Poll Average Details- IA US President - R Caucus - 2012-01-03 19:15:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mitt Romney Rick SantorumRon Paul Rick SantorumNewt Gingrich Rick SantorumRick Santorum Rick SantorumRick Perry Rick SantorumMichele Bachmann Rick SantorumHerman Cain Rick SantorumJon Huntsman Rick SantorumCharles E. "Buddy" Roemer III Rick SantorumMike Huckabee Rick SantorumJohn McCain Rick SantorumGary Johnson Rick SantorumRalph Nader Rick SantorumPatrick J. "Pat" Buchanan Rick SantorumPaul Ryan Rick SantorumTim Pawlenty Rick SantorumSarah Palin Rick SantorumCondoleezza Rice Rick SantorumRudy Giuliani Rick SantorumRoy Moore Rick SantorumScott Walker Rick Santorum No Preference Rick SantorumDonald J. Trump Rick SantorumRobert D. Ray Rick SantorumBen Lange Rick SantorumFred Karger Rick SantorumJared Blankenship Rick Santorum
American Research Group1/1X 1.00000   22.0000 17.0000 15.0000 16.0000 9.0000 8.0000   4.0000 1.0000     0.0000                              
Insider Advantage1/1X 1.00000   22.7000 22.4000 16.1000 18.0000 9.6000 5.8000   1.8000                                      
Public Policy Polling1/1X 1.00000   19.0000 20.0000 14.0000 18.0000 10.0000 8.0000   4.0000 2.0000                                    
Selzer & Co.12/30X 0.96667   24.0000 22.0000 12.0000 15.0000 11.0000 7.0000                                          
Marist Institute12/29X 0.95000   23.0000 21.0000 13.0000 15.0000 14.0000 6.0000   2.0000                                      
We Ask America12/29X 0.95000   24.0000 14.0000 13.0000 17.0000 10.0000 12.0000   4.0000                                      
Rasmussen Reports12/28X 0.93333   23.0000 22.0000 13.0000 16.0000 13.0000 5.0000   3.0000                                      
Time-CNN12/27X 0.91667   25.0000 22.0000 14.0000 16.0000 11.0000 9.0000   1.0000                                      
Iowa State University12/18X 0.76667   17.5000 27.5000 25.3000 4.9000 11.2000 7.4000 0.4000 0.3000                                      
University of Iowa12/7X 0.58333   20.3000 10.7000 29.8000 5.3000 8.2000 8.5000 4.4000 1.5000                                      
New York Times - CBS News12/5X 0.55000   17.0000 16.0000 31.0000 4.0000 11.0000 9.0000                                          
Washington Post/ABC News12/4X 0.53333   18.0000 18.0000 33.0000 7.0000 11.0000 8.0000   2.0000                                      
TeleResearch11/21X 0.31667  X 1/2 15.0000 25.0000 21.0000 3.0000 7.0000 7.0000 20.0000 1.0000                                      
TOTAL 21.586095 19.818917 17.570412 13.557639 10.733549 7.716087 4.004420 2.450806 1.500000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000