Poll Average Details- FL Governor - 2006-11-07 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Charlie Crist Jim Davis John Wayne Smith Max Linn C.C. Reed Omari Musa Piotr Blass Richard Paul Dembinsky Karl C.C. Behm
Rasmussen Reports11/6X 1.00000   50.0000 - 1.5977 bias 42.0000 - 0.4180 bias              
Polimetrix11/5X 0.98333   54.0000 - 1.6909 bias 42.0000 - 1.9452 bias              
Strategic Vision (R)11/4X 0.96667   51.0000 - 1.1151 bias 44.0000 - -0.4798 bias   2.0000 - 0.3819 bias          
Survey USA11/4X 0.96667   49.0000 - 0.3265 bias 47.0000 - 0.5274 bias              
Zogby International11/2X 0.93333   48.0000 - 0.0434 bias 38.0000 - 0.8870 bias              
Mason-Dixon11/1X 0.91667   50.0000 - 0.8543 bias 43.0000 - 0.4277 bias              
Zogby Interactive10/27X 0.83333   49.9000 - 0.8374 bias 45.1000 - 0.0637 bias              
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R)10/25X 0.80000   48.0000 - -1.9480 bias 42.0000 - 2.6379 bias              
Public Opinion Strategies (R)10/22X 0.75000   46.0000 - 2.6066 bias 32.0000 - -1.2825 bias 2.0000 - bias            
Quinnipiac University10/22X 0.75000   46.0000 - -0.2682 bias 44.0000 - 1.0754 bias              
The Cromer Group (D)10/21X 0.73333   54.0000 - 1.5912 bias 36.0000 - -0.2334 bias              
Insider Advantage10/8X 0.51667   49.0000 - 0.0480 bias 30.0000 - -0.0455 bias              
McLaughlin & Associates (R)9/25X 0.30000   51.0000 - 4.0805 bias 37.0000 - -3.4211 bias              
Research 20009/20X 0.21667   49.0000 - 0.1379 bias 43.0000 - 1.1463 bias              
TOTAL 48.881264 40.501672 2.000000 1.618100 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000