Poll Average Details- LA Governor - Runoff - 2003-11-15 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Bobby Jindal Kathleen Babineaux Blanco
Anderson Group11/12X 1.00000   45.0000 - 0.1269 bias 38.0000 - -1.6738 bias
Market Research Insight11/12X 1.00000   46.0000 - -0.5645 bias 42.0000 - 2.1422 bias
JPI Polling and Market Research11/10X 0.96667   47.0000 - 5.0683 bias 39.0000 - -5.0683 bias
Mason-Dixon11/6X 0.90000   48.0000 - 0.8543 bias 43.0000 - 0.4277 bias
Southeastern Louisiana University11/5X 0.88333   40.1000 - 1.0603 bias 41.4000 - 0.1162 bias
Market Research Institute11/5X 0.88333   49.0000 - 1.8165 bias 42.0000 - -0.7379 bias
Loyola Institute of Politics11/3X 0.85000   35.0000 - 1.2681 bias 34.0000 - 0.1035 bias
University of New Orleans11/1X 0.81667   44.0000 - 0.2013 bias 40.0000 - 0.3227 bias
Voter/Consumer Research (R)10/23X 0.66667   48.0000 - 4.2271 bias 43.0000 - -4.6564 bias
Southern Media & Opinion10/20X 0.61667   40.5000 - 1.0539 bias 42.7000 - 0.2495 bias
Kennedy Polling Company10/17X 0.56667   47.0000 - -1.0511 bias 53.0000 - 1.0511 bias
Market Research and Anaylsis10/7X 0.40000   35.0000 - -1.9985 bias 41.0000 - 1.9985 bias
TOTAL 42.988793 41.766220