Poll Average Details- NJ US Senate - 2012-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Robert "Bob" Menendez Robert "Bob" Menendez	Joseph Kyrillos, Jr. Joseph Kyrillos, Jr.	Greg Pason	Eugene M. LaVergne	Kenneth R. Kaplan	Daryl Brooks	Inderjit "Andy" Soni	Ken Wolski	Gwen Diakos	J. David Dranikoff	Robert "Turk" Turkavage
YouGov	11/3	X 1.00000		51.0000 - 1.4134 bias	36.0000 - 0.0288 bias
Philadelphia Inquirer	10/25	X 0.85000		50.0000 - 0.6084 bias	32.0000 - 1.0435 bias
Survey USA	10/18	X 0.73333		53.0000 - 0.5274 bias	33.0000 - 0.3265 bias
Stockton College/Zogby	10/18	X 0.73333		52.0000 - 1.0706 bias	30.0000 - -0.6221 bias
Quinnipiac University	10/14	X 0.66667		55.0000 - 1.0754 bias	37.0000 - -0.2682 bias
Monmouth University	9/23	X 0.31667		49.0000 - 1.9679 bias	34.0000 - -0.9091 bias
Fairleigh Dickinson University	9/12	X 0.13333		50.0000 - -0.3787 bias	36.0000 - 0.7776 bias
TOTAL				50.742403	33.676090	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000