Poll Average Details- NJ Governor - 2013-11-05 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Chris Christie Seth GrossmanBarbara Buono Barbara BuonoKenneth R. Kaplan Steven Welzer Jeffrey Boss William Araujo Diane Sare Hank Schroeder
Quinnipiac University11/3X 1.00000   61.0000 - -0.2682 bias 33.0000 - 1.0754 bias            
Eagleton Poll (Rutgers Univ.)11/2X 0.98333   66.0000 - -2.6758 bias 30.0000 - 2.5840 bias            
Monmouth University11/2X 0.98333   57.0000 - -0.9091 bias 37.0000 - 1.9679 bias            
Fairleigh Dickinson University10/30X 0.93333   59.0000 - 0.7776 bias 40.0000 - -0.3787 bias            
Stockton University10/28X 0.90000   56.0000 - -2.4115 bias 32.0000 - 2.9006 bias            
Rasmussen Reports10/7X 0.55000   55.0000 - 1.5977 bias 34.0000 - 0.4180 bias            
Kean University9/19X 0.25000   52.0000 - -2.5170 bias 34.0000 - 3.7980 bias            
TOTAL 59.938415 32.719419 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000