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  CA Governor - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > Governor
OfficeGovernor
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 17, 2010 - 12:00pm
Polls Open June 08, 2010 - 06:00am
Polls Close June 08, 2010 - 10:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
Turnout 45.47% Registered 6.38% Total Population
ContributorEric
Last ModifiedJason October 30, 2010 10:27pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/07/2006
NameArnold Schwarzenegger Votes4,850,157 (55.88%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2011 Margin1,473,425 (+16.98%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/02/2010
NameEdmund G. "Jerry" Brown, Jr. Votes5,428,149 (53.77%)
Term01/03/2011 - 01/05/2015 Margin1,300,758 (+12.88%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceCA Governor 11/02/2010
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.1999998093 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/13/2007 06/08/2010
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Steve Poizner 2 2 1 --
Meg Whitman 9 2 9 9
Leaning Call: Meg Whitman (89.41%)
Weighted Call: Meg Whitman (61.15%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/20/2009 06/06/2010

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Meg Whitman Commissioner of Insurance Steve Poizner Lawrence "Larry" Naritelli Robert C. Newman II Ken Miller William S. Chambers Douglas R. Hughes
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Certified Votes1,529,534 (64.35%) 632,940 (26.63%) 54,202 (2.28%) 38,462 (1.62%) 36,609 (1.54%) 34,243 (1.44%) 26,085 (1.10%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -896,594 (-37.72%) -1,475,332 (-62.06%) -1,491,072 (-62.73%) -1,492,925 (-62.81%) -1,495,291 (-62.90%) -1,503,449 (-63.25%)
Predict Avg.44.75% 28.72% 1.80% 0.13% 0.13% 0.33% 0.13%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Bar
       
MATCHUP POLLS (26 from 11 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.50%-- 26.33%-- 0.32%-- 0.32%-- 0.32%-- 0.32%-- 0.32%--
Survey USA 
06/03/10-06/06/10
59.00% 5.0 30.00% 3.0 1.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0
Field Poll 
05/27/10-06/02/10
51.00% 12.0 25.00% 11.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Probolsky & Assoc. 
05/30/10-06/01/10
54.40% 20.1 24.00% 18.5 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Los Angeles Times 
05/19/10-05/26/10
53.00% 7.0 29.00% 9.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
05/24/10-05/24/10
54.00% 9.0 19.00% 7.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/21/10-05/23/10
51.00% -- 26.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/21/10-05/23/10
54.00% 15.0 27.00% 10.0 2.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0
Research 2000 
05/17/10-05/19/10
46.00% 22.0 36.00% 27.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
M4Strategies 
05/12/10-05/16/10
49.00% -- 31.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) 
05/09/10-05/16/10
38.00% 23.0 29.00% 18.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/06/10-05/09/10
39.00% 10.0 37.00% 10.0 1.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 1.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
05/02/10-05/04/10
38.00% -- 28.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/19/10-04/21/10
49.00% -- 27.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
04/18/10-04/19/10
55.00% -- 24.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Los Angeles Times 
03/23/10-03/30/10
60.00% -- 20.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) 
03/09/10-03/16/10
61.00% 20.0 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Field Poll 
03/09/10-03/15/10
63.00% 18.0 14.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
02/25/10-02/25/10
63.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) 
01/12/10-01/19/10
41.00% 9.0 11.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Field Poll 
01/05/10-01/17/10
45.00% 23.0 17.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) 
12/01/09-12/08/09
32.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Probolsky & Assoc. 
10/26/09-10/28/09
34.30% -- 5.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Field Poll 
09/18/09-10/05/09
22.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
08/09/09-08/12/09
24.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Probolsky & Assoc. 
05/25/09-05/29/09
10.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Field Poll 
02/20/09-03/01/09
21.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
AENM Angry Russian
  San Jose Mercury News
R Dick Cheney [L]
R Condoleezza "Condi" Rice [L]
  Santa Cruz Sentinel
R Tom McClintock [L]
  Contra Costa Times
  San Francisco Chronicle
AnFed Grasshopper
  Independence Caucus
F Blue Republican
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name David Tully-Smith (W) Steve Mozena  
PartyRepublican Republican  
Website  
Certified Votes24,978 (1.05%) 26 (0.00%)  
Margin-1,504,556 (-63.29%) -1,529,508 (-64.34%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Bar
  
MATCHUP POLLS (26 from 11 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.32%-- 0.00%--  
Survey USA 
06/03/10-06/06/10
1.00% -- 0.00% --
Field Poll 
05/27/10-06/02/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Probolsky & Assoc. 
05/30/10-06/01/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Los Angeles Times 
05/19/10-05/26/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
05/24/10-05/24/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/21/10-05/23/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/21/10-05/23/10
1.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
05/17/10-05/19/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
M4Strategies 
05/12/10-05/16/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) 
05/09/10-05/16/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/06/10-05/09/10
1.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
05/02/10-05/04/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
04/19/10-04/21/10
1.00% -- 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
04/18/10-04/19/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Los Angeles Times 
03/23/10-03/30/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) 
03/09/10-03/16/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Field Poll 
03/09/10-03/15/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
02/25/10-02/25/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) 
01/12/10-01/19/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Field Poll 
01/05/10-01/17/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) 
12/01/09-12/08/09
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Probolsky & Assoc. 
10/26/09-10/28/09
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Field Poll 
09/18/09-10/05/09
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
08/09/09-08/12/09
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Probolsky & Assoc. 
05/25/09-05/29/09
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Field Poll 
02/20/09-03/01/09
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

EVENTS
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VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 03, 2010 06:10pm Analysis Once left for dead, Poizner is making it a race  Article Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! 
Apr 12, 2010 11:20pm Announcement Once again, Meg Whitman promises to release her tax returns  Article Jason 
Apr 12, 2010 07:00pm Blog Entry A Campaign Dedicated to Losing  Article Jason 
Apr 12, 2010 07:00pm Strategy Meg Whitman team studying 2 CEOs' winning runs  Article Jason 
Mar 09, 2010 01:00am Analysis Whitman ads create a crisis of confidence  Article Jason 
Jan 24, 2010 12:00pm Analysis Poizner's operation of Insurance Department a factor in California governor's race  Article Patrick 

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