Poll Average Details- CT US President - 2012-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Barack Obama	Mitt Romney Mitt Romney	Gary Johnson	James E. Harris	Jill Stein	Ross C. "Rocky" Anderson	Stephen Durham	Tom Hoefling	Raymond Sizemore	Gerald Warner
YouGov	11/3	X 1.00000		54.0000 - 1.4134 bias	39.0000 - 0.0288 bias
Public Policy Polling	11/2	X 0.98333		55.0000 - 1.1680 bias	42.0000 - -0.1800 bias
Quinnipiac University	10/22	X 0.80000		55.0000 - 1.0754 bias	41.0000 - -0.2682 bias
Survey USA	10/21	X 0.78333		53.0000 - 0.5274 bias	40.0000 - 0.3265 bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/21	X 0.78333		52.0000 - 0.4180 bias	45.0000 - 1.5977 bias
Mason-Dixon	10/17	X 0.71667		49.0000 - 0.4277 bias	42.0000 - 0.8543 bias
University of Connecticut	10/16	X 0.70000		51.0000 - -0.1361 bias	37.0000 - 0.6120 bias
Siena Research Institute	10/14	X 0.66667		53.0000 - 0.4840 bias	38.0000 - -0.0165 bias
TOTAL				52.194809	40.234584	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000