Poll Average Details- NJ US President - 2012-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Mitt Romney Gary Johnson James E. Harris Virgil H. Goode, Jr. Jill Stein Ross C. "Rocky" Anderson Jeffrey Boss Peta Lindsay Merlin Miller
YouGov11/3X 1.00000   53.0000 - 1.4134 bias 41.0000 - 0.0288 bias                
Philadelphia Inquirer10/25X 0.85000   51.0000 - 0.6084 bias 41.0000 - 1.0435 bias                
Survey USA10/18X 0.73333   54.0000 - 0.5274 bias 40.0000 - 0.3265 bias                
Stockton College/Zogby10/18X 0.73333   53.0000 - 1.0706 bias 38.0000 - -0.6221 bias                
Quinnipiac University10/14X 0.66667   51.0000 - 1.0754 bias 43.0000 - -0.2682 bias                
Neighborhood Research (R)10/14X 0.66667   48.4000 - -6.4383 bias 41.4000 - 6.5235 bias                
Eagleton Poll (Rutgers Univ.)9/30X 0.43333   56.0000 - 2.5840 bias 39.0000 - -2.6758 bias                
Monmouth University9/23X 0.31667   52.0000 - 1.9679 bias 37.0000 - -0.9091 bias                
Fairleigh Dickinson University9/12X 0.13333   52.0000 - -0.3787 bias 38.0000 - 0.7776 bias                
TOTAL 51.963335 39.664069 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000