Poll Average Details- US President - R Primaries - 2016-06-07 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpTim Cook Donald J. TrumpJesse Ventura Donald J. TrumpAnthony R. "Andy" Martin Donald J. TrumpRon Paul Donald J. TrumpSarah Palin Donald J. TrumpRobert J. "Bob" Dole Donald J. TrumpMartin J. O'Malley Donald J. Trump Uncommitted Donald J. TrumpLowell J. "Jack" Fellure Donald J. Trump Write-In Donald J. TrumpMickey Mouse Donald J. TrumpDarryl W. Perry Donald J. TrumpWalter Iwachiw Donald J. TrumpMatt Drozd Donald J. TrumpFrank Lynch Donald J. TrumpJoe Robinson Donald J. TrumpVictor K. Williams Donald J. TrumpDaniel Dyas Donald J. TrumpStephen B. Comley, Sr. Donald J. TrumpChomi Prag Donald J. TrumpRichard P.H. Witz Donald J. TrumpPeter Messina Donald J. TrumpStephen John McCarthy Donald J. TrumpBrooks A. Cullison Donald J. TrumpKevin Glenn Huey Donald J. TrumpRobert L. Mann Donald J. TrumpElizabeth Gray Donald J. TrumpJim Lynch Donald J. TrumpDavid E. Hall Donald J. Trump Ye Donald J. Trump
SurveyMonkey3/27X 1.00000   48.0000                                                            
Public Policy Polling3/26X 0.98333   42.0000                                                            
Selzer & Co.3/22X 0.91667   40.0000                                                            
Quinnipiac University3/21X 0.90000   43.0000                                                            
Monmouth University3/20X 0.88333   41.0000                                                            
New York Times - CBS News3/20X 0.88333   46.0000                                                            
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)3/20X 0.88333   47.0000                                                            
Reuters/Ipsos3/2X 0.58333   35.0000                                                            
Morning Consult2/27X 0.51667   44.0000                                                            
Rasmussen Reports2/22X 0.43333   36.0000                                                            
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News2/17X 0.35000   36.0000                                                            
TOTAL 42.526000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000