My question is, would Peña or Lopez Obrador change the way the drug war is being fought? That seems to be by far the most pressing issue facing Mexico today.

Yes, they would strategically surrender.

hey guys I'm new here, I can tell you that Enrique Peña Nieto is gonna win because Josefina Vázquez Mota is a disaster as a candidate

Why is she a disaster? and why do you support the PRI? What ideology are you? Right or left-wing?

because is the party that knows how to govern that's why it has won the mayority of the elections and I am moderate I don't believe in the extremes

she is a disaster because she doesn't answer the questions, her campaign has been based on attacking enrique peña nieto because he is "prista", she has said that her goverment is gonna be the same as Calderon but at the same time is gonna be a change

Regardless, I'm sure she'll be less a disaster than Santiago Creel would have been. I mean, I kinda like the guy since he's more from the Fox wing of the party but he's about as exciting as the plague.

What wing is there other than the Fox wing?

Mexico needs a runoff.

What wing is there other than the Fox wing? The party doesn't really have named factions with strong leaders but for now I'll just call them the Santorum wing. Essentially strong social conservatives who care more about purity on those issues than strict adherence to conservative economics. I consider Fox to be more of a libertarian figure, not kowtowing to the Catholic Church on everything and focusing on economics. He's rather rare in his party on marijuana and I might be remembering wrong but I seem to recall him and/or Creel being at least somewhat pro-choice. Probably more on the Mexican political spectrum than anything. Mexico needs a runoff. Would be nice, though I'm not certain it would have changed the outcome either of the last two elections. The PRI can be very different depending on which region of the country it is and I recall were quite split between Calderón and AMLO last time.

I don't think a runoff would be great for Mexico, it would cost too much and yeah PAN has some very conservative people like the governor of Jalisco and Guanajuato but I don't think they are so extreme like Santorum

Santiago Creel at least looks prepared, she doesn't look prepared to run a country

It'd cost more, but what kind of mandate do you have when you only win 36% of the vote?

Mexico used to have a run-off (until 1994), but the 2nd round never got held. The PRI nominee always managed to get over 50 percent in the first round (like when Carlos Salinas de Gortari got 50.3 percent in 1988 - yeah, like that ever really happened).

no, it was because the pri candidates always got more than fifty percent of the vote

there has never been run-off in Mexico

So there was a run-off in place but the PRI always got over 50%? Did the PRI get rid of it?

no, there has never been run-off, I wrote that becuase he said that before 1994 the presidents won with more than fifty percent

That poll is without leaners. When people were pushed to name a candidate, EPN won 50%. The PRI is also at 51% in the parliamentary race. Mexico might not need run-offs after all.

I continue to believe that it is going to be more competitive at the end

In a poll today, Andres Manuel López Obrador is in 2nd. place

In the University the Students hate Enrique Peña Nieto

That's a huge lead in the polls. Is this race pretty much over?

According to the polls the election is over but I think that at the end the numbers are gonna be really closer

I think that Josefina Vázquez Mota is gonna finish in third place