Poll Average Details- MN Governor - 2002-11-05 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Tim Pawlenty UndecidedRoger D. Moe Timothy J. "Tim" Penny Ken Pentel Undecided Others Kari J. Sachs Booker T. Hodges IV Lawrence Michael Aeshliman Bill Dahn Richard A. Klatte Lealand Vettleson
Star Tribune11/3X 1.00000   35.0000 - -1.9492 bias 32.0000 - 5.3550 bias 16.0000 - 1.3083 bias 3.0000 - 1.4957 bias              
Zogby International11/2X 0.98333   35.0000 - 0.0434 bias 34.0000 - 2.1756 bias 16.0000 - 1.9981 bias 3.0000 - 1.0598 bias              
KSTP11/1X 0.96667   30.0000 - -1.3023 bias 27.0000 - -4.6960 bias 26.0000 - 14.4045 bias 2.0000 - 0.1070 bias              
Research 200010/12X 0.63333   23.0000 - 0.1379 bias 30.0000 - -3.1274 bias 34.0000 - 10.8738 bias 3.0000 - 1.0935 bias              
Mason-Dixon9/14X 0.16667   28.0000 - 0.8543 bias 27.0000 - 2.0634 bias 30.0000 - 1.1771 bias 3.0000 - -0.3342 bias              
TOTAL 32.156185 30.324066 15.765234 1.868057 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000