Poll Average Details- MD US President - R Primary - 2008-02-12 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal John McCain John McCainMike Huckabee John McCainRudy Giuliani John McCainMitt Romney John McCainFred Thompson John McCainRon Paul John McCainDuncan L. Hunter John McCainTom Tancredo John McCainAlan L. Keyes John McCain
Survey USA2/10X 1.00000   52.0000 26.0000       10.0000      
Mason-Dixon2/8X 0.96667   54.0000 23.0000       7.0000      
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies1/11X 0.50000   23.0000 15.0000 15.0000 13.0000 12.0000 9.0000      
OpinionWorks1/9X 0.46667   26.0000 18.0000 16.0000 12.0000 6.0000 5.0000      
TOTAL 43.579545 21.863636 15.482759 12.517241 9.103448 8.045455 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000