Poll Average Details- OC President - 2003-12-12 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	"Wabash" Chicago Eggplant	Aviator K Aviator K	Ross Porter	Thomas Walker
Price, Gunn, Kendall, Etc	12/12	X 1.00000		24.6000 - bias	27.4000 - bias	3.6000 - bias	19.3000 - bias
Dewey, Cheatham, and Howe	12/12	X 1.00000		49.0000 - bias	51.0000 - bias	0.0000 - bias	0.0000 - bias
Our Campaigns	12/12	X 1.00000		49.0000 - 4.6225 bias	50.0000 - -3.2717 bias		1.0000 - bias
Marist Institute	12/12	X 1.00000		51.0000 - -0.4397 bias	49.0000 - 0.7635 bias
Mason-Dixon	12/12	X 1.00000		41.0000 - 0.8543 bias	47.0000 - 0.4277 bias	1.0000 - -0.0380 bias	3.0000 - bias
Moderate Polling	12/12	X 1.00000		35.0000 - bias	42.0000 - bias		2.0000 - bias
Indiana University	12/11	X 0.98333		77.0000 - 0.0621 bias	21.0000 - 2.2963 bias		2.0000 - bias
Franklin-Hemlock-Von Count	12/9	X 0.95000		18.0000 - bias	19.0000 - bias	24.0000 - bias	3.0000 - bias
Keystone Poll	12/8	X 0.93333		44.0000 - -1.1791 bias	42.0000 - 1.5413 bias	5.0000 - bias	1.0000 - bias
Myrth York Polling	12/6	X 0.90000		29.0000 - bias	27.0000 - bias	5.0000 - bias	0.1000 - bias
Associated Press	12/6	X 0.90000		12.0000 - 0.4679 bias	7.0000 - 1.4729 bias	15.0000 - bias	3.0000 - bias
DSCC	12/6	X 0.90000		50.0000 - bias	25.0000 - bias	6.0000 - bias	6.0000 - bias
John McLaughlin	12/5	X 0.88333				25.0000 - bias	19.0000 - bias
TOTAL				39.852843	34.103024	9.163937	4.892868