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  PA US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline August 02, 2010 - 05:00pm
Polls Open November 02, 2010 - 06:00am
Polls Close November 02, 2010 - 07:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 45.12% Registered 32.39% Total Population
ContributorScott³
Last ModifiedRBH December 04, 2010 12:11pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Signature Requirements for 3rd party candidates: 19,082
Due by August 2, 2010
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won04/28/2009
NameArlen Specter Votes1 (100.00%)
Term04/28/2009 - 01/03/2011 Margin1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 18, 2010 PA US Senate - D Primary Joseph A. Sestak
May 18, 2010 PA US Senate - R Primary Pat Toomey
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.2500000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
09/27/2007 11/02/2010
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Joseph A. Sestak 11 3 1 --
Pat Toomey 35 12 2 3
Leaning Call: Pat Toomey (79.38%)
Weighted Call: Pat Toomey (97.86%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/06/2010 10/31/2010

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Pat Toomey Rep. Joseph A. Sestak  
PartyRepublican Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes2,028,945 (51.01%) 1,948,716 (48.99%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -80,229 (-2.02%)  
Predict Avg.50.40% 48.75%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $4,654,522.00 6/30 $2,086,724.00  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2010 00/00/2010  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (67 from 20 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg50.81%-- 46.96%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/30/10-10/31/10
51.00% 6.0 46.00% --
YouGov 
10/28/10-10/31/10
47.60% 1.9 43.50% 0.7
Muhlenberg College 
10/28/10-10/31/10
48.00% -- 44.00% 4.0
Quinnipiac University 
10/25/10-10/30/10
50.00% 2.0 45.00% 1.0
Marist Institute 
10/26/10-10/28/10
52.00% 1.0 45.00% 3.0
Rasmussen Reports 
10/28/10-10/28/10
50.00% 2.0 46.00% 2.0
YouGov 
10/25/10-10/28/10
49.50% -- 44.20% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/24/10-10/27/10
46.00% 1.0 44.00% 2.0
Muhlenberg College 
10/24/10-10/27/10
48.00% 2.0 40.00% 3.0
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/20/10-10/26/10
49.00% -- 45.00% 1.0
Ipsos-Public Affairs 
10/22/10-10/24/10
46.00% 1.0 46.00% 9.0
Franklin & Marshall College 
10/18/10-10/24/10
48.00% 2.0 40.00% 6.0
Muhlenberg College 
10/20/10-10/23/10
46.00% 5.0 43.00% 1.0
Rasmussen Reports 
10/21/10-10/21/10
48.00% 1.0 44.00% 5.0
Muhlenberg College 
10/16/10-10/19/10
41.00% 5.0 44.00% 5.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/17/10-10/18/10
45.00% -- 46.00% 10.0
Quinnipiac University 
10/13/10-10/17/10
48.00% 2.0 46.00% 3.0
Rasmussen Reports 
10/12/10-10/12/10
49.00% -- 39.00% 1.0
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
10/08/10-10/10/10
44.00% 2.0 47.00% 3.0
ccAdvertising (R) 
10/07/10-10/07/10
47.74% -- 40.18% --
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D) 
10/04/10-10/06/10
46.00% -- 45.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
09/28/10-10/04/10
46.00% -- 39.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/29/10-09/29/10
49.00% -- 40.00% 1.0
Marist Institute 
09/26/10-09/28/10
51.00% -- 42.00% --
Suffolk University 
09/23/10-09/27/10
45.00% -- 40.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
09/23/10-09/26/10
45.00% 3.0 42.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
09/20/10-09/26/10
46.00% 6.0 34.00% 3.0
Muhlenberg College 
09/18/10-09/23/10
46.00% 13.0 39.00% 17.0
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
09/21/10-09/21/10
49.40% -- 40.60% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
09/17/10-09/21/10
49.00% -- 44.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/15/10-09/19/10
50.00% -- 43.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
09/18/10-09/18/10
48.00% 1.0 40.00% 1.0
Municipoll Research 
09/15/10-09/16/10
45.00% -- 36.00% --
Critical Insights 
09/14/10-09/16/10
40.00% -- 36.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/13/10-09/13/10
49.00% 1.0 41.00% 1.0
Pulse Opinion Research 
09/11/10-09/11/10
47.00% -- 41.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
08/30/10-08/30/10
48.00% -- 42.00% 2.0
Ipsos-Public Affairs 
08/27/10-08/29/10
47.00% -- 37.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
08/16/10-08/23/10
40.00% -- 31.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
08/16/10-08/16/10
48.00% 3.0 40.00% 1.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/14/10-08/16/10
45.00% -- 36.00% --
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
08/12/10-08/15/10
46.00% 6.0 44.00% 3.0
We Ask America 
08/04/10-08/04/10
47.55% -- 34.93% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/28/10-07/28/10
45.00% -- 39.00% 1.0
Rasmussen Reports 
07/14/10-07/14/10
45.00% -- 38.00% 1.0
Quinnipiac University 
07/06/10-07/11/10
43.00% 1.0 43.00% 3.0
Rasmussen Reports 
06/29/10-06/29/10
45.00% -- 39.00% 1.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
06/19/10-06/21/10
41.00% 1.0 41.00% 5.0
Rasmussen Reports 
06/02/10-06/02/10
45.00% 3.0 38.00% 8.0
Research 2000 
05/24/10-05/26/10
40.00% 5.0 43.00% 3.0
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
05/21/10-05/23/10
40.00% -- 47.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
05/19/10-05/19/10
42.00% -- 46.00% 6.0
Research 2000 
05/10/10-05/12/10
45.00% 3.0 40.00% 1.0
Quinnipiac University 
05/04/10-05/10/10
42.00% -- 40.00% 6.0
Franklin & Marshall College 
05/03/10-05/09/10
29.00% 2.0 28.00% 9.0
Rasmussen Reports 
05/06/10-05/06/10
42.00% 5.0 40.00% 4.0
Rasmussen Reports 
04/12/10-04/12/10
47.00% 5.0 36.00% 1.0
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
04/07/10-04/12/10
48.00% 6.0 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
03/29/10-04/07/10
33.00% -- 22.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/30/10-04/05/10
42.00% -- 34.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
03/29/10-04/01/10
42.00% -- 36.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
03/15/10-03/21/10
27.00% -- 19.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
03/15/10-03/15/10
42.00% 5.0 37.00% 1.0
Research 2000 
03/08/10-03/10/10
42.00% -- 39.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
03/03/10-03/06/10
42.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
02/05/10-02/05/10
47.00% -- 38.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/15/2010 Joseph A. Sestak TVAd Issue eng Belle  00:00:32 RP 
08/16/2010 TVAd Attack eng Rockets  00:00:31 Scott³ 
08/16/2010 Joseph A. Sestak TVAd Attack eng Toomey's Erie  00:00:41 Scott³ 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 02, 2010 03:00pm News Dems say Philly turnout beating expectations  Article Some say... 
Oct 25, 2010 11:00am Speculative Hot Questions: Is Christine O'Donnell Hurting the GOP in Pennsylvania?  Article Brandonius Maximus 
Oct 24, 2010 07:00pm News Pat Toomey sidesteps questions about Sarah Palin endorsement of him  Article The Sunset Provision 
Oct 20, 2010 02:00pm General Pennsylvania Senate race moves back to "Toss Up"  Article COSDem 
Oct 15, 2010 05:00am News (PA) Absentee ballot requests favoring GOP  Article Scott³ 
Sep 28, 2010 02:00am News Cash Crunch: Senate Dems Scale Back Ad Campaign in Pennsylvania  Article Scott³ 

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