Poll Average Details- AL US Senate - Special Election - 2017-12-12 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Roy Moore Doug Jones Luther Strange Write-In Jeff Sessions Bob Riley Richard Shelby Robert Aderholt William "Bill" H. Pryor Jr. Artur Davis Kay Ivey Ron Sparks Condoleezza Rice Del Marsh Gerald Dial Sheldon Day Bradley Byrne George C. Wallace, Jr. Charles W. Barkley Robert Bentley John H. Merrill Morris J. "Mo" Brooks Bo Jackson Arthur Orr Tripp Pittman James Fields Tommy Battle Jim Byard Martha Roby Willie "Will" Boyd, Jr. Bill Holtzclaw Phil Williams Bryan Taylor Donny Chesteen Nick Saban Bill Hightower Stacy Lee George Sandy Stimpson Gary Palmer Steve Livingston Tommy Tuberville Bryan Peeples Robert Kennedy, Jr. Tom Willis Arlester "Mack" McBride Mac Watson Eulas Kirtdoll Ron Bishop Lee Busby Chanda MIlls Crutcher Jeff Coggin Eddie Alley Jeff Boyd
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News12/10X 1.00000   40.0000 - -0.5021 bias 50.0000 - 1.0608 bias                                                                                                      
Monmouth University12/9X 0.98333   46.0000 - -0.9091 bias 46.0000 - 1.9679 bias                                                                                                      
Emerson College12/9X 0.98333   53.0000 - 0.6906 bias 44.0000 - 0.8084 bias                                                                                                      
Gravis Marketing12/8X 0.96667   49.0000 - 0.2608 bias 45.0000 - 1.1590 bias                                                                                                      
Trafalgar Group12/7X 0.95000   50.8800 - 1.8988 bias 45.7700 - -1.6435 bias                                                                                                      
SurveyMonkey12/7X 0.95000   47.0000 - -2.2024 bias 49.0000 - 2.6000 bias                                                                                                      
Strategy Research12/4X 0.90000   50.0000 - 0.8298 bias 43.0000 - 0.2337 bias   3.0000 - 2.7729 bias                                                                                                  
YouGov12/1X 0.85000   49.0000 - 0.0288 bias 43.0000 - 1.4134 bias                                                                                                      
George Mason University Schar School11/30X 0.83333   47.0000 - -0.6763 bias 50.0000 - 0.3784 bias                                                                                                      
the polling company™ (R)11/28X 0.80000   46.0000 - 1.2390 bias 45.0000 - -0.1545 bias                                                                                                      
JMC Analytics and Polling11/28X 0.80000   48.0000 - 0.1423 bias 43.0000 - 0.1622 bias                                                                                                      
Change Research11/27X 0.78333   49.0000 - -1.2913 bias 44.0000 - 1.4957 bias                                                                                                      
Sky Research11/21X 0.68333   46.7000 - 5.7729 bias 39.6000 - -4.0799 bias                                                                                                      
WT&S Consulting11/20X 0.66667   46.4000 - 5.0540 bias 40.5000 - -3.3611 bias                                                                                                      
National Republican Senatorial Committee11/13X 0.55000   39.0000 - -5.0074 bias 51.0000 - 6.7003 bias                                                                                                      
Opinion Savvy11/9X 0.48333   41.3000 - -0.6111 bias 43.6000 - -0.3502 bias 12.3000 - -0.6111 bias                                                                                                    
Axis Research10/26X 0.25000  X 1/2 56.0000 - 4.2886 bias 39.0000 - -5.7108 bias                                                                                                      
TOTAL 46.888710 44.737012 12.911100 0.227100 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000