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  KY Governor - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Kentucky > Governor
OfficeGovernor
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline April 15, 2007 - 12:00pm
Polls Open May 22, 2007 - 07:00am
Polls Close May 22, 2007 - 05:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2008 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2012 - 12:00pm
Turnout 22.06% Registered 8.62% Total Population
ContributorCOSDem
Last ModifiedTX DEM June 18, 2007 03:00am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2003
NameErnie Fletcher Votes596,284 (55.04%)
Term12/09/2003 - 12/11/2007 Margin109,125 (+10.07%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2007
NameSteve Beshear Votes619,552 (58.71%)
Term12/11/2007 - 12/13/2011 Margin183,779 (+17.41%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceKY Governor 11/06/2007
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 10.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/10/2007 05/22/2007
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Steve Beshear 16 4 2 --
Steve Henry 3 2 ----
W. Bruce Lunsford 6 ------
Jonathan Miller 1 ------
Leaning Call: Steve Beshear (68.18%)
Weighted Call: Steve Beshear (80.94%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
02/20/2007 05/20/2007

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Lt. Gov. Steve Beshear W. Bruce Lunsford Lt. Gov. Steve Henry Speaker of the House Jody Richards Gatewood Galbraith Otis "Bullman" Hensley, Jr.  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes142,838 (41.02%) 74,578 (21.42%) 60,893 (17.49%) 45,433 (13.05%) 20,704 (5.95%) 3,792 (1.09%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -68,260 (-19.60%) -81,945 (-23.53%) -97,405 (-27.97%) -122,134 (-35.07%) -139,046 (-39.93%)  
Predict Avg.33.67% 29.83% 15.83% 12.00% 6.33% 2.33%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (10 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg25.84%-- 19.22%-- 12.79%-- 8.33%-- 4.33%-- -0.25%--  
Survey USA 
05/18/07-05/20/07
32.00% -- 23.00% -- 17.00% 1.0 12.00% -- 7.00% 2.0 1.00% --
Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates (D) 
05/16/07-05/17/07
25.80% -- 22.00% -- 12.90% -- 12.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
05/14/07-05/15/07
35.00% 14.0 23.00% 15.0 13.00% 8.0 12.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/12/07-05/14/07
32.00% 9.0 23.00% 6.0 18.00% -- 12.00% 3.0 5.00% 1.0 1.00% --
Bluegrass Polling Company 
05/10/07-05/14/07
27.00% -- 21.00% -- 12.00% -- 7.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% --
Survey USA 
04/28/07-04/30/07
23.00% 8.0 29.00% 9.0 18.00% 2.0 9.00% 3.0 6.00% 2.0 1.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Jason
D Andy
IND Monsieur
I TX_Socialist
D NYDem Junior
D Ed Worley
D Julian M. Carroll
D Sarnstrom
D John Aubrey [L]
D Joey Pendleton [L]
D Larry D. Clark [L]
LP Gölök "LD Taylored" Buday [L]
Laf-W Craverguy
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 23, 2007 12:00pm News Beshear's victory revives political career  Article Chronicler 
Apr 09, 2007 09:00pm Advertisement Richards shakes up campaign staff  Article Monsieur 
Apr 09, 2007 09:00pm News Fletcher signs order to free up funds for state agencies  Article Stumbo for Senate 
Apr 04, 2007 03:00am Advertisement Former Secretary of Commerce speaks at fourth gubernatorial forum  Article Stumbo for Senate 
Apr 02, 2007 07:00pm Editorial Amber waves of illusion  Article Stumbo for Senate 
Mar 29, 2007 08:00pm Endorsement Ex-governor backs Lunsford  Article Stumbo for Senate 

DISCUSSION
[View All
213
Previous Messages]
 
D:4366GiGi ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, May 4, 2007 03:15:45 AM UTC0:00
Lunsford may be a regiested Democrat, but he is a Republican at heart! When he backed out of the last Gov Race he threw is backing to Fletcher.

Wake up folks!

 
D:2108ev ( 935.6754 points)
Fri, May 4, 2007 04:19:42 AM UTC0:00
Just like all the other Democrats that have voted Republican, maybe they felt that the other Democrats are not good enough or else they don't represent the conservative views that the traditional Kentucky Democrats hold? That is why they vote and support Republicans. Lunsford is no different than a majority of Kentucky Democratic voters and perhaps he sees himself as that leader of the traditional democratic voters. Since he is running for Governor as a Democrat that obviously goes to show that he is a Democrat at heart, and if he wins he will most likely not donate to Republicans, it does not look good for the party and will make him an easy target in 2011.

Kentucky needs a Democrat who can carry the state to victory and frankly I think Beshear and Henry had their chance but failed, what makes you think they could win as Governor?

Lunsford has that capability to unite the 58% Democratic voters and even bring some Republicans onto his side. Kentucky needs someone whot can unite the party, not divide it, and Lunsford is that candidate.

 
NPA:1796None Entered ( 108.5489 points)
Fri, May 4, 2007 05:32:42 AM UTC0:00
<<Since he is running for Governor as a Democrat that obviously goes to show that he is a Democrat at heart>>

Mike Bloomberg must be a Republican at heart!

 
D:2108ev ( 935.6754 points)
Fri, May 4, 2007 05:37:29 AM UTC0:00
Apparently if he was elected as a Republican, just like Giuliani as a former Democrat is running for President must mean he's a Republican at heart. People are way to negative and don't look at the big picture. Lunsford is going to win its almost fact.

 
NPA:1796None Entered ( 108.5489 points)
Fri, May 4, 2007 05:53:33 AM UTC0:00
This is almost trollish.

 
D:917NYDem Junior ( 1973.3054 points)
Fri, May 4, 2007 03:14:51 PM UTC0:00
Rudy backed Cuomo in one of the most important governor's races in my lifetime.

 
CST:1679mrcharlesmburns ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, May 4, 2007 11:21:38 PM UTC0:00
My prediction

Lunsford- 29%
Beshear- 23%
Henry-18%
Miller-14%
Richards-9%
Gailbrath-6%
Hensley-1%

runnoff

Beasher- 55%
Lunsford- 45%


 
D:4366GiGi ( 0.0000 points)
Sat, May 5, 2007 01:10:02 AM UTC0:00
I like your way of thinking MrCharlesMBurns!!!!!!

If Beshears cannot get the 41% he needs in the primary...I will take the run off results!!!!!!!

 
D:2064TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
Sat, May 5, 2007 01:17:55 AM UTC0:00
With Miller dead in the polls I think Beshear is the best chance for any one left of center to have a good candidate for Governor.

 
CST:1679mrcharlesmburns ( 0.0000 points)
Sat, May 5, 2007 01:54:50 AM UTC0:00
I combined Beshear,Henry,and Miller supporters and Lunsford,Richards,Gailbrath and Hensley supporters.

Lunsford can also be a frontrunner for Mitch McConnell's Senate Seat.

Miller runs for Congress in 2010 to succeed Ben Chandler who runs for the Bunning Seat.

 
D:2108ev ( 935.6754 points)
Sat, May 5, 2007 02:25:40 AM UTC0:00
I doubt the Dems would nominate Beshear, he won only one state race 24 years ago, all the other offices he ran for he lost. He is old news, so is Henry. Kentucky Democrats are looking for someone who can unite the party. For this they need someone fresh and new, not the same old same old. And I desagree, if Beshear did win the primary it would not be by ten points, I would predict more like 52-48%.

 
D:2064TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
Sun, May 6, 2007 09:51:51 PM UTC0:00
I think everyone here can agree both Lunsford and Beshear are better than Fletcher though.

 
NPA:1796None Entered ( 108.5489 points)
Mon, May 7, 2007 04:21:34 AM UTC0:00
I'd prefer Lunsford over Fletcher anyday.

 
D:4366GiGi ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, May 7, 2007 04:52:15 AM UTC0:00
Lunsford better than Fletcher??? That is questionable????

After all, he threw his support to Fletcher 4 years ago!

 
D:263mtrz ( -39.8779 points)
Mon, May 7, 2007 04:55:01 AM UTC0:00
I'd probably vote for a write-in. It's terrible that a sleezy opportunist like Lunsford is going to win this primary.

 
NPA:1796None Entered ( 108.5489 points)
Mon, May 7, 2007 04:53:36 PM UTC0:00
How is Lunsford sleazy?

 
D:4366GiGi ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, May 7, 2007 08:18:01 PM UTC0:00
Not so fast Matthew....Miller is backing out of the race and throwing his support to Beshears...3:00 Press Conference....tune in

 
D:389PaGuy ( 2537.5559 points)
Mon, May 7, 2007 08:54:37 PM UTC0:00
Very Interesting

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Mon, May 7, 2007 09:05:29 PM UTC0:00
Beshear looks a lot like Senator Palpatine.

 
D:389PaGuy ( 2537.5559 points)
Mon, May 7, 2007 11:19:22 PM UTC0:00
I'm endorsing Breshear. He is a much better democrat than Lunsford. I hope he wins.

 
D:2064TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
Tue, May 8, 2007 12:43:11 AM UTC0:00
If all of Miller's supporters support Beshear now per Miller's request, then they are in a statistical dead heat which is great news for Beshear fans.

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Tue, May 8, 2007 12:48:34 AM UTC0:00
It would be great news, but one cannot honestly expect all his supporters to follow him to Beshear's candidacy. The race has likely tightened, but the advantage remains with Lunsford.

 
IND:1196Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
Tue, May 8, 2007 01:51:32 AM UTC0:00
They definitely will not move 100% to Beshear. I can't imagine Miller commanded that sort of devotion among his supporters that they would all follow him wherever he went. He'll probably be lucky if 60-70% follow him to Beshear.

 
D:389PaGuy ( 2537.5559 points)
Tue, May 8, 2007 02:05:52 AM UTC0:00
It also puts more focus on Beshear now. Could push supporters of other canidates to take other look at Beshear.

Btw where is each canidate base of support located?

 
D:263mtrz ( -39.8779 points)
Tue, May 8, 2007 04:32:15 AM UTC0:00
None Entered: How is Lunsford sleazy?

He's run a positive campaign this time, which I applaud, but in 2003 he smeared Chandler relentlessly with distortions and untruths.