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  AZ US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2012 - 12:00am
Polls Open November 06, 2012 - 08:00am
Polls Close November 06, 2012 - 09:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 01:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 01:00pm
Turnout 71.18% Registered 35.10% Total Population
ContributorThomas Walker
Last ModifiedRBH December 03, 2012 10:54pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/07/2006
NameJon Kyl Votes814,398 (53.34%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin150,257 (+9.84%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 28, 2012 AZ US Senate - R Primary Jeff Flake
Aug 28, 2012 AZ US Senate - D Primary Richard Carmona
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 5.5000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/06/2007 11/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Jeff Flake 32 31 4 4
Richard Carmona 4 ------
Leaning Call: Jeff Flake (96.83%)
Weighted Call: Jeff Flake (99.58%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
04/28/2011 11/03/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Jeff Flake Surgeon General Richard Carmona Marc Victor (W) Steven Watts (W) Don Manspeaker  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Independent Independent  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes1,104,457 (49.23%) 1,036,542 (46.20%) 102,109 (4.55%) 290 (0.01%) 24 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -67,915 (-3.03%) -1,002,348 (-44.68%) -1,104,167 (-49.22%) -1,104,433 (-49.23%)  
Predict Avg.48.75% 44.56% 4.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 12/31 $627,851.62 $-- $-- $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (27 from 13 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg46.15%-- 43.20%-- 3.21%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/02/12-11/03/12		 51.00% 8.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/31/12-11/03/12		 49.00% 5.0 42.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anzalone Liszt Research (D) 
10/17/12-10/21/12		 41.00% 3.0 45.00% 2.0 5.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/21/12-10/21/12		 50.00% 3.0 44.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/12-10/11/12		 44.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
10/04/12-10/10/12		 40.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
AENM Angry Russian
D Bob
R Maryland Republican
  eQualityGiving
  Fraternal Order of Police
  International Association of Firefighters
  National Association of Police Organizations
LBT Smart
LBT Kane for Senate
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Oct 10, 2012 06:00pm Oct 10, 2012 07:00pm Debate First Arizona Senate Debate  Dr. King Schultz 
Oct 15, 2012 12:00am Oct 15, 2012 12:00am Debate Second Arizona Senate Debate  Dr. King Schultz 
Oct 25, 2012 12:00am Oct 25, 2012 12:00am Debate Third Arizona Senate Debate  Dr. King Schultz 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/25/2012 Richard Carmona TVAd Endorsement eng Confirmation  00:00:30 RP 
10/15/2012 Richard Carmona TVAd Biography eng Mom  00:00:34 Progressive Scot 
10/15/2012 vs Jeff Flake TVAd Attack eng We Can't Risk Jeff Flake in the U.S. Senate   00:00:31 RP 
10/12/2012 Richard Carmona vs Jeff Flake TVAd Contrast eng Ashamed  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/11/2012 vs Jeff Flake TVAd Attack eng Jeff Flake's Out of Touch, Extreme Record is Wrong for Arizona  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/11/2012 Jeff Flake vs Richard Carmona TVAd Attack eng Never, Ever  00:00:30 John 
10/05/2012 Richard Carmona vs Jeff Flake TVAd Contrast eng Life's Work  00:00:33 Progressive Scot 
10/04/2012 vs Jeff Flake TVAd Attack eng Jeff Flake: Too Extreme for Arizona Women  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/02/2012 vs Richard Carmona TVAd Attack eng Know  00:00:30 RP 
09/27/2012 vs Jeff Flake TVAd Attack eng Respect  00:00:32 RP 
09/25/2012 Richard Carmona vs Jeff Flake TVAd Mixed eng Lived It  00:00:32 RP 
09/18/2012 Jeff Flake vs Richard Carmona TVAd Contrast eng Some Decisions Are Just Easier Than Others   00:00:31 RP 
09/12/2012 Richard Carmona TVAd Issue eng Both  00:00:31 RP 
09/10/2012 Richard Carmona TVAd Issue eng Contract  00:00:31 RP 
09/04/2012 Richard Carmona TVAd Biography eng El Camino  00:00:30 RP 
08/28/2012 Jeff Flake vs Richard Carmona TVAd Attack eng Liberal Richard Carmona thinks Obamacare was "Brave"   00:01:02 RP 
08/28/2012 Richard Carmona TVAd Biography eng Problem Solving  00:00:31 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 08, 2012 10:40am Endorsement Bill Clinton to headline rally for Rich Carmona in Tempe Oct.10  Article Jason 
Oct 02, 2012 06:00am News DSCC going up in Arizona  Article John 
Aug 21, 2012 05:00pm News Carmona touts funds from Republican, independent backers  Article Jason 

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