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  PA US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline August 02, 2010 - 05:00pm
Polls Open November 02, 2010 - 06:00am
Polls Close November 02, 2010 - 07:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 45.12% Registered 32.39% Total Population
ContributorScott³
Last ModifiedRBH December 04, 2010 12:11pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Signature Requirements for 3rd party candidates: 19,082
Due by August 2, 2010
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won04/28/2009
NameArlen Specter Votes1 (100.00%)
Term04/28/2009 - 01/03/2011 Margin1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 18, 2010 PA US Senate - D Primary Joe Sestak
May 18, 2010 PA US Senate - R Primary Pat Toomey
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.2500000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
09/27/2007 11/02/2010
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Joe Sestak 11 3 1 --
Pat Toomey 35 12 2 3
Leaning Call: Pat Toomey (79.38%)
Weighted Call: Pat Toomey (85.78%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
01/06/2010 10/31/2010

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Pat Toomey Rep. Joe Sestak  
PartyRepublican Democratic  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes2,028,945 (51.01%) 1,948,716 (48.99%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -80,229 (-2.02%)  
Predict Avg.50.40% 48.75%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $4,654,522.00 6/30 $2,086,724.00  
MATCHUP POLLS (67 from 20 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.23%-- 43.77%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/30/10-10/31/10
51.00% 6.0 46.00% --
YouGov 
10/28/10-10/31/10
47.60% 1.9 43.50% 0.7
Muhlenberg College 
10/28/10-10/31/10
48.00% -- 44.00% 4.0
Quinnipiac University 
10/25/10-10/30/10
50.00% 2.0 45.00% 1.0
Marist Institute 
10/26/10-10/28/10
52.00% 1.0 45.00% 3.0
Rasmussen Reports 
10/28/10-10/28/10
50.00% 2.0 46.00% 2.0
YouGov 
10/25/10-10/28/10
49.50% -- 44.20% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/24/10-10/27/10
46.00% 1.0 44.00% 2.0
Muhlenberg College 
10/24/10-10/27/10
48.00% 2.0 40.00% 3.0
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/20/10-10/26/10
49.00% -- 45.00% 1.0
Ipsos 
10/22/10-10/24/10
46.00% 1.0 46.00% 9.0
Franklin & Marshall College 
10/18/10-10/24/10
48.00% 2.0 40.00% 6.0
Muhlenberg College 
10/20/10-10/23/10
46.00% 5.0 43.00% 1.0
Rasmussen Reports 
10/21/10-10/21/10
48.00% 1.0 44.00% 5.0
Muhlenberg College 
10/16/10-10/19/10
41.00% 5.0 44.00% 5.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/17/10-10/18/10
45.00% -- 46.00% 10.0
Quinnipiac University 
10/13/10-10/17/10
48.00% 2.0 46.00% 3.0
Rasmussen Reports 
10/12/10-10/12/10
49.00% -- 39.00% 1.0
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
10/08/10-10/10/10
44.00% 2.0 47.00% 3.0
ccAdvertising (R) 
10/07/10-10/07/10
47.74% -- 40.18% --
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D) 
10/04/10-10/06/10
46.00% -- 45.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
09/28/10-10/04/10
46.00% -- 39.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/29/10-09/29/10
49.00% -- 40.00% 1.0
Marist Institute 
09/26/10-09/28/10
51.00% -- 42.00% --
Suffolk University 
09/23/10-09/27/10
45.00% -- 40.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
09/23/10-09/26/10
45.00% 3.0 42.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
09/20/10-09/26/10
46.00% 6.0 34.00% 3.0
Muhlenberg College 
09/18/10-09/23/10
46.00% 13.0 39.00% 17.0
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
09/21/10-09/21/10
49.40% -- 40.60% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
09/17/10-09/21/10
49.00% -- 44.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/15/10-09/19/10
50.00% -- 43.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
09/18/10-09/18/10
48.00% 1.0 40.00% 1.0
Municipoll Research 
09/15/10-09/16/10
45.00% -- 36.00% --
Critical Insights 
09/14/10-09/16/10
40.00% -- 36.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/13/10-09/13/10
49.00% 1.0 41.00% 1.0
Pulse Opinion Research 
09/11/10-09/11/10
47.00% -- 41.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
08/30/10-08/30/10
48.00% -- 42.00% 2.0
Ipsos 
08/27/10-08/29/10
47.00% -- 37.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
08/16/10-08/23/10
40.00% -- 31.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
08/16/10-08/16/10
48.00% 3.0 40.00% 1.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/14/10-08/16/10
45.00% -- 36.00% --
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
08/12/10-08/15/10
46.00% 6.0 44.00% 3.0
We Ask America 
08/04/10-08/04/10
47.55% -- 34.93% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/28/10-07/28/10
45.00% -- 39.00% 1.0
Rasmussen Reports 
07/14/10-07/14/10
45.00% -- 38.00% 1.0
Quinnipiac University 
07/06/10-07/11/10
43.00% 1.0 43.00% 3.0
Rasmussen Reports 
06/29/10-06/29/10
45.00% -- 39.00% 1.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
06/19/10-06/21/10
41.00% 1.0 41.00% 5.0
Rasmussen Reports 
06/02/10-06/02/10
45.00% 3.0 38.00% 8.0
Research 2000 
05/24/10-05/26/10
40.00% 5.0 43.00% 3.0
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
05/21/10-05/23/10
40.00% -- 47.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
05/19/10-05/19/10
42.00% -- 46.00% 6.0
Research 2000 
05/10/10-05/12/10
45.00% 3.0 40.00% 1.0
Quinnipiac University 
05/04/10-05/10/10
42.00% -- 40.00% 6.0
Franklin & Marshall College 
05/03/10-05/09/10
29.00% 2.0 28.00% 9.0
Rasmussen Reports 
05/06/10-05/06/10
42.00% 5.0 40.00% 4.0
Rasmussen Reports 
04/12/10-04/12/10
47.00% 5.0 36.00% 1.0
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
04/07/10-04/12/10
48.00% 6.0 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
03/29/10-04/07/10
33.00% -- 22.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/30/10-04/05/10
42.00% -- 34.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
03/29/10-04/01/10
42.00% -- 36.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
03/15/10-03/21/10
27.00% -- 19.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
03/15/10-03/15/10
42.00% 5.0 37.00% 1.0
Research 2000 
03/08/10-03/10/10
42.00% -- 39.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
03/03/10-03/06/10
42.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
02/05/10-02/05/10
47.00% -- 38.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBT Smart
AENM Angry Russian
  To Protect Our Heritage PAC
  Doylestown (PA) Intelligencer
  Daily Pennsylvanian
  Delaware County Times
  Pocono Record
  Swarthmore College Phoenix
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/15/2010 Joe Sestak TVAd Issue eng Belle  00:00:32 RP 
08/16/2010 TVAd Attack eng Rockets  00:00:31 Scott³ 
08/16/2010 Joe Sestak TVAd Attack eng Toomey's Erie  00:00:41 Scott³ 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 02, 2010 03:00pm News Dems say Philly turnout beating expectations  Article Some say... 
Oct 25, 2010 11:00am Speculative Hot Questions: Is Christine O'Donnell Hurting the GOP in Pennsylvania?  Article Brandon 
Oct 24, 2010 07:00pm News Pat Toomey sidesteps questions about Sarah Palin endorsement of him  Article The Sunset Provision 
Oct 20, 2010 02:00pm General Pennsylvania Senate race moves back to "Toss Up"  Article COSDem 
Oct 15, 2010 05:00am News (PA) Absentee ballot requests favoring GOP  Article Scott³ 
Sep 28, 2010 02:00am News Cash Crunch: Senate Dems Scale Back Ad Campaign in Pennsylvania  Article Scott³ 

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