Poll Average Details- MN US Senate - 2006-11-07 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Amy Klobuchar Mark Kennedy Robert "Rob" Fitzgerald Michael James Cavlan Ben Powers Others Peter Idusogie Charles A. Aldrich John Uldrich Rebecca Williamson
Princeton Survey Research Associates11/6X 1.00000   55.0000 - 1.8159 bias 34.0000 - -1.1956 bias 3.0000 - 0.7498 bias              
Polimetrix11/5X 0.98333   57.0000 - 1.9452 bias 39.0000 - 1.6909 bias                
Humphrey Institute/University of Minnesota10/28X 0.85000   55.0000 - 1.3451 bias 33.0000 - -1.4775 bias 3.0000 - 1.9238 bias              
Saint Cloud University10/27X 0.83333   56.0000 - 3.4612 bias 31.0000 - -3.5654 bias 3.0000 - 4.7569 bias              
Zogby Interactive10/27X 0.83333   50.5000 - 0.0637 bias 42.8000 - 0.8374 bias                
Rasmussen Reports10/25X 0.80000   53.0000 - 0.4180 bias 39.0000 - 1.5977 bias                
Survey USA10/23X 0.76667   55.0000 - 0.5274 bias 39.0000 - 0.3265 bias 3.0000 - 0.2458 bias 1.0000 - 1.0702 bias 1.0000 - 0.9368 bias          
Minnesota Republican Party9/25X 0.30000   49.0000 - -5.9287 bias 41.0000 - 5.6805 bias 4.0000 - 1.0233 bias              
Mason-Dixon9/20X 0.21667   52.0000 - 0.4277 bias 37.0000 - 0.8543 bias 1.0000 - 1.1771 bias 1.0000 - -0.3342 bias            
TOTAL 53.198142 36.905473 1.176574 0.239244 0.063200 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000