Poll Average Details- MI US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Hillary ClintonDonald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpGary Johnson Jill Stein Monica Moorehead Darrell L. Castle Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Evan McMullin Michael A. Maturen Cherunda Fox Ben Hartnell
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   44.0000 - 2.6000 bias 42.0000 - -2.2024 bias 8.0000 - 3.8473 bias 3.0000 - 2.3756 bias                  
Mitchell Research & Communications11/6X 0.98333   47.0000 - 1.8111 bias 41.0000 - -0.3165 bias 7.0000 - 0.5871 bias                    
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   42.0000 - 1.4134 bias 36.0000 - 0.0288 bias 5.4000 - 3.6071 bias 3.2000 - 1.3922 bias                  
Trafalgar Group11/6X 0.98333   46.8200 - -1.6435 bias 48.5200 - 1.8988 bias 2.8900 - 0.8790 bias 0.9000 - 0.4166 bias                  
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   46.0000 - 3.1158 bias 45.0000 - 0.8563 bias                      
Gravis Marketing11/4X 0.95000   46.0000 - 1.1590 bias 41.0000 - 0.2608 bias 3.0000 - 1.7089 bias 3.0000 - 1.4635 bias                  
Public Policy Polling11/4X 0.95000   46.0000 - 1.1680 bias 41.0000 - -0.1800 bias 6.0000 - 1.4191 bias 2.0000 - 0.9532 bias                  
Strategic National (R)11/3X 0.93333   44.0000 - 3.2444 bias 44.0000 - -1.9199 bias 4.0000 - 0.6238 bias 3.0000 - 2.0856 bias                  
EPIC/MRA11/3X 0.93333   42.0000 - 0.7445 bias 38.0000 - 0.7895 bias 5.0000 - 0.8508 bias 2.0000 - 1.4603 bias                  
Institute for Public Policy and Social Research (Michigan State University)10/30X 0.86667   47.0000 - 3.4658 bias 28.0000 - -4.1379 bias 11.0000 - 8.6355 bias 4.0000 - 3.3721 bias                  
Emerson College10/26X 0.80000   50.0000 - 0.8084 bias 43.0000 - 0.6906 bias 3.0000 - 1.2130 bias 3.0000 - 1.4786 bias                  
Marketing Resource Group10/19X 0.68333   41.0000 - 1.9320 bias 36.0000 - -1.2748 bias 7.0000 - 1.9936 bias 3.0000 - 2.3760 bias                  
Glengariff Group10/11X 0.55000   42.2000 - 0.0853 bias 30.6000 - -0.5761 bias 10.3000 - 2.0541 bias 4.6000 - 2.2372 bias                  
Target Insyght9/24X 0.26667   46.0000 - 3.4951 bias 41.0000 - -1.7528 bias 8.0000 - 1.4802 bias                    
TOTAL 43.447862 40.498721 3.673053 1.056327 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000