Poll Average Details- MN US Senate - 2008-11-04 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Norm Coleman Al Franken Dean M. Barkley Write-In Michael James Cavlan Charles A. Aldrich James Niemackl Anthony Keith Price
YouGov11/1X 1.00000   39.0000 - 0.0288 bias 40.0000 - 1.4134 bias            
Survey USA11/1X 1.00000   44.0000 - 0.3265 bias 39.0000 - 0.5274 bias 16.0000 - 0.2458 bias          
Princeton Survey Research Associates10/31X 0.98333   38.0000 - -1.1956 bias 42.0000 - 1.8159 bias 15.0000 - 0.7498 bias          
Public Policy Polling10/30X 0.96667   40.0000 - -0.1800 bias 45.0000 - 1.1680 bias 14.0000 - 1.1797 bias          
Research 200010/29X 0.95000   43.0000 - 0.1379 bias 40.0000 - 1.1463 bias 15.0000 - 10.8738 bias          
Humphrey Institute/University of Minnesota10/28X 0.93333   37.0000 - -1.4775 bias 41.0000 - 1.3451 bias 17.0000 - 1.9238 bias          
Mason-Dixon10/28X 0.93333   42.0000 - 0.8543 bias 36.0000 - 0.4277 bias 12.0000 - 1.1771 bias          
Rasmussen Reports10/28X 0.93333   43.0000 - 1.5977 bias 39.0000 - 0.4180 bias 14.0000 - 0.3537 bias          
University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll)10/23X 0.85000   34.2000 - -3.0816 bias 40.2000 - 2.7803 bias 15.1000 - 1.7190 bias          
Saint Cloud State University10/22X 0.83333   36.0000 - -0.4630 bias 27.0000 - 2.5246 bias 16.0000 - 5.1006 bias          
Quinnipiac University10/12X 0.66667   36.0000 - -0.2682 bias 38.0000 - 1.0754 bias 18.0000 - 4.4127 bias          
Mellman Group (D)10/1X 0.48333   36.0000 - -2.5182 bias 38.0000 - 3.6270 bias 12.0000 - -0.1962 bias          
TOTAL 39.738129 37.548452 12.419423 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000