Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A collaborative political resource." 
Email: Password:

  IL US Senate - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Illinois > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline December 01, 2003 - 12:00pm
Polls Open March 16, 2004 - 07:00am
Polls Close March 16, 2004 - 07:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Turnout 10.08% Total Population
ContributorNone Entered
Last ModifiedNone Entered July 03, 2004 05:56am
Data Sources[Link]
Description [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/1998
NamePeter G. Fitzgerald Votes1,709,041 (50.35%)
Term01/03/1999 - 01/03/2005 Margin98,545 (+2.90%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/02/2004
NameBarack Obama Votes3,597,456 (69.97%)
Term01/03/2005 - 11/16/2008 Margin2,206,766 (+42.92%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceIL US Senate 11/02/2004
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.4286003113 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/02/2003 03/16/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Barack Obama 13 14 10 3
Maria Pappas 1 ------
Dan Hynes 8 2 2 --
Blair Hull --1 ----
Leaning Call: Barack Obama (79.81%)
Weighted Call: Barack Obama (99.38%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
04/02/2003 03/14/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name St. Sen. Barack Obama Comptroller Dan Hynes Blair Hull County Treasurer Maria Pappas Gery Chico Nancy Skinner Joyce Washington
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes655,923 (52.77%) 294,717 (23.71%) 134,453 (10.82%) 74,987 (6.03%) 53,433 (4.30%) 16,098 (1.30%) 13,375 (1.08%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -361,206 (-29.06%) -521,470 (-41.95%) -580,936 (-46.74%) -602,490 (-48.47%) -639,825 (-51.47%) -642,548 (-51.69%)
Predict Avg.23.33% 22.17% 16.75% 12.50% 3.92% 1.45% 2.75%
Cash On Hand 7/15 $1,086,877.10 7/1 $1,560,726.28 6/30 $2,502,402.00 $-- 3/30 $1,342,037.28 $-- 6/30 $439,294.00
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 14 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg31.91%-- 18.76%-- 18.38%-- 9.45%-- 4.17%-- 1.27%-- 1.67%--
Survey USA 
03/14/04-03/14/04
50.00% 6.0 20.00% 2.0 16.00% 4.0 7.00% -- 4.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
03/08/04-03/10/04
36.00% 14.0 21.00% 1.0 14.00% 1.0 15.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
03/08/04-03/10/04
37.00% -- 18.00% -- 16.00% -- 8.00% -- 5.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Chicago Tribune-WGN-TV 
03/09/04-03/09/04
33.00% -- 19.00% -- 16.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
03/06/04-03/08/04
44.00% 25.0 18.00% 1.0 20.00% 9.0 7.00% 7.0 6.00% 3.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 3.0
Research 2000 
03/01/04-03/03/04
22.00% -- 20.00% -- 15.00% -- 14.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Lawrence Lessig [L]
D PA-FL Dem
D Jesse L. Jackson, Jr. [L]
D Paul M. Simon [L]
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
D ev
D Alan John Dixon [L]
D Dan "Rosty" Rostenkowski [L]
D Frank Avila
D Dick Mell
D Bobby Rush
D Carl Officer
IndP 6921
Laf-W Craverguy
D Joe Baca [L]
D Dorothy I. Height [L]
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Estella Johnson-Hunt  
PartyDemocratic  
Website [Website]  
Uncertified Votes10 (0.00%)  
Margin-655,913 (-52.77%)  
Predict Avg.0.09%  
Cash On Hand $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 14 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%--  
Survey USA 
03/14/04-03/14/04
0.00% --
Research 2000 
03/08/04-03/10/04
0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
03/08/04-03/10/04
0.00% --
Chicago Tribune-WGN-TV 
03/09/04-03/09/04
0.00% --
Survey USA 
03/06/04-03/08/04
0.00% --
Research 2000 
03/01/04-03/03/04
0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
PM's None Entered
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jul 27, 2004 12:00am General Former Obama adversaries look on without regret  Article None Entered 
Mar 15, 2004 12:00am News In Ill. Senate race, character is the issue  Article None Entered 
Mar 13, 2004 12:00am News Illinois Senate Primary Airs Divorce, Drug Use Details  Article Gerald Farinas 
Mar 12, 2004 12:00am News The Gloves Come Off  Article None Entered 
Mar 11, 2004 12:00am News Hynes pounces on Obama at last debate  Article None Entered 
Mar 10, 2004 12:00am Endorsement People for the American Way Endorses Obama  Article Gerald Farinas 

DISCUSSION
[View All
714
Previous Messages]
 
D:316PeterShannonIllinois ( -38.4386 points)
Fri, July 11, 2003 01:14:09 AM UTC0:00
I think Hynes took a huge step towards wrapping this thing up with this endorsement. He needs to keep his fundraising going though to compete with Hull at least a little bit. Have there been any articles on how much money he has raised recently?

 
D:5Steve ( 56.3071 points)
Fri, July 11, 2003 01:19:36 AM UTC0:00
Personally, I never thought Hynes dropped out of the favorite spot.

Danny Davis? The thought makes me laugh.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Fri, July 11, 2003 01:22:47 AM UTC0:00
I think Davis would lose to any GOP.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Fri, July 11, 2003 01:25:51 AM UTC0:00
Well Politics1.com has DKD as a potential candidate, so I'll just add him for now... even if it does sound extremely far fetched.

 
D:260moddem ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, July 11, 2003 05:02:24 PM UTC0:00
The Davis rumour started in Sneed's column, which isn't particularly reliable. But someone is clearly floating it, whether it's Davis or someone who wants to put a dent in Obama's campaign. My guess is that it won't go beyond the trial baloon stage, but you never know.

 
D:316PeterShannonIllinois ( -38.4386 points)
Sun, July 13, 2003 10:26:22 PM UTC0:00
Starting in Sneed gives it low credibility. I guess the only thing that does lend credibility to the rumor is that Davis has not denied it yet.

 
D:260moddem ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, July 15, 2003 06:17:00 PM UTC0:00
Does anyone know anything more about 2nd quarter fundraising totals yet?

 
D:260moddem ( 0.0000 points)
Wed, July 16, 2003 12:52:02 PM UTC0:00
Interesting 2nd quarter numbers. The big surprise is Obama who raised 878,000 and has a total of 1.07 million on hand. Very impressive. Chico's fundraising fell off to 470,000 (and a total of 1.34 million on hand). He's in trouble. Hynes came in just about as expected with 930,000 for the quarter and 1.54 million on hand. Hull's numbers don't really matter because they're all from himself and for all practical purposes, he has infinity.

These numbers suggest that Hynes will probably raise at least 4 million (and probably more than 5, since fundraising tends to pick up as the election nears). Obama will be close behind, They will have enough to run major league, statewide campaigns. I doubt anyone else will be anywhere close to that. If Pappas wants to be competitive, she better get moving. Right now it looks like a hotly contested 3-person race.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Sun, July 20, 2003 08:45:02 PM UTC0:00
Maria Pappas hasn't been actively campaigning. She hasn't been actively raising funds. It makes me wonder......

 
PRB:238Mr. Techno ( -125.1277 points)
Sun, July 20, 2003 09:57:00 PM UTC0:00
That she'll date you?:P

 
D:239ArmyDem ( 5910.5693 points)
Sun, July 20, 2003 10:40:03 PM UTC0:00
Doesn't matter Howie, cause Vic Roberts has this one in the bag. ;-)

 
Reg:16None Entered ( 1178.9144 points)
Mon, July 21, 2003 12:22:00 AM UTC0:00
Pappas also was not among the nine at a recent candidate forum. Remarkably, Roberts was.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Mon, July 21, 2003 12:22:26 AM UTC0:00
Teehee. If Pappas is out, then my support goes to Hynes, I suppose. I only wish Jan Schakowsky had run.

 
D:316PeterShannonIllinois ( -38.4386 points)
Tue, July 22, 2003 04:38:35 AM UTC0:00
On the radio today they announced that Bobby Rush endorsed Hull. Any thoughts on what that means?

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Tue, July 22, 2003 04:39:14 AM UTC0:00
Not a lot?

 
D:239ArmyDem ( 5910.5693 points)
Tue, July 22, 2003 04:39:30 AM UTC0:00
Revenge on Obama, and some other ulterior motive. It's a tough one to analyze without knowing more.

 
D:316PeterShannonIllinois ( -38.4386 points)
Tue, July 22, 2003 04:58:00 AM UTC0:00
I suppose symbolically it gives Hull credibility since he's a prominent african american leader and a congressman. He did very effective radio ads for topinka (yes I listen to WGCI). But I think Rush can also be a polarizing figure in some areas of the state and having him as chairman of the campaign can become controversial. Plus Mayor Daley can't be thrilled about it since Rush ran against him, although that was a while ago. I'm pretty good at contradicting myself, huh?

 
D:318New York Democrat ( 247.7782 points)
Tue, July 22, 2003 04:32:03 PM UTC0:00
I thought Rush was supporting Joyce Washington in order to screw Obama.

 
D:11Nats In First! ( 11.8254 points)
Tue, July 22, 2003 06:10:23 PM UTC0:00
I heard somewhere he was trying to screw Obama to help Hynes, whose father had a lot to do with his election to Congress.

 
D:318New York Democrat ( 247.7782 points)
Tue, July 22, 2003 06:15:32 PM UTC0:00
Rush hates Obama for primarying him. He wanted to split the black for the Senate race. This would screw Obama. I guess he likes Hull.

 
D:239ArmyDem ( 5910.5693 points)
Wed, July 23, 2003 12:10:30 AM UTC0:00
"I thought Rush was supporting Joyce Washington in order to screw Obama."

-He was supposedly the driving force behind her entering the race. The difference is that Hull has money and Washington is way underfunded.

 
D:11Nats In First! ( 11.8254 points)
Wed, July 23, 2003 04:24:07 AM UTC0:00
Well, if Davis had endorsed Obama, I guess we can take him out of contention here.

 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 191.5293 points)
Wed, July 23, 2003 06:05:45 AM UTC0:00
So is Nancy Skinner really in this?

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Wed, July 23, 2003 06:51:35 AM UTC0:00
Until Pappas becomes a credible candidate, one with a campaign team, and money, I will be supporting Nancy Skinner.

 
D:239ArmyDem ( 5910.5693 points)
Wed, July 23, 2003 08:47:36 AM UTC0:00
"So is Nancy Skinner really in this?"

-Appears so. [Link]