Poll Average Details- Baden-Württemberg Landtag - Popular Vote - 2021-03-14 12:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Alliance '90/The Greens Christian Democratic Union Alternative for Germany Free Democratic Party Social Democratic Party The Left German Communist Party Free Voters Ecological Democratic Party Independent Pirate Party Germany Die PARTEI Democracy in Motion Party for Health Research Volt Europa Human World Party of Humanists Alliance C – Christians for Germany Grassroots Democratic Party One for All WIR2020 Climate List
INSA3/12X 1.00000   32.0000 - 0.3083 bias 23.0000 - -2.2251 bias 13.0000 - 1.9457 bias 11.0000 - 0.5650 bias 11.0000 - 0.3622 bias 4.0000 - 1.0361 bias                                
FGW3/11X 0.98333   34.0000 - 0.3875 bias 24.0000 - -0.2697 bias 11.0000 - -0.0072 bias 11.0000 - -0.0470 bias 10.0000 - 2.9633 bias 3.0000 - 0.5673 bias                                
TOTAL 32.644029 24.751414 11.030948 10.738429 8.852381 2.700532 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000