Poll Average Details- US Partisan Affiliation - 2100-01-01 03:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Democratic Party Control Republican Party Control Others Control
Rasmussen Reports6/30X 1.00000   35.4000 - 0.4180 bias 33.0000 - 1.5977 bias 31.6000 - bias
Gallup6/30X 1.00000   46.0000 - -2.6491 bias 43.0000 - 2.8840 bias 11.0000 - -5.7892 bias
Princeton Survey Research Associates6/22X 0.86667   35.0000 - 1.8159 bias 25.0000 - -1.1956 bias 31.0000 - bias
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff)6/21X 0.85000   33.0000 - 1.7306 bias 26.0000 - -0.7288 bias 36.0000 - bias
Pew Research6/20X 0.83333   27.0000 - 1.4784 bias 29.0000 - -1.7614 bias 34.0000 - bias
TOTAL 35.217064 31.335194 29.492132