Poll Average Details- NH US President - D Primary - 2004-01-27 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal John F. Kerry John F. KerryHoward Dean John F. KerryWesley Clark John F. KerryJohn Edwards John F. KerryJoseph I. "Joe" Lieberman John F. KerryRichard A. "Dick" Gephardt John F. KerryDennis J. Kucinich John F. KerryCarol Moseley Braun John F. KerryAl Sharpton John F. KerryGeorge W. Bush John F. KerryRandy Crow John F. KerryLyndon H. LaRouche, Jr. John F. KerryHarry W. Braun John F. KerryCaroline P. Killeen John F. KerryWillie Felix Carter John F. KerryVincent S. Hamm John F. KerryEdward T. O'Donnell, Jr. John F. KerryJohn Donald Rigazio John F. KerryLeonard D. Talbow John F. KerryR. Randy Lee John F. KerryGerry Dokka John F. KerryJohn Buchanan John F. KerryKatherine Bateman John F. KerryBlake Ashby John F. KerryFern Penna John F. KerryMildred W. Glover John F. KerryRobert H. Linnell John F. Kerry Scattering John F. Kerry
American Research Group1/26X 1.00000   35.0000 25.0000 13.0000 15.0000 6.0000   1.0000   0.0000                                      
Survey USA1/25X 0.98333   33.0000 28.0000 12.0000 14.0000 7.0000   0.0000   0.0000                                      
FOX News1/25X 0.98333   37.0000 22.0000 11.0000 12.0000 8.0000   0.0000   0.0000                                      
Suffolk University1/25X 0.98333   38.0000 17.0000 10.0000 9.0000 5.0000   1.0000   1.0000                                      
Boston Globe1/25X 0.98333   37.0000 17.0000 11.0000 12.0000 7.0000   1.0000   1.0000                                      
Zogby International1/25X 0.98333   31.0000 28.0000 13.0000 12.0000 8.0000   0.0000   0.0000                                      
Gallup1/24X 0.96667   38.0000 25.0000 10.0000 9.0000 12.0000   2.0000   0.0000                                      
Boston Herald1/22X 0.93333   34.0000 19.0000 14.0000 11.0000 3.0000                                              
RKM Research and Communications1/20X 0.90000   31.0000 21.0000 16.0000 11.0000 4.0000                                              
Concord Monitor1/8X 0.70000   13.0000 34.0000 14.0000 4.0000 7.0000 7.0000 2.0000 0.0000 1.0000                                      
Research 200012/17X 0.33333   17.0000 41.0000 13.0000 6.0000 6.0000 4.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000                                      
University of New Hampshire12/15X 0.30000   17.0000 46.0000 10.0000 4.0000 7.0000 3.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000                                      
Rasmussen Reports12/8X 0.18333   15.0000 41.0000 14.0000 6.0000 9.0000 4.0000                                            
Franklin Pierce College12/4X 0.11667   14.0000 39.0000 5.0000 5.0000 4.0000 3.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000                                      
Pew Research12/1X 0.06667   20.0000 34.0000 8.0000 4.0000 8.0000 5.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000                                      
TOTAL 31.681600 25.107200 12.192000 10.544000 6.726400 5.029412 0.847222 0.538462 0.414683 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000