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  MT US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Montana > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
Type General Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2008 - 12:00pm
Polls Open November 04, 2008 - 06:00am
Polls Close November 04, 2008 - 11:00pm
Term Start January 20, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
Turnout 54.35% Total Population
ContributorWishful Thinking
Last ModifiedRBH August 11, 2009 07:08pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link] (McKinney total made up of 5 McKinney write-ins and 18 McKinney/Clemente write-ins)
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameGeorge W. Bush Votes266,063 (59.07%)
Term01/20/2005 - 01/20/2009 Margin92,353 (+20.50%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameMitt Romney Votes267,928 (55.35%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin66,089 (+13.65%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Feb 05, 2008 MT US President - R Caucus Mitt Romney
Jun 03, 2008 MT US President - D Primary Barack Obama
Jun 03, 2008 MT US President - R Primary John McCain
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 8.3332996368 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/27/2005 11/04/2008
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John McCain 27 19 6 8
Barack Obama 10 ------
Leaning Call: John McCain (92.00%)
Weighted Call: John McCain (98.20%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
02/26/2008 11/02/2008

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. John McCain Sen. Barack Obama Rep. Ron Paul Ralph Nader Rep. Bob Barr (W) Chuck Baldwin (W) Rep. Cynthia McKinney
PartyRepublican Democratic Constitution Independent Libertarian Independent Independent
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes242,763 (49.51%) 231,667 (47.25%) 10,638 (2.17%) 3,686 (0.75%) 1,355 (0.28%) 143 (0.03%) 23 (0.01%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -11,096 (-2.26%) -232,125 (-47.34%) -239,077 (-48.76%) -241,408 (-49.24%) -242,620 (-49.48%) -242,740 (-49.51%)
Predict Avg.50.58% 45.75% 2.97% 0.38% 0.68% 0.17% 0.05%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (19 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg48.02%-- 44.76%-- 2.41%-- 0.85%-- 0.31%-- 1.37%-- 1.37%--
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/31/08-11/02/08
47.00% -- 48.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/18/08-11/01/08
54.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
10/28/08-10/30/08
48.00% 1.0 44.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
10/28/08-10/30/08
49.00% 1.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/29/08-10/29/08
50.00% 2.0 46.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/25/08-10/25/08
48.00% 1.0 44.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Butte Montana Standard
  Helena Independent Record
  Billings Gazette
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) RaeDeen R. Heupel (W) Rosa Clemente (W) Santa Claus (W) Amy Lou Wyatt (W) Jonathan E. Allen  
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent  
Website [Website]  
Uncertified Votes12 (0.00%) 10 (0.00%) 3 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%)  
Margin-242,751 (-49.51%) -242,753 (-49.51%) -242,760 (-49.51%) -242,762 (-49.51%) -242,762 (-49.51%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (19 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.37%-- 1.37%-- 1.37%-- 1.37%-- 1.37%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/31/08-11/02/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/18/08-11/01/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
10/28/08-10/30/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
10/28/08-10/30/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/29/08-10/29/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/25/08-10/25/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

EVENTS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 02, 2008 12:00pm News Montana gun exec's support of Obama prompts uproar  Article The Sunset Provision 
Oct 23, 2008 01:05pm Poll Obama edges ahead of McCain in Montana  Article RP 
Oct 11, 2008 01:00pm News Schweitzer: Paul will be "the decider" in Montana  Article Craverguy 
Sep 05, 2008 08:00pm News Montana Constitution Party Submits Presidential Electors Pledged to Ron Paul and Michael Peroutka  Article Craverguy 
Jul 22, 2008 02:05pm News Obama offices opens in MT  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Jul 04, 2008 03:00pm News Obama and family spend 4th of July in Montana  Article RBH 

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