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  UK - Parliament - Seat Distribution
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > House of Commons
OfficeHouse of Commons
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline April 11, 2005 - 12:00pm
Polls Open May 05, 2005 - 01:00am
Polls Close May 05, 2005 - 04:00pm
Term Start May 17, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End February 09, 2006 - 12:00pm
ContributorBob
Last ModifiedAndy July 18, 2008 01:59pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Important note: Polling times set to CST equiviliant of BST, polling stations open 7:00am BST (1:00am CST) and close 10:00pm BST (4:00pm CST).

The Prime Minister has announced the date for the general election as Thursday 5 May 2005. Parliament will be dissolved on Monday 11 April and will return on Wednesday 11 May. At 5pm on the day of dissolution all those who are MPs will cease to be MPs.

The State Opening of Parliament will be on Tuesday 17 May.

Key Party Leaders:
Tony Blair (Labour)
Michael Howard (Conservatives)
Charles Kennedy (Liberal Democrats)

Term end due to the Liberal Democrats gaining a seat from Labour in a by-election.
MAP
KEY RACE? 10.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/20/2003 05/05/2005
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Labour Party 6 12 5 3
Conservative Party 2 ------
Leaning Call: Labour Party (96.61%)
Weighted Call: Labour Party (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Labour Party Conservative Party Liberal Democrats Democratic Unionist Party Scottish National Party Sinn Féin Social Democratic and Labour Party
PartyLabour Conservative Liberal Democrat Democratic Unionist Scottish National Sinn Féin Social Democratic and Labour
Website
Uncertified Votes356 (55.11%) 198 (30.65%) 62 (9.60%) 9 (1.39%) 6 (0.93%) 5 (0.77%) 3 (0.46%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -158 (-24.46%) -294 (-45.51%) -347 (-53.72%) -350 (-54.18%) -351 (-54.33%) -353 (-54.64%)
Predict Avg.41.00% 35.00% 19.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Brandon
IND Monsieur
LAB L'illusionniste
CST off_to_DC
R Rockefeller Republican
D Andy
REFS --
I TX_Socialist
D InspectorMorse
SNP Sean Connery
DL Some say...
Veg Nothing wrong, just gone
D Bob
D Jake
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Plaid Cymru Independent Ulster Unionist Party Respect Unity Coalition Independent Kidderminster Hospital & Health Concern  
PartyPlaid Cymru Independent Ulster Unionist Respect Health Concern  
Website [Website]  
Uncertified Votes3 (0.46%) 1 (0.16%) 1 (0.16%) 1 (0.16%) 1 (0.16%)  
Margin-353 (-54.64%) -355 (-54.95%) -355 (-54.95%) -355 (-54.95%) -355 (-54.95%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Rockefeller Republican
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 06, 2005 12:00pm News Howard will stand down as leader  Article Chase McFadden 
May 06, 2005 12:00pm Advertisement Howard's parting favour  Article Chase McFadden 
May 05, 2005 03:00pm News Probe launched into postal votes  Article Brandon 
May 05, 2005 01:40pm News Hundreds wiped off vote register  Article Brandon 
Apr 18, 2005 09:00am Poll Britain ICM Poll: Labour 40%, Tories 30%  Article ArmyDem 
Jan 24, 2005 12:00am News Tory Expert Denies Defeat Warning  Article Chase McFadden 

DISCUSSION
[View All
134
Previous Messages]
 
R:253Sherlock Holmes (a retired OC public servant collecting his pension) ( 195.4841 points)
Wed, December 15, 2004 09:00:09 PM UTC0:00
Would it be possible for Liberal Dems and Conservatives to form a coalition government?

 
R:253Sherlock Holmes (a retired OC public servant collecting his pension) ( 195.4841 points)
Thu, December 16, 2004 06:10:05 PM UTC0:00
So if Labor defeats the Tories by five or six points, does that reduce their representation in parliament by roughly a third or so? Didn't the Labor Party win by around 19 points in 1997?

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Thu, December 16, 2004 06:13:03 PM UTC0:00
No, Liberal Democrats are nothing like the supply sider Libertarians in this country.

Well, that is what my British political science professor at the U said, just going on that.

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Thu, December 16, 2004 06:31:56 PM UTC0:00
Maybe she was talking about social, because that was what we were talking about at the time. But I don't know, they support making the economies of the UK more local and oppose centralization.

Anyway, she does have a Ph.D. in British Politics.

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Thu, December 16, 2004 06:53:37 PM UTC0:00
Basically, they advocate less government control.

 
I:1123Chase McFadden ( 71.6261 points)
Mon, January 24, 2005 10:12:12 PM UTC0:00
Completely Irrelevant, but it would be interesting to see the results of the poll.
If you lived in the UK, which party would you support in the next General Election?
Conservative 7 (33.33%)
Liberal Democrat 6 (28.57%)
Labour 5 (23.8%)
Sinn Fein 2 (9.52%)
Plaid Cymru 1 (4.76%)
Scottish Nationalist 0 (0%)
UKIP 0 (0%)
Democratic Unionist 0 (0%)
Ulster Unionist 0 (0%)
SDLP 0 (0%)
21 Votes Cast
Polls Close January 31, 2005 12:00am

 
D:478Bob ( 2253.6577 points)
Mon, January 24, 2005 10:23:13 PM UTC0:00
I voted Labour, but that's only assuming I would be living on the British Isle. If I were living in Northern Ireland, I'd support Sinn Fein.

 
R:1490Imperator ( 2248.3596 points)
Tue, April 5, 2005 08:06:19 PM UTC0:00
It's somewhat amusing that not a single OC Republican offered any endorsement here.

 
D:479Brandon ( 1558.3782 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 08:46:51 PM UTC0:00
If you could vote today in a marginal UK constituency, how would you cast your ballot?
Liberal Democrat 11 (45.83%)
Labour 8 (33.33%)
Conservative 3 (12.5%)
Other--write in below 2 (8.33%)
24 Votes Cast
View User Votes
Polls Close May 12, 2005 12:00am

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 08:59:48 PM UTC0:00
I plugged the results of the latest poll into the BBC seat calculator and it came back with:

Labor: 37% - 389 (-14)
Con: 31% - 171 (+6)
LibDem: 21% - 56 (+5)
Other: 11% - 30 (+3)

 
D:479Brandon ( 1558.3782 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 09:01:43 PM UTC0:00
Hmm. I'm anticipating a greater loss for Labour myself. If Blair only loses 14 seats, he's had a much better night than I expect him to.

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 09:10:13 PM UTC0:00
The problem the Liberal Democrats would have with that is that's more of a proportional representation equation, which favours them much more than the first-past-the-post system in place. That said, i'm expecting a little more variation from that.

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 09:26:39 PM UTC0:00
They say there's signs that the LibDems may be taking some surprising seats away from the Conservatives.

 
R:1153J.R. ( 744.6801 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 09:26:50 PM UTC0:00
This is a tricky question. As an American, I would rather have Blair in the UK, but if I were British, I'd rather have Howard at home.

 
D:479Brandon ( 1558.3782 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 09:30:16 PM UTC0:00
"They say there's signs that the LibDems may be taking some surprising seats away from the Conservatives. "

They've actually targeted Michael Howard's own constituency. Wouldn't THAT be fun :)

 
D:479Brandon ( 1558.3782 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 09:53:42 PM UTC0:00
It is also worth nothing that similar to an electoral college/popular vote split, it is possible in the U.K. for one party to receive a higher share of the national vote but win less seats in parliament:

February, 1974 General Election

Conservatives 38% --297 seats
Labour 37% --301 seats

1951 General Election

Labour 49% --295 seats
Conservatives 48% --321 seats

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 10:00:17 PM UTC0:00
I've seen BBC list several seats as targeted by the Liberal Democrats which were won safely by Tory incumbents in 2001. Those seem fairly unlikely to be turnovers, as far as I can see, considering how ****ty 2001 was for the Tories.

 
D:1532Ben ( 407.0144 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 11:28:26 PM UTC0:00
The down the stretch polling is interesting. Most of the polls are showing Labour dropping off a few points these last few days with the Lib Dems and Tories picking up a few.

I am anxious to see how accurate or inaccurate British polling turns out to be in this election. It has been off considerably in prior elections.

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Fri, May 6, 2005 12:02:55 AM UTC0:00
I'm streaming C-SPAN2 with a feed from BBC, and they're saying their exit poll has Lab 37%, Con 33%, LD 22%.

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Fri, May 6, 2005 12:04:22 AM UTC0:00
Which they're now saying would translate to:

Lab 356
Con 209
LD 53
Oth 28

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Fri, May 6, 2005 12:06:07 AM UTC0:00
Exit polls suggest a 66 seat Labour majority - [Link]

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Fri, May 6, 2005 12:08:46 AM UTC0:00
So, as most suggested, a reduced Labour majority. Kinda surprised the Liberal Democrats didn't do better, assuming the exit polls aren't complete crap.

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Fri, May 6, 2005 12:22:23 AM UTC0:00
Does anyone else know where to watch seat by seat results online. BBC is totally down nearly.

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Fri, May 6, 2005 12:24:25 AM UTC0:00
Yes, BBC is being a bitch.

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Fri, May 6, 2005 12:24:40 AM UTC0:00
I would have voted for BNP in English elections.