Poll Average Details- RI Governor - 2010-11-02 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Lincoln Chafee Frank Caprio Patrick C. LynchJohn Robitaille Kenneth J. Block Joseph M. Lusi Todd Giroux Ronald Algieri
Quest Research10/26X 1.00000   35.0000 - 3.2745 bias 25.0000 - 1.7224 bias 28.0000 - -4.4815 bias        
Fleming & Associates10/25X 0.98333   32.8000 - 1.3594 bias 26.2000 - 0.6384 bias 25.5000 - 0.6713 bias 4.1000 - -2.4154 bias      
Rasmussen Reports10/21X 0.91667   35.0000 - 1.2092 bias 28.0000 - 0.4180 bias 25.0000 - 1.5977 bias 6.0000 - -0.0870 bias      
Brown University9/29X 0.55000   23.4000 - -0.0642 bias 29.6000 - 3.2620 bias 14.3000 - -2.6676 bias 1.8000 - -4.3437 bias 0.7000 - -0.0642 bias 0.5000 - -0.0642 bias 0.2000 - -0.0642 bias
TOTAL 30.876029 25.560166 25.414689 6.271671 0.764200 0.564200 0.264200