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"A historical political resource."
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Rasmussen Reports
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| Website | http://www.rasmussenreports.com/ |
| Polls Conducted | 3267 |
| Points | 1867.8295 |
| Affiliation | Independent |
| Average Error | 3.04540896 |
| Partisan Bias | Average amount polls are biased compared to actual outcome by party.
D +0.1347 |
R +1.8782 |
I -0.9031 |
LBT +1.2786 |
G +1.7586 |
DFL +1.6359 |
D-NPL +6.8586 |
NPA +1.5417 |
REF +1.1175 |
PRG -0.8637 |
MNI +0.3537 |
ACP +8.2530 |
IAP -0.8807 |
Lty +2.0364 |
CfL -0.2251 |
IGVA -1.1011 |
MOD -0.0870 |
NO -1.9784 |
YES +1.9784 |
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| Contributor | CA Pol Junkie |
| Last Modified | Ralphie February 24, 2006 05:29pm |
| Description | |
| DISCUSSION |
| [View All 25 Previous Messages] |
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D:1526 | Joe ( 0.0000 points)
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Sun, October 31, 2004 05:13:37 AM UTC0:00
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Why doesn't this site have links to the bias analysis. Are we just supposed to take it on faith that the partisan bias numbers posted here are correct?
Why doesn't this site have links to the bias analysis. Are we just supposed to take it on faith that the partisan bias numbers posted here are correct?
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D:1 | RP ( 3311.3784 points)
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Mon, November 1, 2004 10:11:30 AM UTC0:00
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Click on the number next to "Polls Conducted" and it will show you the analysis....
Click on the number next to "Polls Conducted" and it will show you the analysis....
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D:1489 | vox_populi ( 0.0000 points)
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Thu, November 4, 2004 10:31:59 PM UTC0:00
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Rasmussen's final projection was pretty good this year. The Pew poll, POS and CBS were also good. Zogby, Fox and others were way off.
Rasmussen's final projection was pretty good this year. The Pew poll, POS and CBS were also good. Zogby, Fox and others were way off.
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D:1532 | Ben ( 407.0144 points)
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Thu, November 4, 2004 10:36:57 PM UTC0:00
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Agreed, especially Zogby.
Agreed, especially Zogby.
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D:5 | Steve ( 56.3071 points)
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Sat, November 6, 2004 08:46:25 AM UTC0:00
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Zogby was okay. He had Bush winning the popular by a small margin. Zogby's numbers were in the middle of the pack.
Zogby was okay. He had Bush winning the popular by a small margin. Zogby's numbers were in the middle of the pack.
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At 5 PM on Tuesday Zogby said Kerry would win 311 electoral votes, which goes to show that the new version of Diebolds worked better than ever.
At 5 PM on Tuesday Zogby said Kerry would win 311 electoral votes, which goes to show that the new version of Diebolds worked better than ever.
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D:410 | Joshua L. ( 2582.3230 points)
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Sat, November 6, 2004 03:30:28 PM UTC0:00
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At 5 PM on Tuesday Zogby said Kerry would win 311 electoral votes, which goes to show that the new version of Diebolds worked better than ever.
Zogby was going of off Exit Poll Data and furthermore he always says something that is usually contradictory to his polls.
His national polls were once again reliable but his statwide polls were once again horrible.
At 5 PM on Tuesday Zogby said Kerry would win 311 electoral votes, which goes to show that the new version of Diebolds worked better than ever.
Zogby was going of off Exit Poll Data and furthermore he always says something that is usually contradictory to his polls.
His national polls were once again reliable but his statwide polls were once again horrible.
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CON:762 | Summer Intern ( 386.2354 points)
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Sat, November 6, 2004 11:09:40 PM UTC0:00
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SUSA and Rasmussen seemed to be close. Prags article above seemed pretty accurate about Zogby. He was an idiot for relying so heavily on exit polling to make his final prediction given the history of exit polling in 2002 and 2000.
SUSA and Rasmussen seemed to be close. Prags article above seemed pretty accurate about Zogby. He was an idiot for relying so heavily on exit polling to make his final prediction given the history of exit polling in 2002 and 2000.
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D:1 | RP ( 3311.3784 points)
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Sat, July 12, 2008 12:08:30 AM UTC0:00
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Rasmussen has taken to reporting poll results without leaners as their headline results and then including leaners in the copy. Please note that we prefer polls with leaners included to the the ones entered into the site if they are available.
Rasmussen has taken to reporting poll results without leaners as their headline results and then including leaners in the copy. Please note that we prefer polls with leaners included to the the ones entered into the site if they are available.
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D:1 | RP ( 3311.3784 points)
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Tue, October 7, 2008 12:25:29 AM UTC0:00
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Poor Rasmussen released their latest FOX Battleground polls and their website promptly went down.
Poor Rasmussen released their latest FOX Battleground polls and their website promptly went down.
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Hey Randy, I have a query regarding the partisan bias figures.
With 1500 polls (and really any polling firm with 50 or more), the partisan bias will mathematically just flatten out.
Is there anyway to show partisan bias for a certain time frame or say for the last 50-100 polls?
Hey Randy, I have a query regarding the partisan bias figures.
With 1500 polls (and really any polling firm with 50 or more), the partisan bias will mathematically just flatten out.
Is there anyway to show partisan bias for a certain time frame or say for the last 50-100 polls?
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IND:1196 | Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
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Tue, January 5, 2010 03:19:30 AM UTC0:00
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So, despite the Rasmussen Reports website stating that "Scott [Rasmussen] maintains his independence and has never been a campaign pollster or consultant for candidates seeking office" (repeated verbatim with no apparent fact checking in the recent Politico article on Rasmussen), some fairly light research has uncovered that Scott Rasmussen has in fact conducted polling on behalf of partisan clients, in particular the RNC and the Bush re-election campaign, both during 2003-04. http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/01/putting-r-in-rasmussen.html
So, despite the Rasmussen Reports website stating that "Scott [Rasmussen] maintains his independence and has never been a campaign pollster or consultant for candidates seeking office" (repeated verbatim with no apparent fact checking in the recent Politico article on Rasmussen), some fairly light research has uncovered that Scott Rasmussen has in fact conducted polling on behalf of partisan clients, in particular the RNC and the Bush re-election campaign, both during 2003-04. [Link]
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R:373 | ... ( 421.7247 points)
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Tue, January 5, 2010 03:38:34 AM UTC0:00
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I'm a little puzzled. Why would Rasmussen after many recent years of being very accurate suddenly be a Republican puppet?
I'm a little puzzled. Why would Rasmussen after many recent years of being very accurate suddenly be a Republican puppet?
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R:1823 | Eddie ( 26.8847 points)
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Tue, January 5, 2010 02:43:57 PM UTC0:00
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Why would Rasmussen after many recent years of being very accurate suddenly be a Republican puppet?
Because the Soros butt boy blogs have instructions to call Rasmussen a Republican puppet and to have their minions spread the word far and wide.
...: Why would Rasmussen after many recent years of being very accurate suddenly be a Republican puppet?
Because the Soros butt boy blogs have instructions to call Rasmussen a Republican puppet and to have their minions spread the word far and wide.
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R:6872 | Penn Con ( 249.0750 points)
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Tue, January 5, 2010 04:41:20 PM UTC0:00
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Even worse, Scott Rasmussen co-founded ESPN with his father. Surely SportsCenter is just another O'Reilly Factor masquerading as a "news" program.
Even worse, Scott Rasmussen co-founded ESPN with his father. Surely SportsCenter is just another O'Reilly Factor masquerading as a "news" program.
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I:1593 | RMF ( 0.0397 points)
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Wed, January 6, 2010 04:38:56 AM UTC0:00
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Even worse, Scott Rasmussen co-founded ESPN with his father.
And (to stray off-topic) he was something like the third or fourth person to appear on that network (I've seen the first broadcast at Paley Center, and remember his presence).
Penn Con: Even worse, Scott Rasmussen co-founded ESPN with his father.
And (to stray off-topic) he was something like the third or fourth person to appear on that network (I've seen the first broadcast at Paley Center, and remember his presence).
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D:1414 | Forwardista ( 171.5051 points)
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Wed, January 6, 2010 04:41:16 AM UTC0:00
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Even worse, Scott Rasmussen co-founded ESPN with his father.
Okay, now Rasmussen has lost credibility w/me.
Penn Con: Even worse, Scott Rasmussen co-founded ESPN with his father.
Okay, now Rasmussen has lost credibility w/me.
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D:7059 | COMMONSENSE ( -96.3826 points)
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Sat, January 23, 2010 03:57:56 AM UTC0:00
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This being a non-partisan polling firm is questionable.
This being a non-partisan polling firm is questionable.
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D:15 | COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
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Sat, August 28, 2010 06:48:52 AM UTC0:00
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From KOs.
If you think that every other poll released this year has been either a Rasmussen poll or a Republican poll, you’re awfully close to being right. Steve Singiser has catalogued nearly a thousand polls, and thinks the saturation of GOP-friendly sources could be skewing analysis of the 2010 cycle.
Again it's from Kos so grain of salt.
From KOs.
If you think that every other poll released this year has been either a Rasmussen poll or a Republican poll, you’re awfully close to being right. Steve Singiser has catalogued nearly a thousand polls, and thinks the saturation of GOP-friendly sources could be skewing analysis of the 2010 cycle.
Again it's from Kos so grain of salt.
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R:250 | Mr. Politics ( 191.5293 points)
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Sat, August 28, 2010 02:21:32 PM UTC0:00
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Why aren't more Dems releasing polls?
Why aren't more Dems releasing polls?
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I:114 | particleman ( 921.6604 points)
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Sat, August 28, 2010 04:39:03 PM UTC0:00
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Because the poll numbers suck for the Dems. Kos is right, there are way more polls being released from GOP and GOP-leaning outfits, but it's because Dem candidates and Dem-leaning outfits don't want to release numbers. Jim Geraghty over at National Review went through the filing reports earlier in the year and found that a ton (like 50 or 60) of incumbent Dems reported spending on internal polls but only a handful released them. I'm sure the Dem-leaning outfits are finding the same bad numbers and also don't want to release them.
PPP is rare that they don't apparently care and will just try their best to spin numbers no matter how bad they look.
Because the poll numbers suck for the Dems. Kos is right, there are way more polls being released from GOP and GOP-leaning outfits, but it's because Dem candidates and Dem-leaning outfits don't want to release numbers. Jim Geraghty over at National Review went through the filing reports earlier in the year and found that a ton (like 50 or 60) of incumbent Dems reported spending on internal polls but only a handful released them. I'm sure the Dem-leaning outfits are finding the same bad numbers and also don't want to release them.
PPP is rare that they don't apparently care and will just try their best to spin numbers no matter how bad they look.
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D:15 | COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
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Sat, August 28, 2010 09:52:42 PM UTC0:00
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Like I said. grain of salt :)
Like I said. grain of salt :)
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D:6086 | Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
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Mon, September 17, 2012 07:28:34 PM UTC0:00
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Rasmussen seems to be very quiet this election season. What gives? At this point in 2010, they were one of if not the most prolific polling firm for Governor, Senate and popular vote polls.
Rasmussen seems to be very quiet this election season. What gives? At this point in 2010, they were one of if not the most prolific polling firm for Governor, Senate and popular vote polls.
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D:2064 | TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
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Mon, September 17, 2012 07:33:07 PM UTC0:00
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They suck nuts.
They suck nuts.
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