Poll Average Details- MO US President - 2012-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mitt Romney Rick SantorumBarack Obama Barack ObamaGary Johnson UncommittedVirgil H. Goode, Jr. Uncommitted
Survey USA11/3X 1.00000   50.0000 - 0.3265 bias 43.0000 - 0.5274 bias    
YouGov11/3X 1.00000   53.0000 - 0.0288 bias 42.0000 - 1.4134 bias    
Public Policy Polling11/3X 1.00000   53.0000 - -0.1800 bias 45.0000 - 1.1680 bias    
We Ask America10/30X 0.93333   53.8000 - 0.7934 bias 42.2000 - -0.1888 bias    
Mason-Dixon10/25X 0.85000   54.0000 - 0.8543 bias 41.0000 - 0.4277 bias 1.0000 - 0.2403 bias  
Rasmussen Reports10/17X 0.71667   54.0000 - 1.5977 bias 43.0000 - 0.4180 bias    
Wenzel Strategies (R)10/13X 0.65000   54.9000 - 4.5835 bias 41.1000 - -3.2645 bias    
Chilenski Strategies (D)9/20X 0.26667   50.0000 - 4.0840 bias 44.0000 - -0.2073 bias    
TOTAL 51.892417 42.402572 0.759700 0.000000