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  NC US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > North Carolina > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline February 03, 2008 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 04, 2008 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 04, 2008 - 05:30pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorJ.R.
Last ModifiedRBH November 25, 2008 04:40pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2002
NameElizabeth H. Dole Votes1,248,664 (53.56%)
Term01/03/2003 - 01/03/2009 Margin200,681 (+8.61%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameThomas "Thom" Tillis Votes1,423,259 (48.82%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin45,608 (+1.56%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 06, 2008 NC US Senate - R Primary
Elizabeth H. Dole
R 512,080
May 06, 2008 NC US Senate - D Primary
Kay Hagan
D 1,335,157
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/10/2006 11/04/2008
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Kay Hagan 50 8 ----
Elizabeth H. Dole 8 7 4 1
Leaning Call: Kay Hagan (63.46%)
Weighted Call: Kay Hagan (99.35%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/07/2007 11/02/2008

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name St. Sen. Kay Hagan (I) Sen. Elizabeth H. Dole Christopher S. Cole (W) Others (W) Walker F. Rucker  
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Independent Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 2,249,311 (52.65%) 1,887,510 (44.18%) 133,430 (3.12%) 1,679 (0.04%) 12 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -361,801 (-8.47%) -2,115,881 (-49.53%) -2,247,632 (-52.61%) -2,249,299 (-52.65%)  
Predict Avg.49.05% 49.64% 1.76% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2008 00/00/2008 00/00/2008 -- 00/00/2008  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (62 from 16 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.48%-- 43.75%-- 2.63%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Survey USA 
10/30/08-11/02/08		 50.00% 4.0 43.00% 2.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/31/08-11/02/08		 51.00% 3.0 44.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/18/08-11/01/08		 48.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
10/28/08-10/30/08		 50.00% 1.0 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
10/27/08-10/29/08		 45.00% 1.0 43.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/29/08-10/29/08		 52.00% 3.0 46.00% 2.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/23/08-10/28/08		 53.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/25/08-10/26/08		 48.00% 1.0 45.00% 3.0 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
GfK 
10/22/08-10/26/08		 47.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/22/08-10/24/08		 42.00% -- 46.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marshall Marketing 
10/20/08-10/21/08		 44.00% 0.4 43.40% 0.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
10/18/08-10/20/08		 44.00% 1.0 41.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/18/08-10/20/08		 46.00% 3.0 45.00% 1.0 5.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/18/08-10/19/08		 49.00% 3.0 42.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
10/14/08-10/15/08		 49.00% 7.0 45.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/11/08-10/12/08		 46.00% 3.0 44.00% 4.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
10/06/08-10/08/08		 45.00% 4.0 42.00% 1.0 3.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/08/08-10/08/08		 49.00% 1.0 44.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marshall Marketing 
10/06/08-10/07/08		 43.60% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/05/08-10/06/08		 43.00% 3.0 44.00% 4.0 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/04/08-10/05/08		 49.00% 3.0 40.00% 2.0 5.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/28/08-09/29/08		 46.00% -- 38.00% 3.0 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/23/08-09/23/08		 48.00% 3.0 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
09/17/08-09/20/08		 41.00% -- 43.00% 1.0 5.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
09/17/08-09/20/08		 41.00% -- 43.00% -- 6.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/17/08-09/19/08		 46.00% 3.0 41.00% 1.0 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/18/08-09/18/08		 51.00% 10.0 45.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Elon University 
09/15/08-09/18/08		 35.00% -- 35.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
09/08/08-09/10/08		 42.00% -- 48.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/09/08-09/09/08		 43.00% 1.0 42.00% 3.0 6.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
09/06/08-09/08/08		 40.00% 1.0 48.00% 2.0 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
09/05/08-09/07/08		 46.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) 
08/20/08-08/26/08		 50.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
08/20/08-08/23/08		 42.00% 2.0 39.00% 10.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
08/19/08-08/19/08		 39.80% -- 39.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
08/14/08-08/17/08		 41.00% 3.0 44.00% 3.0 4.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
08/09/08-08/11/08		 41.00% 1.0 46.00% 8.0 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
07/28/08-07/30/08		 42.00% 1.0 50.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/23/08-07/27/08		 40.00% 3.0 49.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
07/14/08-07/16/08		 38.00% -- 47.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/15/08-07/15/08		 41.00% 2.0 53.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
07/12/08-07/14/08		 42.00% 4.0 54.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
07/07/08-07/09/08		 36.00% -- 51.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
06/26/08-06/29/08		 37.00% 2.0 51.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
06/11/08-06/13/08		 38.00% 5.0 48.00% 3.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
06/10/08-06/10/08		 39.00% 9.0 53.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/28/08-05/29/08		 39.00% 4.0 47.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anzalone Liszt Research (D) 
05/14/08-05/21/08		 44.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/17/08-05/19/08		 46.00% -- 50.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
05/14/08-05/17/08		 43.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/08/08-05/09/08		 43.00% 10.0 48.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
05/08/08-05/08/08		 48.00% 9.0 47.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
04/28/08-04/30/08		 41.00% 2.0 48.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
04/10/08-04/10/08		 39.00% 4.0 52.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
02/18/08-02/18/08		 33.00% 2.0 50.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/22/08-01/22/08		 35.00% 4.0 48.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
12/19/07-12/19/07		 35.00% -- 55.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
12/16/07-12/18/07		 39.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
12/17/07-12/17/07		 39.00% 6.0 51.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/30/07-10/30/07		 33.00% 6.0 46.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/09/07-07/09/07		 27.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/07/07-07/07/07		 27.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
I JonathanNC
  Muslim American Public Affairs Council (MAPAC)
D 6463 Name Removed
R TurnerforCongress
D Brandonius Maximus
D COSDem
D Blue Wizzrobe
Laf-W Craverguy
  Esquire
  Durham Herald-Sun
  Charlotte Observer
  Winston-Salem Journal
  Asheville Citizen-Times
  Greensboro News and Record
  North Carolina Troopers' Association
D Bob
D DFWDem
D Jason
G BR_Green
D Sarnstrom
I McCord 2014
D Hail to the Rookies
D Ashley
  Eagle Forum
R Bensq1
AENM Angry Russian
  National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)
R ...
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
00/00/2008 Kay Hagan TVAd Biography eng Belief   00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
00/00/2008 Elizabeth H. Dole TVAd Attack eng Godless Americans  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Mar 18, 2009 10:00pm News It's confirmed: Dole's 'Godless' ad was a desperate move  Article The Sunset Provision 
Oct 31, 2008 07:00am General Rep. Price: Dole ad 'pathetic'  Article Monsieur 
Oct 24, 2008 07:00am News Expert: GOP [NC senate] ad seems to concede [presidential] election  Article Brandonius Maximus 
Oct 17, 2008 07:00pm Election Guide Dole struggles to keep seat as GOP wilts  Article Monsieur 
Oct 16, 2008 09:00pm News Dole supports withdrawal of U.S. troops  Article The Sunset Provision 
Oct 13, 2008 10:00am News Dole dips into personal funds for campaign  Article The Sunset Provision 

DISCUSSION