Poll Average Details- MA Governor - 2010-11-02 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Deval L. Patrick Deval L. Patrick	Charles D. Baker, Jr.	Tim Cahill	Jill Stein	Others
Rasmussen Reports	10/27	X 1.00000		46.0000 - 0.4180 bias	44.0000 - 1.5977 bias	6.0000 - 1.2092 bias
University of New Hampshire	10/22	X 0.91667		43.0000 - 2.6652 bias	39.0000 - -2.2994 bias	8.0000 - 3.1108 bias	2.0000 - 0.4733 bias
Western New England University	10/21	X 0.90000		44.0000 - -0.3485 bias	36.0000 - -0.5328 bias	8.0000 - 2.4395 bias	5.0000 - 2.8684 bias
Suffolk University	10/12	X 0.75000		46.0000 - 1.6356 bias	39.0000 - -2.1317 bias	10.0000 - 1.6824 bias	1.0000 - 1.6218 bias
KRC Communications Research	8/31	X 0.05000		34.0000 - 3.6366 bias	28.0000 - -2.2539 bias	18.0000 - 3.6022 bias	4.0000 - bias
TOTAL				43.482218	40.230712	5.871458	1.166203	0.000000