Poll Average Details- SC US President - R Primary - 2012-01-21 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mitt Romney Newt Gingrich Ron Paul Rick Santorum Michele Bachmann Herman Cain Rick Perry Jon Huntsman Gary Johnson
Public Policy Polling1/20X 1.00000   28.0000 - -0.1800 bias 37.0000 - -0.1800 bias 14.0000 - -0.1800 bias 16.0000 - -0.1800 bias          
Tarrance Group (R)1/18X 0.96667   31.0000 - 1.0477 bias 29.0000 - 1.0477 bias 9.0000 - 1.0477 bias 8.0000 - 1.0477 bias     3.0000 - 1.0477 bias    
Insider Advantage1/18X 0.96667   28.8000 - 0.0480 bias 31.6000 - 0.0480 bias 15.2000 - 0.0480 bias 10.9000 - 0.0480 bias     2.9000 - 0.0480 bias    
American Research Group1/18X 0.96667   32.0000 - 0.7892 bias 33.0000 - 0.7892 bias 19.0000 - 0.7892 bias 9.0000 - 0.7892 bias     4.0000 - 0.7892 bias    
Marist Institute1/17X 0.95000   34.0000 - -0.4397 bias 24.0000 - -0.4397 bias 16.0000 - -0.4397 bias 14.0000 - -0.4397 bias     4.0000 - -0.4397 bias    
Time-CNN1/17X 0.95000   33.0000 - 0.8278 bias 23.0000 - 0.8278 bias 13.0000 - 0.8278 bias 16.0000 - 0.8278 bias     6.0000 - 0.8278 bias    
Rasmussen Reports1/12X 0.86667   28.0000 - 1.5977 bias 21.0000 - 1.5977 bias 16.0000 - 1.5977 bias 16.0000 - 1.5977 bias     6.0000 - 1.5977 bias 5.0000 - 1.5977 bias  
Clemson University Palmetto12/19X 0.46667   20.8000 - bias 37.3000 - bias 9.3000 - bias 2.2000 - bias 5.7000 - bias   5.2000 - bias 2.8000 - bias  
Winthrop University12/4X 0.21667   21.5000 - 2.0110 bias 38.4000 - 2.0110 bias 4.1000 - 2.0110 bias 3.1000 - 2.0110 bias 5.4000 - 2.0110 bias 6.6000 - 2.0110 bias 9.0000 - 2.0110 bias 1.4000 - 2.0110 bias 0.0000 - 2.0110 bias
TOTAL 29.277621 28.874219 13.411407 11.320251 4.967244 4.589000 3.879608 2.659963 -2.011000