004 12:00am News Specter-Toomey Race Still Too Close To Call  Article None Entered 
Apr 27, 2004 12:00am News Sen. Specter Faces Tough Challenge in Pennsylvania  Article None Entered 

DISCUSSION