Poll Average Details- NM US Senate - 2008-11-04 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Tom Udall Blank - VoidSteve Pearce Heather A. Wilson
YouGov11/1X 1.00000   54.0000 - 1.4134 bias 33.0000 - 0.0288 bias
Survey USA10/31X 0.98333   56.0000 - 0.5274 bias 42.0000 - 0.3265 bias
Public Policy Polling10/30X 0.96667   58.0000 - 1.1680 bias 39.0000 - -0.1800 bias
Research & Polling Inc. (Albuquerque Journal)10/30X 0.96667   51.0000 - 0.0906 bias 39.0000 - 0.0183 bias
Rasmussen Reports10/28X 0.93333   56.0000 - 0.4180 bias 41.0000 - 1.5977 bias
Myers Research & Strategic Services (D)9/13X 0.18333   57.0000 - 3.6031 bias 41.0000 - -2.9732 bias
TOTAL 54.228604 38.611328