Poll Average Details- NH US President - 2012-11-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Barack Obama Barack Obama	Mitt Romney Mitt Romney	Gary Johnson	Ron Paul	Virgil H. Goode, Jr.	Jill Stein	Scattering
American Research Group	11/4	X 1.00000		49.0000 - -0.0031 bias	49.0000 - 0.7892 bias
University of New Hampshire	11/4	X 1.00000		50.0000 - 2.6652 bias	46.0000 - -2.2994 bias
Public Policy Polling	11/4	X 1.00000		50.0000 - 1.1680 bias	48.0000 - -0.1800 bias
YouGov	11/3	X 0.98333		47.0000 - 1.4134 bias	43.0000 - 0.0288 bias
Gravis Marketing	11/1	X 0.95000		50.0000 - 1.1590 bias	49.0000 - 0.2608 bias
New England College	10/30	X 0.91667		49.5000 - -1.3013 bias	44.4000 - 2.5219 bias
Marist Institute	10/29	X 0.90000		49.0000 - 0.7635 bias	47.0000 - -0.4397 bias
Lake Research (D)	10/28	X 0.88333		47.0000 - 4.9472 bias	42.0000 - -3.0428 bias	4.0000 - 2.3267 bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/23	X 0.80000		48.0000 - 0.4180 bias	50.0000 - 1.5977 bias
Suffolk University	10/14	X 0.65000		47.0000 - 1.6356 bias	47.0000 - -2.1317 bias	2.0000 - 1.1435 bias
QStar News	10/10	X 0.58333		45.7200 - -5.3880 bias	45.7800 - 4.5177 bias	5.0800 - 1.5597 bias
TOTAL				47.678119	46.432383	1.931487	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000