Poll Average Details- WI US Senate - 2016-11-08 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Russ Feingold Russ FeingoldRon Johnson ScatteringPhillip N. Anderson Write-In John T. Schiess
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   48.0000 - 2.6000 bias 49.0000 - -2.2024 bias      
Clarity Campaign Labs11/2X 0.91667   49.0000 - 3.9429 bias 46.0000 - -1.3124 bias      
Loras College11/1X 0.90000   47.0000 - 3.1867 bias 45.0000 - -1.2295 bias 2.0000 - 0.8422 bias    
Public Policy Polling11/1X 0.90000   49.0000 - 1.1680 bias 44.0000 - -0.1800 bias      
Marquette University Law School10/31X 0.88333   45.0000 - 1.0486 bias 44.0000 - 0.0598 bias      
Emerson College10/27X 0.81667   49.0000 - 0.8084 bias 44.0000 - 0.6906 bias      
McLaughlin & Associates (R)10/20X 0.70000   48.0000 - -3.4211 bias 46.0000 - 4.0805 bias      
Monmouth University10/18X 0.66667   52.0000 - 1.9679 bias 44.0000 - -0.9091 bias 2.0000 - 0.8035 bias    
St. Norbert College10/16X 0.63333   52.0000 - 2.4085 bias 40.0000 - -0.9458 bias      
YouGov10/7X 0.48333   45.0000 - 1.4134 bias 42.0000 - 0.0288 bias      
Gravis Marketing10/4X 0.43333   53.0000 - 1.1590 bias 41.0000 - 0.2608 bias      
TOTAL 46.998248 44.793475 1.174268 0.000000 0.000000